Italy regions map :
http://magictour.free.fr/italy.GIFAosta ,Lombardia,Trentino
Piedmont, Veneto ,Friuli
Liguria ,
Emilia Romagna
Tuscana,Umbria,Marche
Lazio,Abruzzo,Molise
Campania,Basilicata,Apulia
Calabria
Sizilia
Sardegna
quarantine of 15M on Mar08 , whole Italy on Mar09 , the next 17 days went as below.
daily new cases ,
-----,00093,00125,00205,00238,00240,00566,Mar01
00342,00466,00587,00769,00778,01246,01492,Mar08
01797,00977,02313,02651,02547,03497,03590,Mar15
03233,03526,04207,05322,05986,06557,05560, Mar22
04789,05249,05210,06153,05959,05974,05217, Mar29
tests :
03889,06935,12393,12857,11477,11682,15729,Mar15
13063,10695,16884,17236,24109,26336,25180,Mar21
17066,21496,27481,36615,33019,35447,24504, Mar29
TOTALE ,{147},462,140,186,206,221,299,228,247,329,249,308,248,248,220,280,244,189,168,180,168,212, daily positive rate
Lombardia ,226,799,239,358,370,345,420,491,430,544,589,665,482,340,437,588,562,330,420,295,318,325
North ,156,492,199,188,261,250,336,248,266,375,290,336,287,254,268,315,254,215,184,199,197,230
South ,067,181,022,161,056,087,121,121,139,164,083,200,118,205,095,156,186,107,106,112,091,150
124,092,071,061,151,146,161,125,146,109,120
positive-rate , daily
ValleDAosta ,219,230, 90,300,368, 14,333,000,842,279,329,409,237,700,772,195, 85, 50,333,897,460,730 ,ValleDAosta
Lombardia ,226,799,239,358,370,345,420,491,430,544,589,665,482,340,437,588,562,330,420,295,318,325 ,Lombardia
Bolzano ,250,+38,+38,948, 54,102,148, 85,152,122,122, 82,129, 97,105,125,134,550, 43,125,163,108 ,Bolzano
Trento ,100,256,143,195,454,221,268,+38,+38, 9,152,250,262,+38,436,690,154,278,154,291,178,228 ,Trento
Piemonte ,220,223,148,842,176,150, 57,342,333,398,456,442,471,400,334,513,342,429,364,337,320,210 ,Piemonte
Veneto , 42,947,163, 35,177, 93,265, 42,120,542, 95, 70,118,134,125,111, 87,105, 55,145, 75, 79 ,Veneto
FriuliVG , 57,103, 89, 21, 77,165,193,483, 27, 74,+38,152, 62,135,104, 84, 56,151, 68, 83,134, 65 ,FriuliVG
Liguria ,194,147,385,160,536,264,383,430,500,346,270,394,363,421,331,476,422,309,373,258,337,275 ,Liguria
EmiliaRomagna,271,366,250,179,216,266,303,223,411,289,624,238,312,190,249,308,308,177,175,142,153,+38 ,EmiliaRomagna
Toscana ,102,105,100,242,121,119,293,281,109,228,315,119,203,145,195,313,128,125, 82, 80,196,155 ,Toscana
Umbria ,154,133,116,112,152,101,180,165,164,143,179,246,174,163,139,131,129,103,127,115, 95, 82 ,Umbria
Marche ,265,226,379,388,450,427,507,607,390,+38,222,419,370,301,411,378,373,296,247,187,214,338 ,Marche
Lazio , 45,+38, 8,+38, 24, 85, 94, 78, 88,792, 68,+38, 67,+38, 48,298,+38, 75, 92,149, 68,355 ,Lazio
Abruzzo ,104,175,109,+38, 82, 54, 83,133,342,341, 92,343,223,235,170,254, 41,180,262,114,129,220 ,Abruzzo
Molise ,120, 0, 76,125, 0,200, 0, 0,800, 83, 50,276,+38,478, 60,+38,150, 0,333,150,144, 36 ,Molise
Campania ,103,+38, 43,115,142,341,196,220,220,357,+38,223,322,157,185,103,154,145, 80,113,137,140 ,Campania
Basilicata , 32, 83,153,142,+38,+38,+38, 18, 45,250,+38,109,166,177,123,169, 41,185,111, 81,185,121 ,Basilicata
Puglia , 63,172,145,111, 75,138,159,190,+38,103,120,154,138,113,204,199,169,100, 91,145, 97,105 ,Puglia
Calabria , 79, 33, 10,133,179,238,106, 46,143, 95, 40, 59,109, 77, 61, 46, 65, 55, 48,104, 71, 81 ,Calabria
Sicilia , 67, 22, 67, 87,113, 31,173, 90,124, 91,119, 86,134,197,200,114,157,129,126, 60, 54,140 ,Sicilia
Sardegna , 73,222, 52,215,105, 19,153,361,163, 48,128,361,150, 96, 85,120,213,131,117,105,221, 37 ,Sardegna
TOTALE ,147,462,140,186,206,221,299,228,247,329,249,308,248,248,220,280,244,189,168,180,168,212 ,TOTALE
North ,156,492,199,188,261,250,336,248,266,375,290,336,287,254,268,315,254,215,184,199,197,230 ,North
South , 67,181, 22,161, 56, 87,121,121,139,164, 83,200,118,205, 95,156,186,107,106,112, 91,150 ,South
deaths per Million population , daily
ValleDAosta , 0, 0, 0, 7, 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 0, 7, 23, 7, 7, 7, 23, 55, 39, 31, 71, 31, 15
Lombardia , 26, 6, 13, 14, 12, 14, 7, 25, 20, 21, 31, 20, 37, 54, 35, 31, 39, 29, 38, 53, 53, 41
Bolzano , 0, 0, 0, 0, 9, 9, 9, 19, 9, 19, 9, 48, 29, 29, 29, 58, 87, 48, 48, 116, 38, 0
Trento , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 13, 6, 5, 13, 16, 11, 14, 16, 8
Piemonte , 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 4, 2, 5, 6, 5, 4, 4, 7, 6, 10, 7, 13, 17, 0, 27, 11, 15
Veneto , 3, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2, 4, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 8, 5, 5, 9, 6
FriuliVG , 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 1, 2, 0, 6, 6, 0, 4, 1, 3, 4, 5, 8, 4, 1, 3, 9, 9
Liguria , 3, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 6, 3, 10, 6, 8, 11, 18, 21, 12, 26, 12, 14, 16, 32, 17, 12
EmiliaRomagna, 12, 3, 3, 6, 7, 12, 8, 9, 13, 10, 14, 16, 24, 16, 22, 17, 20, 20, 21, 20, 17, 22
Toscana , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 4, 2, 6, 5, 4, 5, 3, 4, 5, 5, 4
Umbria , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 5, 3, 6, 0, 3, 0, 1, 1, 7, 3
Marche , 4, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 7, 15, 15, 14, 11, 19, 12, 18, 36, 15, 17, 18, 14
Lazio , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 2
Abruzzo , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 3, 4, 3, 8, 3, 6, 4, 8, 3, 6, 9
Molise , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 3, 9, 6, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0
Campania , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1, 1
Basilicata , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, -2, 5, 0, 1
Puglia , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 4, 0, 0, 3
Calabria , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, -1, 1, 0, 1, 2, 1, 2
Sicilia , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1
Sardegna , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 0, 1, 3, 0
TOTALE , 6, 1, 2, 3, 3, 4, 2, 6, 5, 5, 7, 7, 10, 13, 10, 9, 12, 11, 10, 16, 14, 12
North , 10, 2, 4, 5, 5, 7, 4, 10, 10, 9, 13, 11, 17, 22, 18, 16, 20, 18, 17, 27, 24, 20
South , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2
by Province :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Provinces_of_Italyhttp://magictour.free.fr/ip-03293.GIF(Mar20) , I'm estimating that 0.1% of the population dies in such a COVID wave
(Mar23 , 0.2% , 0.3%=3000 in Bergamo)
> in the first fortnight of March, the number of deaths is four times higher than the
> same period of last year”.
in USA 100000 usually die during that period, assuming 6 weeks at that level gives
an estimate of 1.2 million deaths in USA for this wave (with Bergamo conditions)