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https://www.covid.is/dataIceland, Mar14-Mar18
deCODE-tests,956,1416,855,460,903
deCODE-positive,9,10,4,3,7
NUHI-tests,323,119,291,545,420
NUHI-positive,24,11,8,46,66
deCODE : 0.7% positive , NUHI : 9.1% positive
~1% of the population infected in Europe-Italy and USA ,
and _not_ the 0.02% estimated by experts here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ex...iction-survey/or what am I missing ?
~20-fold underreporting ,
that would mean for Wuhan with 50000 confirmed cases and 2500 deaths
that ~10% of Wuhan was infected and 0.25% of these died
for USA the estimate for a wave would be 77500 deaths
not more than the severe 2017/2018 flu-season and the
expected lost life-years were even a lot smaller
"just the flu" after all ?!?
there could be lots of underreported deaths in Wuhan and the underreporting may change
during the wave, Iceland is just at the start
In Lombardy and Quom we may have 10% of the population infected already
they are at least 2 weeks ahead of Iceland