nCoV_info

General Category => actual epidemic charts => Topic started by: gsgs on February 02, 2020, 12:54:12 pm

Title: cases,severe cases,deaths,recovered,quarantined
Post by: gsgs on February 02, 2020, 12:54:12 pm

here my charts from the actual data :
(https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fmagictour.free.fr%2Ffeb08.GIF&hash=5cd6df5ca3dc145423d8693b15479e84b3aff207)

confirmed cases down , severe cases up

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_2019%E2%80%9320_Wuhan_coronavirus_outbreak
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:2019-20_Wuhan_coronavirus_data/China_medical_cases_by_province

more actual updates (08:00China=00:00 UTC
http://www.ecns.cn/news/
http://ncov.dxy.cn/ncovh5/view/pneumonia
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://wjw.hubei.gov.cn/fbjd/dtyw/202002/t20200206_2019847.shtml
http://wjw.hubei.gov.cn/fbjd/dtyw/index.shtml
http://wjw.wuhan.gov.cn/
http://www.whcdc.org/


https://ncov2019.live/data


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list of cases with additional info :
https://docs.googcom/spreadsheets/d/1itaohdPiAeniCXNlntNztZ_oRvjh0HsGuJXUJWET008/edit#gid=0
mean age of infection was 47 years
37% of cases were female
That database is some days behind

Title: Re: cases,severe cases,deaths,recovered,quarantined
Post by: epsilon on February 06, 2020, 07:30:10 am

Hi gsgs,

thank you very much for this very valuable charts.
One question: I assume charts on the left hand side show cases for all of China v.s China minus Hubei on the right, both with logarithmic ordinate, right ?   

Title: Re: cases,severe cases,deaths,recovered,quarantined
Post by: gsgs on February 06, 2020, 08:56:57 am

all of China, left and right , but right is logarithmic.
Hubei is only in the other thread.
I may add a new thread with Wuhan vs. rest of Hubei.

In this thread maybe I should omit the left side altogether and only take the logarithmical one.

There are frequent changes currently, in what form China offers the data

Title: Re: cases,severe cases,deaths,recovered,quarantined
Post by: epsilon on February 06, 2020, 09:14:39 am

Quote

I may add a new thread with Wuhan vs. rest of Hubei.

It would also of great interest to have the time series for Wuhan-only.

Because this should show the full progression from unmitigated community spread (january) and the subsequent effectiveness of the strict social distancing implemented by jan 23 (i.e. effective since jan 23 plus one incubation period) 

This should fit an exponential curve due to base reproductive factor R0 (estimated 2-4) followed by a curve governed by the effective R_eff after mitigation measures in place. Goal is to, hopefully, reach R_eff < 1.

Wuhan is already in maximum shutdown mode that is conceivable for a modern city. So the development there will give us an idea if containment in urban areas due to isolation measures will work at all.