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Messages - gsgs

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31
expert opinions / Re: Jan 2020
« on: December 31, 2020, 08:53:03 am »
At the the time, Prof John Oxford told @BBCRadio4
 "I'm not worried at all. I really am not. It's very small numbers we're dealing with here.
I'd be more worried about measles..." (on 23 Jan 2020)
----------------------------------------------------------

32
genetics / Re: genbank 2020-04-11
« on: December 28, 2020, 12:13:05 am »
2020-12-09 , "sars2-21" , 44708 sequences

countries :

Code: [Select]
518862 ,13303 ,  25 ,Australia
  71659 ,23785 , 331 ,USA
  68834 ,  119 ,   1 ,Bahrain
  22619 ,   10 ,   0 ,Malta
  21801 ,   29 ,   1 ,Timor-Leste
  13072 ,  114 ,   8 ,Serbia
  12756 ,   96 ,   7 ,Hong Kong
   9975 ,    4 ,   0 ,Belize
   9424 ,   98 ,  10 ,Greece
   3780 ,  143 ,  37 ,Poland
   3248 ,  227 ,  69 ,Thailand
   2899 ,  245 ,  84 ,Iran
   2832 ,   94 ,  33 ,Peru
   2696 ,    8 ,   2 ,Jamaica
   2694 ,   32 ,  11 ,Tunisia
   2633 ,   27 ,  10 ,Jordan
   2324 ,  240 , 103 ,Egypt
   2222 ,    5 ,   2 ,Gabon
   2145 ,   23 ,  10 ,Czechia
   2068 ,   12 ,   5 ,Denmark
   2007 ,    8 ,   3 ,Georgia
   1919 ,   78 ,  40 ,Iraq
   1653 ,   58 ,  35 ,Saudi Arabia
   1649 ,  273 , 165 ,Bangladesh
   1506 ,   91 ,  60 ,Italy
   1466 ,   46 ,  31 ,Ghana
   1366 ,   11 ,   8 ,Sierra Leone
   1362 ,   89 ,  65 ,France
   1342 ,   32 ,  23 ,Taiwan
   1096 ,   92 ,  83 ,Germany
   1090 ,   51 ,  46 ,Spain
   1087 ,   10 ,   9 ,Israel
    932 ,   16 ,  17 ,Netherlands
    918 ,  116 , 126 ,Japan
    755 ,   64 ,  84 ,Turkey
    704 ,   20 ,  28 ,Venezuela
    587 ,    4 ,   6 ,Lebanon
    573 ,   11 ,  19 ,Chile
    571 ,   74 , 129 ,Mexico
    553 ,   10 ,  18 ,Guatemala
    504 ,  700 ,1386 ,India
    474 ,   18 ,  37 ,Canada
    287 ,    1 ,   3 ,Uruguay
    276 ,    9 ,  32 ,Malaysia
    269 ,   10 ,  37 ,Morocco
    258 ,    3 ,  11 ,Belgium
    253 ,   28 , 110 ,Philippines
    239 ,   35 , 145 ,Russia
    225 ,    4 ,  17 ,Ecuador
    211 ,    4 ,  18 ,Kazakhstan
    199 ,    1 ,   5 ,New Zealand
    197 ,    2 ,  10 ,Sweden
    194 ,   10 ,  51 ,S. Korea
    186 ,    4 ,  21 ,Sri Lanka
    180 ,    1 ,   5 ,Finland
    176 ,    2 ,  11 ,Cuba
    143 ,  207 ,1439 ,China
     93 ,   20 , 213 ,Brazil
     73 ,    5 ,  68 ,UK
     71 ,    7 ,  97 ,Vietnam
     59 ,    2 ,  33 ,Uzbekistan
     59 ,    1 ,  16 ,Cambodia
     53 ,   12 , 222 ,Pakistan
     53 ,    1 ,  18 ,Zambia
     52 ,    1 ,  19 ,Romania
     39 ,    2 ,  51 ,Colombia
     36 ,    2 ,  54 ,Kenya
     34 ,    1 ,  29 ,Nepal
     19 ,    4 , 208 ,Nigeria
     16 ,    1 ,  59 ,South Africa

-------------------------------------
SARS2-sequences at genbank on 2020/12/09 per billion population
SARS2-sequences at genbank on 2020/12/09
population in million


 1.701412E+38 , 3  0 ,Guam
 1.701412E+38 , 2  0 ,West Bank
 1.701412E+38 , 14  0 ,Puerto Rico



mutations :

Code: [Select]
  36235,A23403G
  36105,C3037T
  35945,C14408T
  34533,C241T
  15954,G28881A
  15931,G28883C
  15929,G28882A
  14983,G25563T
  12027,C1059T
  11227,A1163T
  10960,C18555T
  10845,G23401A
  10834,G16647T
  10810,T7540C
   9845,G22992A
   3493,C27964T
   2913,T28144C
   2867,C8782T
   2030,A20268G
   1961,C18060T
   1939,C28854T
   1929,A17858G
   1888,C17747T
   1696,C18877T
   1670,C10319T
   1415,G11083T
   1382,C22480T
   1309,C14805T
   1260,T19839C
   1037,A18424G
   1027,G25907T
   1014,C28472T
    983,C21304T
    982,C2416T
    957,C28869T
    933,C29870A
    873,C29784T
    850,T833C
    833,G15594T
    829,C11916T
    747,C15933T
    743,C27059T
    717,A17337G
    667,G16968T
    663,C18568T
    649,G3114T
    635,C26735T
    626,C16260T
    615,C28821A
    602,C15324T
    584,G8083A
    561,C17850T
    533,G29553A
    524,C920T
    524,C5144T
    522,C66T
    515,A29700G
    495,C24034T
    491,C3177T
    488,G28077C
    476,T18736C
    474,T490A
    474,C313T
    467,T26729C
    451,T27785C
    449,G3871T
    444,T3931C
    440,C28887T
    433,A696C
    424,G26144T
    423,C21575T
    423,A22320G
    418,T24076C
    417,C28977T
    406,C36T
    405,C23707T
    396,C18998T
    392,G29540A
    376,C28087T
    368,C379A
    368,C28311T
    364,G21255C
    362,A26162G
    338,C22444T
    331,G29402T
    315,G1738T
    311,C22227T
    308,C28657T
    306,C5672T
    300,C6541T
    296,C4226T
    280,C6286T
    280,A24694T
    279,A7837C
    275,G29645T
    270,C6040T
    270,C28932T
    270,A35T
    268,C26801G
    262,C7086T
    260,T445C
    260,C2836T
    259,C6033T
    256,G3242A
    255,G26233T
    254,C1385T
    253,A14084G
    248,C28961T
    246,T9477A
    245,G29692T
    244,C3773T
    244,C28863T
    244,C26256T
    242,G25979T
    242,C4540T
    240,C23457A
    240,A24253T
    238,T14191C
    238,C16092T
    237,G26526T
    236,C29668T
    232,G23900C
    230,C25710T
    224,C23655T
    223,C29546T
    220,G29808T
    219,G21724T
    218,C8389T
    215,G26690T
    214,G19677T
    211,G3564T
    206,C7162T
    198,A10323G
    197,G29868A
    197,G14241T
    197,A34T
    194,T22162C
    194,C18486T
    193,G29711T
    193,C13730T
    192,G24933T
    189,C23929T
    187,G7798T
    187,C29870M
    184,C3738T
    184,C13536T
    180,C11109T
    180,C10188T
    179,C28868T
    177,C15352T
    173,G12478A
    172,G22225T
    172,C4543T
    172,C19524T
    170,G8371T
    170,G16813A
    170,C20759T
    169,T17247C
    168,T24982C
    167,C23731T
    166,G28487A
    166,C7600T
    166,C28896G
    164,G28842T
    164,C4002T
    162,C11497T
    159,C14768T
    158,G15766T
    158,G13993T
    157,G9526T
    157,G17019T
    157,C16887T
    156,C6312A
    156,C27603T
    156,C18744T
    155,T26876C
    155,G9130T
    155,C16616T
    155,A29871G
    154,T27957C
    154,G28975C
    154,A16889G
    153,G29399A
    153,G10265A
    153,C27635T
    152,T23548C
    152,G29742T
    152,C15654T
    151,C9996T
    150,C5184T
    150,C26885T
    150,C17639T
    150,C11379Y
    148,T21925C
    148,C21516T
    148,C1917T
    146,C29769T
    144,T17091C
    144,G29777T
    144,G26257T
    144,G19684T
    144,G15907A
    144,C14362T
    142,T8041C
    142,C28253T
    142,C12025T
    141,C2558T
    141,C16111T
    140,T27384C
    140,C19217T
    140,C11575T
    140,A6512C
    139,G26062T
    139,C29614T
    137,G1397A
    137,C1288T
    136,T27319C
    136,C12116T
    136,A27024C
    136,A21137G
    135,G29734C
    135,C23191T
    134,C19718T
    133,G5629K
    133,G29706T
    133,A2480G
    133,A12199G
    132,C222T
    131,C19170T
    130,T28688C
    130,C28256T
    130,C16762T
    127,T29867A
    126,G28878A
    126,C25916T
    126,C10376T
    123,T10717C
    123,C9430T
    123,C37A
    123,C25572T
    123,C16376T
    122,C15540T
    120,G29742A
    120,G105T
    120,C19488T
    120,A15972G
    118,G11417T
    118,C29353T
    118,C24351T
    117,C16289T
    116,T25111A
    116,G17721T
    116,C11956T
    116,A4624G
    115,C6285T
    115,C23185T
    114,G21468T
    113,G25429T
    113,G16912T
    113,C2488T
    113,A26759T
    112,T15276A
    111,G28373T
    110,G20580T
    110,C11379T
    109,G4300T
    109,G10097A
    108,G23593T
    108,G18985T
    108,C6445T
    108,C12763T
    107,C12880T
    106,C5365T
    106,C28849T
    105,C29366Y
    105,C22987T
    105,C15720T
    104,C3411T
    104,C24904T
    104,A2161G
    103,T15354C
    103,C29095T
    103,C25350T
    103,C24378T
    102,T25902W
    102,C4832T
    101,T25908W
    101,T1927C
    101,G28727T
    101,G24992C
    101,G1401A
    101,C4113T
    100,T29867W
    100,C6651T


33
genetics / Re: Coronaviruses
« on: December 27, 2020, 12:52:33 am »

human non-sars-like Coronaviruses at genbank , release 239.0 :

   1394, Human coronavirus OC43
    907, Human coronavirus NL63
    424, Human coronavirus 229E
    415, Human coronavirus HKU1
    195, unidentified human coronavirus
      6, Human enteric coronavirus 4408
      4, Human coronavirus Feline-like Hu142
      2, Human betacoronavirus 2c Jordan-N3/2012
      2, Human betacoronavirus 2c EMC/2012
      1, Human group 1 coronavirus associated with pneumonia
      1, Human enteric coronavirus strain 4408
      1, Human coronavirus type 5
      1, Human coronavirus NO/2708/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/1917/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/1055/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0867/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0848/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0835/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0749/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0733/05
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0643/05
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0398/05
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0341/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0193/05
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0053/04
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0023/05
      1, Human coronavirus NO/0003/05
      1, Human coronavirus 3363/2000/NL
      1, Human coronavirus 1196/2001/NL
      1, Human betacoronavirus 2c England-Qatar/2012



34
genetics / spike-mutations
« on: December 22, 2020, 12:42:56 pm »
Code: [Select]

  29,  26,   1,C21575T,   L5F,               
 937, 435,  36,C21614T,  L18F,20A.EU1=B.1.177
   9,  10,   0,C21627T,  T22I,               
  31,  11,   0,A21631T,  Q23H,               
  41,  17,   7,C21637T,      ,               
   6,   7,   0,C21638T,  P26S,               
   2,   6,   0,C21727T,      ,               
  30,   6,   5,G21800T,  D80Y,               
   9,  10,   0,C21855T,  S98F,               
   0,   6,   0,C22000T,      ,               
   2,   6,   0,T22016A, W152R,               
  81,   6,   0,G22051T,      ,               
  15,   6,   8,A22053C, N164T,               
   7,   8,   3,C22075T,      ,               
  18,   7,   0,C22088T, L176F,               
   7,   9,   3,G22131T, R190M,               
  15,  19,   0,G22205C, D215H,               
  16,  11,   0,C22224T, S221L,               
1584, 908,  73,C22227T, A222V,20A.EU1=B.1.177
  13,  10,   0,C22329T, S256L,               
  58,  52,   3,G22346T, A262S,        B.1.177
  39,  39,   0,C22377T, P272L,               
  20,  13,   1,C22388T,      ,               
   0,  19,   0,C22432T,      ,               
  63,  47,   2,C22444T,      ,         B.1.36
   1,   8,   0,C22530T, T323I,               
   1,   7,   1,A22546G,      ,               
  36,  33,   3,C22879A, N439K,          B.1.5
   2,  13,   1,G22918T,      ,               
  43,  16,   0,G22992A, S477N,               
   6,  10,   0,T23042C, S494P,               
 423, 880,  12,A23063T, N501Y,        B.1.1.7
 406, 885,  14,C23271A, A570D,        B.1.1.7
  42,  25,   4,G23311C, E583D,               
   6,  19,   3,T23323C,      ,               
   9,   6,   0,G23401T, Q613H,               
2344,2015, 104,A23403G, D614G,               
 409, 889,  14,C23604A, P681H,        B.1.1.7
   1,   6,   0,G23608T,      ,               
  12,  10,   0,C23625T, A688V,               
  28,  24,   0,C23644T,      ,               
  11,  11,   0,C23679T, A706V,               
 407, 883,  14,C23709T, T716I,        B.1.1.7
   0,   6,   0,T23866C,      ,               
   5,  14,   1,G23873T, A771S,               
  21,  10,   0,T24088C,      ,               
  19,  35,   1,C24106T,      ,               
   1,   6,   0,C24130T,      ,               
   1,   6,   0,C24138A, T859N,               
   4,   9,   0,C24138T, T859I,               
 347, 235,  16,C24334T,      ,               
   7,  15,   0,C24378T, S939F,               
  32,   9,   0,C24382T,      ,               
 406, 885,  14,T24506G, S982A,        B.1.1.7
  11,   8,   0,G24620T,A1020S,               
  14,  10,   0,T24769C,      ,               
   3,   8,   0,G24781T,K1073N,               
  30,  19,   1,T24910C,      ,               
 406, 887,  14,G24914C,D1118H,        B.1.1.7
   1,   8,   1,T24979C,      ,               
   4,   6,   0,C25000T,      ,               
   2,   7,   0,G25049K,      ,               
  45,  71,   0,G25049T,D1163Y,        B.1.177
  46,  76,   0,G25062T,G1167V,        B.1.177
  12,  14,   0,C25096T,      ,               
   4,  14,   1,C25349A,P1263T,       
-----------------------------------------------------
2345,2027,0104,total genomes     
0049,0050,0051,week         



frequency of spike-mutations in 133277 full genomes
in week 50 from cogconsortium , 2020/12/22


831,45416,151499


checking for the new strain B.1.1.7 = VUI202012/01 = VOC2020

prevalence in UK : http://magictour.free.fr/b117a.GIF

2020/12/08 , genbank=5/44708 , UK=1203(1050)/131631
2020/12/15 , DE=0/747 , UK=1289/133960
2020/12/17 , DE=0/764 , UK=141600 new strain-names
2020/12/20 , UK=2100/146416
2020/12/21 , DE=0/834,UK=3042/150173
2020/12/22 , DE=834,genbank=,UK=3063/150399
2020/12/23 , DE=0/831,genbank=45416,UK=3094/151499,RKI:0/1742



I downloaded the 133277 aligned sequences from cogconsortium (3.9GB)
and processed/converted them into a better format :
http://magictour.free.fr/sars2uk8.7z (2MB)
this takes many hours each day for me , because of the big files.
Is someone else doing this ?

Can we coordinate, exchange the processed/improved data ?

-------------------------------------------

viruses with many spike-amino-acid mutations :

genbank, USA,CA : S13I,C136G,W152C,L452R
UK, B.1.1.7 , B.1.258 , B.1.37 , B.1.315 , B.1.177 ,  B.1.160 , B.1.5 ,  B.1.351 (SA)

file spisur.12a :  sequences with >=5? spike-amino-acid-mutations (2020/12/28)

Code: [Select]

    182,B.1.177.9
     55,B.1.177
     31,B.1.258.4
     25,B.1.1.37
     14,B.1.177.6
     11,B.1.177.17
      4,B.1.1
      3,B.1.160.7
      1,B.1.5.34
      1,B.1.351
      1,B.1.1.194


Code: [Select]

    329,D614G
    286,A222V
    222,A262S
    184,D80Y
    183,N164T

    127,E583D
     57,L5F
     46,L18F
     40,P272L
     32,G1219V
     31,V772I
     31,N439K
     31,L189F
     28,H655Y
     27,T95I
     25,D574Y
     18,V308L
     15,Q23H
     15,A1020S
     12,I1216V
     11,L176F
      8,N536S
      8,G446V
      8,D796H
      8,A520S
      7,G1167V
      7,D1163Y
      6,Q613H
      6,D215H
      5,S98F
      5,S477N
      5,R346K
      4,K1205N
      4,A1226V
      3,W152R
      3,T678I
      3,S884F
      3,S221L
      3,R21K
      3,P681L
      3,L244F
      3,G482S
      3,F329L
      3,A871S
      2,T716I
      2,S982A
      2,R190K
      2,Q677H
      2,Q675R
      2,Q218H
      2,P681H
      2,P384L
      2,N501Y
      2,L552F
      2,L1141F
      2,K1191N
      2,H146Y
      2,E484K
      2,E1150D
      2,D936Y
      2,D215Y
      2,D215V
      2,D138Y
      2,D1118H
      2,A845S
      2,A783T
      2,A771S
      2,A706V
      2,A688V
      2,A570D
      2,A522V
      2,A522S
      2,A1174V
      2,A1078S
      1,Y269C
      1,Y266C
      1,Y200C
      1,Y145N
      1,V687L
      1,V539I
      1,V445I
      1,V36L
      1,V367F
      1,V213A
      1,V1230A
      1,V1104L
      1,T768N
      1,T63N
      1,T51I
      1,T307N
      1,T22I
      1,T20I
      1,T19K
      1,S937L
      1,S813I
      1,S735A
      1,S691F
      1,S659L
      1,S50L
      1,S494P
      1,S151T
      1,S12F
      1,S1261F
      1,S1242I
      1,S1175P
      1,R765L
      1,R214L
      1,Q314K
      1,P9L
      1,P681R
      1,P561T
      1,P384S
      1,P1079S
      1,N925S
      1,N556Y
      1,N211T
      1,L822F
      1,L455F
      1,L216F
      1,L141F
      1,K444R
      1,K417N
      1,K1181I
      1,K1073N
      1,I468V
      1,I210T
      1,I1179V
      1,H146Q
      1,G482A
      1,G476F
      1,G181V
      1,G181A
      1,G142V
      1,G1124V
      1,F2L
      1,F157S
      1,F157L
      1,E484R
      1,E1182Q
      1,D80A
      1,D215G
      1,D1257Y
      1,D1153Y
      1,D1084Y
      1,A924V
      1,A924S
      1,A879V
      1,A846V
      1,A701V
      1,A668S
      1,A653V
      1,A647S
      1,A27S
      1,A243S
      1,A163V


35
nCoV - discussion / Re: B.1.1.7 = vui-202012/1
« on: December 19, 2020, 04:41:18 am »
Boris Johnson calls crisis meeting over new Covid strain on Friday night  (Dec18)

rumors say it is 50% more transmissable

and now we also have a report from South Africa about a more transmissable strain,
also containing N501Y


36
nCoV - discussion / Re: updates
« on: December 19, 2020, 04:37:16 am »
=======================================
2020/11/11,Wed
GER,16579,08%+0.4,13365+387,3064+57,201
GER,18487,261 = 138.1
BEL,04293,19.8%-2.5,7058-159,1470-4,345
USA,130989,10.6%+2.6,61964+2690,11952+419,1347
========================================
2020/11/12,Thu
USA,144270,10.4%-0.2,65368+3404,12518+566,1562
GER,21886,8.2%+0.2,13496+131,3150+86,221
===============================
2020/11/13,Fri
Code: [Select]
per million population : cases,hosp.,ICU,deaths
USA,+454,10.1%-0.3,202+5.21,39+0.84,+3.33
GER,+281,08.3%+0.1,170+7.12,39+0.69,+2.36
FRA,+510,18.7%-0.8,511+11.3,75+1.48,+6.54
UK-,+492,08.9%+1.4,216+10.5,19+0.72,+8.28
ITA,+633,28.8%+2.4,498+7.15,53+1.48,+10.6
========================================
2020/11/14
Code: [Select]
ITA--,+0682,28.2%-0.3,515+17.4,54+1.0,+09.1
US-IL,+1195,14.5%+1.9,416+08.1,77+2.6,+02.1
USA--,+0512,10.1%+0.0,206+04.3,39+1.0,+03.9
US-TX,+0390,--.-%+-.-,262+05.9,73+4.0,+06.4
FRA--,+0366,17.7%-1.0,503+00.4,75+0.1,+14.5


New Mexico to be put on lockdown
La baisse des cas à Paris est vraiment impressionnante
Effet des vacances ? Immunité Collective des lycéens et étudiants ?
Age differential analysis of COVID-19 second wave in Europe reveals
highest incidence among young adults
======================================
2020/11/15,Sun
Code: [Select]
USA,+0491,09.9%-0.2,209+2.82,40+0.6,04.0  Sunday
======================================
2020/11/16,Mon
USA,145670,09.9%+0.0,69987+532,13697+356,+672
FRA,+27228,16.9%-0.4,33081+582,4896+25,302


Michigan partial lockdown Nov18-Dec09
Boris Johnson told to self-isolate
===========================================
2020/11/17,Tue
FRA,09406,16.4%-0.5,33497+416,4919+23,508
USA,148532,10.0%+0.1,73014+3027,14313+616,581
8M to be tested in Catalunya , 2M? in Auvergne Rhone-Alpes,
0.5M in Liverpool, 6M in Slovakia
========================================
2020/11/18,Wed

USA,+155835,10.4%+0.4,76830+3816,14851+538,+1566
-TX,+10826,--.-%,+-.-,7841+373,2127+84,+117
FRA,45522,16.2%-0.2,33170-327,4854-65,+1228   incl. 32935 antigen since Oct
GER,+15971,09.3%,15649+852,3521+86,348

Latest positive rates in Asia:
Iran:28.9%Indonesia:14.8%Bangladesh:12.2%Japan:7.4%
Pakistan:6.2%Philippines:5.9%India:4.1%Turkey:2%


Tokyo, highest alert-level , South-Australia : lockdown
===========================================
2020/11/19,Thu
USA,+163975,10.6%+0.2,79410+2580,15350+499,+1869
-TX,+8489,11.5%+0.5,7958+117,2127,---,+187
FRA,+28383 (-b4219),16.2%+0.0,32842-328,4775-79,+427
POL,+19883,34.9%-10.7,22812-221,2117+3,+603
POL,+23975,41.3%+6.4,22536-276,2080-37,+637

NYC closes schools
Countries with the most daily new confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million:
Bosnia:16.9 Belgium:15.8 Czechia:15.6 Bulgaria:13 Macedonia:12.7
Slovenia:11.1 Hungary:10.2 Switzerland:10.1 Italy:10.1 Poland: 10
========================================
2020/11/20,Fri
USA,+182832,10.1%-0.5,80698+1288,15573+223,+1971
-TX,+12293,12.1%+0.6,7982+24,2154+17,+230
GER,+23504,9.3%+0.0,16115+27,3601+40,+285
FRA,+21150,15.5%-0.7,32345-497,4653-122,+436

masstesting in South-Tirol
107300 sequences from UK are available now at
https://www.cogconsortium.uk/data/

=======================================
2020/11/21,Sat
ITA,37242,--.-%+-.-,33957+347,3748+36,699
USA,+192805,10.1%-0.0,82178+1480,15915+342,+1862
FRA,+22882,15.0%-0.5,31906-439,4582-71,1138
lockdown in Toronto
============================================
2020/11/22,Sun
USA,+178309,09.0%-1.1,83227+1049,16054+139,+1506
-TX,+12597,11.8%-0.2,8245+81,2195-19,+171
FRA,+17881,14.8%,-0.2,31365-541,4493-89,+276 [h??]
==============================================
2020/11/23,Mon
USA,150098,8.7%-0.3,83870+643,16219+165,889
FRA,13157,906,190h

 
Los Angeles County bans all in-person dining at restaurants
================================================
2020/11/24,Tue
USA,+157252,8.7%-0.0,85836+1966,16811+592,+992
UK-,150975,8.6%-0.1,85836+1966,16811+592,956
FRA,+4452,13.3%-0.7,31449-73,4438-53,+501
============================================
2020/11/25,Wed
USA,+166672,9.3%+0.6,88080+2244,17127+316,+2028
FRA,+9155,13.1%-0.2,30594-855,4277-161,+1009

strong Sweden measures in effect
France reduced measures on Nov28
UK allows 3 households mixing at Xmas
=====================================
2020/11/26,Thu
Code: [Select]
USA,+553,10.7%+1.4,271+5.6,53+1.2,+06.9
-TX,+505,10.5%-0.1,296+3.1,81+0.9,+06.9
-NY,+313,03.6%+0.6,149+6.3,30+1.8,+02.1
GER,+248,09.5%+0.1,209+2.4,45+0.2,+04.9
FRA,+250,13.0%-0.1,461-9.9,64-2.5,+08.8
ITA,+431,11.1%+-.-,572-4.4,64+0.5,+12.0
UK-,+268,--.-%+-.-,240-0.6,22-0.1,+10.2
POL,+404,31.7%+1.6,582-7.5,55-0.6,+17.7
===================================
2020/11/27,Fri


CDC expects 20M vaccinations in Dec, then 25M each month
curfew in Passau
===================================
2020/11/28,Sat
Code: [Select]
USA,+610,09.1%-1.8,272+2.0,54+0.1,+04.2
ITA,+473,--.-%+-.-,561-5.9,63-1.0,+13.8
Argentina ends coronavirus lockdown nationwide, except for two small cities
: Los Angeles County issues 'Safer at Home' order, urging residents to
stay home as much as possible and banning most gatherings
Risk of infection was unchanged but symptom severity seems significantly
reduced in those with recent documented HCoV infection.
Italy loosens COVID restrictions in Lombardy and 4 other regions
=======================================
2020/11/29,Sun

Code: [Select]
Nov23,USA,+455,08.7%-0.3,254+1.9,49+0.5,+02.7
Nov24,USA,+477,08.7%-0.0,260+6.0,51+1.8,+03.0
Nov25,USA,+505,09.3%+0.6,267+6.8,52+1.0,+06.1
Nov26,USA,+553,10.7%+1.4,271+5.6,53+1.2,+06.9
Nov28,USA,+610,09.1%-1.8,272+2.0,54+0.1,+04.2
Nov29,USA,+445,09.0%-0.1,278+5.5,55+0.6,+03.6
Nov30,USA,+398,10.3%+1.3,283+4.9,55+0.5,+02.4
Dec01,USA,+446,09.2%-1.1,291+8.5,56+1.0,+03.4
Dec02,USA,+536,12.5%+3.3,299+8.0,58+1.5,+07.5
Dec03,USA,+593,13.5%+1.0,304+4.7,59+1.2,+08.3
Dec04,USA,+637,11.6%-1.9,305+1.3,59+0.2,+08.2
Dec05,USA,+681,12.4%+0.8,307+1.8,60+1.3,+07.7
Dec06,USA,+640,10.7%-1.7,307-0.3,60+0.3,+07.4
Dec07,USA,+536,10.8%+0.1,308+0.9,61+0.6,+03.4
Dec08,USA,+546,09.8%-1.0,310+2.0,61-0.1,+04.1
Dec09,USA,+647,13.0%+3.2,317+7.4,62+1.2,+07.9
Dec10,USA,+636,11.8%-1.2,323+6.3,63+1.3,+09.3
Dec11,USA,+649,11.1%-0.7,325+1.7,64+0.3,+09.3
Dec13,USA,+677,11.7%+0.6,329+1.3,64+0.5,+07.5
Dec14,USA,+566,10.7%-1.0,331+8.1.64+0.1,+04.5
Dec15,USA,+586,09.0%-1.7,335+3.7,65,+0.7,+04.1
Dec16,USA,+575,10.9%+1.9,342+6.9,66+1.3,+08.8
Dec17.USA,+699,13.1%+2.2,343+0.82,66+1.1,+10.3
Dec18,USA,+732,12.9%-0.2,346+3.5,66-0.1,+10.4

89,106,114

Dec02,GER,+187,09.4%+0.1,220+4.5,47-0.1,+6.0
Dec09,GER,+220,10.3%+1.0,242+10.7,51,0.9,+7.5
====================================
2020/11/30,Mon
Scots mass testing in universities and poor communities
 Spain bans travel between regions from December 23 until January 6;
holiday gatherings limited to 10 people


Code: [Select]
Oct20,FRA,+313,13.6%+-.-,191+12.5,33+1.3,+04.0
Oct27,FRA,+410,17.8%+-.-,272+20.4,42+3.0,+04.0
Oct20,UK-,+314,08.2%+-.-,102+07.5,10+0.4,+03.5
Oct27,UK-,+308,06.5%+-.-,137+03.4,12+0.3,+01.5
Oct20,ITA,+180,12.4%+-.-,140+12.9,14+1.2,+01.5
Oct27,ITA,+282,21.6%+-.-,215+16.4,21+1.3,+02.3
BEL,
Oct20,CZE,+755,29.6%+-.-,348+18.9,55+0.2,+08.5
Oct27,CZE,+960,34.4%+-.-,525+25.0,77+2.6,+15.3
Oct20,GER,+084,--.-%+-.-,050+04.0,10+0.3,+00.7
Oct27,GER,+136,06.4%+-.-,077+08.9,16+0.9,+00.5
Nov03,GER,+190,08.1%+-.-,---+10.3,27+2.4,+01.3
Dec02,GER,+187,09.4%+0.1,220+04.5,47-0.1,+06.0
Dec11,Ger,+337,10.3%+0.0,253+05.3,52+0.7,+06.3
Dec16,Ger,+252,11.6%+1.3,282,+09.0,56+0.6,+09.6
Dec17,Ger,+343,11.6%+0.0,296+13.8,58+1.2,+09.1
Dec18,GER,+368,11.6%+0.0,299,+03.5,58+0.3,+08.8



Oct28,USA,+222,06.9%,134,27,+02.8
Nov04,USA,+262,07.7%,153,31,+03.3
Nov10,USA,+359,08.0%,180,35,+01.8
Nov17,USA,+450,10.0%,221,43,+01.8
Nov24,USA,+477,08.7%,260,51,+03.0
Dec01,USA,+446,09.2%,291,56,+03.4
Dec08,USA,+546,09.8%,310,61,+04.1
Dec15,USA,+586,09.0%,335,65,+04.1

cases,positive-rate,hospital,ICU,deaths
per million population
Dec03 : Czech reduces measures

Dec03, IdF=21.3%,Grand Est=15.2%,AuvergneRhoneAlpes=14.3%
US Life Expectancy at Birth down >1 year
ICU capacity falls below 15% in S-CA , meeting threshold for SHO
900 staff positive at Mayo clinic,Rochester,MN
exposure mostly happened in rest rooms and lunchrooms
76% infected in Manaos,Brazil
UK advises against Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine because of allergical reactions
Dec11, Mueller expects hard lockdown in Germany on Dec20
US-MA:12.5% infected , 0.16% dead
Dec13: hard lockdown in Germany on Dec16
Macron tests positive
weekly 418 EU : http://magictour.free.fr/euw50.GIF
51-US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/rt1215.GIF
euromomo week 50 : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo50.GIF
last ECDC-205 daily from Dec.14 : http://magictour.free.fr/e-1214.GIF
now weekly, maybe I switch to daily 185-OWID
Pfizer vax efficacy was 52% after 1st dose and 95% after 2nd
22% with antibodies in Geneva

501.V2 Variant in South Africa

37
nCoV - discussion / Re: updates
« on: December 19, 2020, 04:36:06 am »
http://magictour.free.fr/e-1007.GIF


2020/06/29
China,12+4+6,7Beijing ; Korea,41 ; Germany,262,4,R=0.71,0.71 ;
India,39 ; Brazil,30 ; Mexico,19 ; TX,37 ; AZ,55 ; FL,64 ; Pakistan,21 ; Russia,11
ALB,31;AZE,35;BGR,25;BUH,--;CRO,26;ROM,11;UKR,28; POL,06;ISR,27;GRC,05;SLN,07
MDA,19;ARM,31;MKD,30;HUN,01;CYP,--;TUR,07;SRB,18; K OS,38;CZE,#306 !! ;SLK,#14
Czech,#40,47,51,118,126,42,50,63,89,127,93,168,260,305
Slovakia,#1,3,3,4,0,9,0,14,11,0,0,0,18,23,13,14
picture : http://magictour.free.fr/cz-0628.GIF
no 2nd wave, they say. Miners tested.
post-peak in Florida ? http://magictour.free.fr/us-fl.GIF
=================================================
2====================
2020/10/15,Thu
GER,6638,128,33; SPA,11970,991,189; FRA,22591,1116,95,ITA,7332,43; UK,19724,680,137
ISR,1848,43,ARG,DNK,492,1; CZE,9543,66;NLD,7287,32;ROM,4016,66;BEL,8271,34
Wien,8.7,Aragon,13.2,Spain,11.8,Madrid,14.9
Dow=28240,Biden=65.5,US-CDS=16.1
Czech builds emergency field hospitals
===========================================
2020/10/16,Fri
GER,7334,136,24;SPA,13318,1052,140;FRA,30621,-,88;ITA,8803,83;UK,18978,792,138
ISR,1002,11;DNK,490,2;CZE,9720,58;NLD,7791,29;BEL,10448,49;ROM,4013,73
Dow=28494,Biden=65.1,gold=1913,US-CDS=16.0,USA national debt=$24T
Wien,4.9%,Aragon,17.1,Madrid,15.0,Spain,12.5
Argentina,pop=45.3M , @BNODesk , 2h ago (02:30 UTC)
cases=949063(+17096),hosp.=28987(+180),
ICU=4278(+38),deaths=25342(+421),pr=61.8%;
Belgium,pop=11.6M,10448,1949+172,327+14,49,pr=12.7
NLD,pop=19.2M,7997,1553+27,345+32,18
Health workers in France go on strike
===============================================
2020/10/17,Sat
GER,7830,111,33;SPA,15186,838,222;FRA,25086,1202,178;ITA,10009,55;UK,15635,844,136
ISR,2394,32 lockdown continued;ARG,16546,60.4%,368,68,381
CZE,11105,pr=29%,3120+200,551+8,1283+53
DNK,418,0;BEL,10448,49;NLD,7984,16;ROM,4026,75
Dow=28606,Biden=63.5,gold=1906,US-CDS=16.2
Wien,14.7,Aragon,20.1,Spa,11.7,Mad,14.7,Cat,15.6
the 2nd wave peaked in fall already in [DNK,MDA,EST,MNE ? , fill in]
Manaos,66% infected, 0.2% died
==================================================
2020/10/18,Sun
GER,5587,141,10;FRA,32427,964,89;ITA,10925,47;UK,16171,987,150
ISR,874,49;ARG,BEL,10192,32;NLD,8141,28;CZE,14152,80;
ROM,3952,63;CHE,POL,9622,84;
Wien,16.3,Aragon,17.0
Dow=28419,Biden=62.3,gold=1903,US-CDS=16.2
=================================================
2020/10/19,Mon
GER,4915,105,17;FRA,29837,13.2%,10897+498,1939+71,+85; ITA,11705,69;UK,16981,924,67
ISR,379,42;BEL,10964,33;NLD,8155,15;CZE,7065,64;ROM,3920,60;POL,8536,49
Wien,10.4,Aragon,18.0
ARG,10561,76%,29436+124,4387+1,+161
CZE,+5059,30.2%,3519+104,587-9,+70  {3104,39 last Mon}
DOW=28419,Biden=60.8,gold=1926,US-CDS=16.2
=================================================
2020/10/20,Thu
GER,6868,66,47;SPA,37889,1699,217; FRA,13243,1417, 146,ITA,9337,73; UK,18803,988,80
ISR,1767,54;ARG,12982,449; BEL,8227,30;NLD,CZE,8077,29.6%,3721+202,91; ROM,2466,59; POL,7482,41
Wien,Aragon,19.1,Madrid,15.1,Spain,12.3 ; no peak in Spain,France or elsewhere yet
Dow,28195,Biden,59.9,gold,1906,US-CDS=16.2,ITA-CDS=124.7,VIX=30

peak in Ile de France ?  https://raw.githubusercontent.com/rozierguillaume/covid-19/master/images/charts/france/departements_dashboards/dashboard_jour_Ile-de-France.jpeg

=================================================
2020/10/21,Wed
GER,-,117,-;SPA,13873,1222,218;FRA,20468,1924,262; ITA,10874,89; UK,21330,860,241
ISR,2239,59,ARG,16347,384;CZE,10799,99;BEL,-,-;NLD,8165,46;ROM,3400,65;POL,9291,107
Wien,6.7,Aragon,17.8,Spain,13.0,Madrid,17.4,Cata,11.5
Dow=28309,Biden=61.8,gold=1913,US-CDS=16.1,ITA-CDS=127.5,VIX=29
NZ has 25 new Covid-19 cases today
ARG,+16337,43.6%,29867(+253),4451(+59),+384
CZE,+11984,26.3%,4064+343,634+45,+106
GER,+7032,4163+337,880+25,+56
POL,+10040,16.9%,9439+477,757+25,+130

=============================================
2020/10/22,Thu
Italy,+15199,14.3%,9057+603,926+56,+127
GER,10463,55;SPA,16973,156;FRA,26676,1754,164;ITA,15199,127;UK,26688,193
CZ,14969,120;ARG,BEL,9679,46;
Dow=28211,Biden=63.4,gold=1928,CDS=16.1,125.5,VIX=29
ARG,+18326,47.8%,30067+,4573+122,+423
Wien,9.2,Aragon,17.1;Cataluna,13.2
================================================
2020/10/23/Fri
GER,SPA,20986,185;FRA,41622,152;ITA,16078,136;UK,21238,189
CZ,14150,106;BEL,13227,50;ARG,15928,344;ROM,4902,98
NLD,9271,46;CH,5256,11
DOW=28364,Biden=66.3,gold=1908,CDS=16.7,125.4
Wien,08.1,Aragon,20.9
=============================================
2020/10/24,Sat
GER,14714,46;SPA,19851,231;FRA,42032,298;ITA,19143,91;UK,,20530,224
CZE,15258,126;BEL,16746,49;NLD,9996,45;ROM,5028,82;POL,13632,153
CH,6634,15;ISR,593,10;ARG,15718,381,US,79219,894;CDN=2584,26
DOW=28336,Biden=65.4,gold=1903,CDS=16.1,125.1
BEL,+17568,18.8%,4061+412,632+59,+70
CZE+15252,30.8%,5044+267,751+16,+126
ARG,+15718,44.0%,30405+158,4696+85,+382
Czech health secretary Prymula forced to withdraw for being photographed
 leaving a restaurant without mask
=============================================
2020/10/25,Sun
FRA,+45422,16.0%,15637+629,2491+50,+138
BEL,+17709,20.0%,4401+340,708+76,+079
CZE,+12472,34.5%,5314+270,772+21,+106
USA-IL,+6169,7.4%,2616+118,560+49,+063

CZE,Sun/Sat : 0.63,1.06,0.97,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.78,0.82
Biden,65.8,CDS,16.0,122.0,DOW,28336,gold,1903
Spain declares national health emergency
==========================================
2020/10/26,Mon
China,137Xinjiang
FRA,52010;CZE,4576;
USA,+65413,5.9%,41753-129,8488-71,+337
FRA,+52010,17.0%,16454+817,2575+84,+116
CZE,+7301,34.4%,5345+31,800+28,+124
BEL,+15622,20.5%,4827+426,757+49,+73
 Macron predicts 9 more months of COVID-19 agony
# that would be an estimated 20M cases and 200000 deaths in France
# in 9 months without lockdown
1st phase of mass-testing in Slovakia finished
6000 new positives , (usually 2500 positives/d)
 antigen - quicktest , 3 weekends , 5 million people
El Paso, Texas, issues stay-at-home order
Dow=28056,Biden=66.2,gold=1900,CDS=,VIX=29
Dow=27641
--------------------------------------------------------
2020/10/27,Tue,

Code: [Select]
Oct27,FRA,+26771,17.8%,17784+1330,2770+195,258
Oct20,FRA,+20468,13.6%,12458+0818,2177+087,262
Oct27,UK-,+20890,06.5%,09296+0229,0823+019,102
Oct20,UK-,+21331,08.2%,06899+0506,0654+030,241
Oct27,ITA,+17012,21.6%,12997+0991,1284+076,141
Oct20,ITA,+10874,12.4%,08454+0778,0870+073,089
BEL,
Oct27,CZE,+10273,34.4%,05613+0268,0828+028,164
Oct20,CZE,+08076,29.6%,03721+0202,0589+002,+091
Oct27,GER,+11409,06.4%,06481+0748,1371+075,044
Oct20,GER,+07032,--.-%,04163+0337,0880,+025,056
Oct28,USA,+73096,06.9%,44212+1295,8909+067,931

Wien,Spain,13.1,Madrid,11.1,Catalunya,13.3%,Aragon,21.9%
   going down in Madrid ?
deaths continue to go up in CZE {FRA} to 14/M/d {4/M/d}
will it go to >50/M/d as in wave1 without measures ?
Dow=27685,Biden=64.6,gold=1905,VIX=31
Oct27,Moderna=71,Novavax=87,Inovio=11,BioNTech=70
Mar12,Novavax=9.59,Moderna=22.51,Inovio=9.83,BioNTech=29
BioNTech-7% yesterday (there had been speculation about
a German vaccine by end 2020 recently)
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/10/28,Wed
Code: [Select]
USA,73096,06.9%,44212+1295,8909+067,931
GER,13071,06.9%,07060+579,1476+105,82
FRA,33417,18.4%,18978+1194,2918+148,527
SPA,18418,13.8%,16696+688,2292+129,267
ITA,21994,20.7%,13955+958,1411+127,221
UK-,22885,08.7%,09502+206,0852+029,367
BEL,13571,26.4%,05554+294,0911+102,139
CZE,15663,29.4%,06191+578,0893+065,182
TX-,07055,08.1%,05512+234,1601+56,81

Dow=27220,Biden=63.9,gold=1909,CDS=16.0,118.1,VIX=32
jg:60% of Madrid infected  https://twitter.com/ChGefaell/status/1321204081227083777
France considers 30d lockdown, BFM TV {most watched, 10M daily}
intense lobbying from advisers for a new lockdown in UK
Germany,meeting today,"lockdown light" suggested
(not a lockdown,IMO, others had stricter measures without success)
-------------------------------------------------------------
2020/10/29,Thu
Code: [Select]
USA,78661,07.4%,45045+0833,9034+125,1025
GER,16282,06.5%,07684+0624,1577+101,097
FRA,36437,18.6%,20207+1229,3045+127,244
SPA,19765,13.5%,17073+0377,2368+076,168
ITA,24991,20.5%,14981+1026,1536+125,205
UK-,24701,08.8%,10316+0814,0902+050,310
BEL,21048,27.6%,05924+0370,0993+082,132
CZE,12980,--.-%,-----+----,----+---,128


nationwide semi-lockdown in Germany and France
Macron says up to 400000 people will die {in France} if no action is taken,
Dow=26520,Dax=11513,Biden=64.0,gold=1878,VIX=35,CDS=16,119,crude-oil=37.5
Italien plant neue Beschränkungen
BioNTech Aktie: Ganz wichtige News stehen an!

------------------------------------------------------
2020/10/30,Fri
Code: [Select]
USA,88452,06.7%,46095+1050,9208+174,1049
GER,18526,07.0%,08121+437,1700+123,077 ; 464300 in Quarantine
FRA,47637,19.4%,21183+976,3156+111,235h ; lockdown
SPA,23580,13.3%,17520+447,2404+36,173
ITA,26831,22.6%,15964,+983,1651+115,217
UK-,23065,07.5%,10699+383,957+55,280
BEL,23921,31.1%,06187+263,1057+64,138
CZE,13051,34.4%,06604-020,1031+069,187
IL,6363,07.7%,3030+169,643+43,56

Dow=26126,Dax=11402,Biden=63.5,gold=1869,oil-WTI=36.3,VIX=36,CDS=15.8,127.7
BioNTech,+9%;

shutdown in El Paso (against State-order)
---------------------------------------------------
2020/10/31,Sat
Code: [Select]
USA,97080,07.1%,46688+593,9437+229,933
GER,19059,07.4%,8707+586,1858+158,103
FRA,49215,20%,22153+0970,3368+212,545 (256h
SPA,25595,12.8%,18162+0642,2482+078,239
ITA,31084,24.0%,16994+1030,1746+095,199
UK-,24405,274
BEL,20056,32.1%,06438+0251,1105+048,144
CZE,13605,33.5%,07281+0677,1068+037,216

Boris Johnson considering nationwide lockdown
Slovakia test all people>10 this weekend
lockdown Barcelona,Belgium,

Dow=26500,Dax=11620,Biden=64.0,gold=1879,oil-WTI=35.7,VIX=34,CDS=16.0,124.7
Wien,weekly pr : 5.71%,5.92%,7.85%,7.62%,9.99%
last days : 7.5%,8.5%,11.2%,14.2%,14.2%
-----------------------------------------------------------
2020/11/01,Sun
Code: [Select]
USA,90058,06.6%,47374+686,9495+58,960
GER,14177,29
FRA,35641,20.2%,23036+883,3453+85,224h
UK-,21915,06.3%,11108+183,978+03,326
ITA,31758,24.0%,17966+972,1843+97,297
BEL,16915,30.7%,6497+59,1160+55,173
CZE,11429,173
Wien,16.7%,

DOW=26522,DAX=11622,Biden=64.9,gold=1880,CDS=15.8,124,VIX=34
England lockdown,shops closed,
Austria lockdown (curfew 20-06,recreation.closed)
Portugal partial lockdown from Nov04 on
-------------------------------------------------------------------
2020/11/02,Mon
GER,12097,49
FRA,46290,20.4,24031+995,3578+125,231
UK-,23254,162
ITA,29907,208
BEL,16915,173
CZE,3905,97

Dow=26451,Dax=11609,Biden=64.4;gold=1882,VIX=34,oil=34.5,CDS=15.8,124

half of Slovakia population tested in one day
decline in French cities
---------------------------------------------------
2020/11/03,Tue
USA,76031,447
FRA,52518,20.6%,17683,2678,418
GER,15945,08.1%,+869,2265+204,110
UK-,18950,136
ITA,22253,233
SPA,50019,379, weekend , 18340,127
BEL,11789,112
CZE,04055,174
CHE,21926,078 , pop=8.7M

Biden=63.8,DOW=27020,DAX=11900,gold=1893,oil=36.9,VIX=33,CDS=15.8,124

 mass testing in Liverpool , 18:00,Biden=60.4,Dow=27544
----------------------------------------------------------------
2020/11/04,Wed
USA,86507,07.7%,50340+1870,10105+247,1079
GER,16498,08.4%,10979+972,2397+132,152, 546400 quarantined
FRA,36330,20.6%,26265+1122,3878+148,858
SPA,18669,13.9%,19943+773,2754+104,238
ITA,28244,25.7%,21114+1274,2225+203,353
CZE,6803,205
BEL,5186,26.9%,7485+254,1371+49,268
CHE,6126,67
NLD,7743,113

Biden=30,Dow=27237,DAX=11952,Euro=1.165,gold=1894,VIX=31.6
--============================================
2020/11/05,Thu
USA,103087,08.5%+0.8,52049+1709,10445+340,1116
GER,20087,07.5%,11865+886,2575+178,145
UK-,25177,09.5%,12944+97,1142-2,492
FRA,40558,??,?%,27,534+1269,4089+211,394  incomplete
SPA,25042,11.9%,20325+382,2786+32,297 (+1326 backlog)
ITA,30550,24.0%,22116+1002,2292+67,352
UK-,25177,09.5%,12944+97,1142-02,492
BEL,5955,268
CZE,15731,220

----------------------------------------------
DOW=27655,DAX=12251,gold=1906,oil=39.0,VIX=29, Biden=76%,CDS=15.8,121
Biden=86% at 00:00UTC,90% at 05:00,85% at 07:00
Greece preparing nationwide lockdown, l
Lithuania partial lockdown
Italy curfew 22-05
===========================================
2020/11/06,Fri
USA,116255,07.6%,53322+1273,10583+138,1124
FRA,58046,??,?,28426+892,4230+141,367 incomplete
ITA,34505,25.6%+1.6,23256+1140,2391,+99,428
POL,27143,40.4%,19114+460,1615-10,367
POL,27086,32.7%,19479+365,1703+88,445
SPA,17908,368
CZE,13231,107
BEL,11128,209

Dow=28300,Dax=12515,Biden=92,gold=1946,VIX=28,oil=38.6,CDS=15.7,120

Denmark puts 7 municipalities on lockdown amid concern over
coronavirus mutation found in at least 12 people
15% of COVID-deaths related to air-pollution
rumors that Putin will quit, has Parkinson
==========================================
2020/11/07,Sat
FRA,60486,??.?,28979+553,4331+101,835=405h
USA,125552,08.2%,54824,+1502,11085+502,1186
ITA,37809,28.1%+2.5,24005+749,2515+124,446
BEL,11128,189 ; per week:14937,12440 daily cases ; 097,173 daily deaths
CZ,05846,154 ; per week : 10411,10588 daily cases , 143,201 daily deaths
=========================================
2020/11/08,Sun
USA,128396,09.5%+1.3,55817+993,11078-7,1097
FRA,86852,20.6% -,29421+442,4421,+90,306
ITA,39811,28.9%+0.8,25109+1104,2634+119,425
POL,27875,41.7%+9,20249+770,1813+110,349
[@BNODesk gives these numbers, but regularly, I don't know the source]

Code: [Select]
CZE,10716,411220+13429,4681+197
BEL,11607,488044+8703,12708+188
HUN,9652,104943+5318,2357+107
BIH,3273,61212+1785,1498+41
ARM,2965,104249+2476,1533+27
SVN,2079,44270+1612,531+34,
MKD,2083,38782+1283,1110+14
MNE,628,22379+300,333+5
ARG,45342,1236851+8037,33348+212
country,population,cases,death

night curfew in Portugal in 121/308 communes including Lisboa
Spain now gives cases since Jan01
========================================
2020/11/09,Mon
FRA,38619,20.3%-0.3,30243+822,4539+118,271
ITA,32616,27.4%-1.5,26440+1331,2749+115,331
=========================================
2020/11/10,Tue
USA,118497,08%-0.8,59274+2481,11533+419,580
FRA,20155,19.8%-0.5,31125+882,4690+151,551
SPA,52386,13.5%+0.2,21029+790,3007+144,512
ITA,25271,28.5%+1.1,27636+1196,2849+100,356
POL,21713,50%+9.4,20967+753,1804-37,173
BELw,10223,204 [17689,127][13185,49]
CZEw,10791,228 [11935,175][12030,111]

38
nCoV - discussion / B.1.1.7 = vui-202012/1
« on: December 17, 2020, 10:48:12 pm »
https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/901351-england-new-variant-of-covid19-coronavirus-may-be-causing-faster-spread-in-some-areas-december-14-2020-wales-scotland-denmark






twitter-thread from @Chjulian , translated from Spanish :

 Update: Headlines announce the identification of a "new variant" of the coronavirus in the UK.
 It is not clear if the new variant is responsible for the increase in cases.
However, this variant is interesting. And here I tell you why 37 / n
@Chjulian
·
First, we need to understand that our immune system uses specialized mechanisms
to recognize and eliminate the virus, preventing its spread and ending disease.
The infectious period is the time in which we can transmit SARS-CoV-2 to another person

In the case of COVID19, the infectious period begins a couple of days before symptoms
develop and can last up to a couple of weeks (more details here https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/10/8/e039856
). The disease is generally acute, short-lived bone 39 / n

An Immunocompetent individual has a normal
immune response. When our immune
system is weakened, we say it is immunosuppressed. Immunosuppressed individuals
may have persistent infections that last for longer periods of time (months!) 40 / n

Under these conditions, SARS-CoV-2 can accumulate many more mutations than we
would expect (in a single individual) and which could be transmitted if the transmission
is successful after a long time 41 / n

Remember that it is normal for viruses to mutate and SARS-CoV-2 accumulates
(on average) one or two mutations per month at the population level 42 / n
[##  1.43 per month , ua5m1.gif {gsgs} ]

The new variant (named B.1.1.7) has 17 mutations (woah!). And it is speculated that
it could have originated in an individual with a persistent infection (for example,
an immunosuppressed individual, but we have no information about it) 43 / n

It is important to mention that our immune system goes to the battlefield as quickly
 as possible to avoid an arms race at the molecular level, reducing the chances that
the virus will produce a mutation that allows it to evade our immune response 44 / n

If the hypothesis turns out to be true, it can have important consequences for treatment.
 A persistent infection accumulates diversity and depending on how we treat it, we may
or may not cause an arms race at the molecular level 45 / n

That is, to select mutations with unknown epidemiological potential. There is no need
 to be alarmed, I just want to show how we scientists must think and articulate our strategy
to face the battle in the short, medium and long term 46 / N

Nor can we say that a persistent infection in an immunosuppressed individual is a
greater problem than infections in immunocompetent individuals. Definitely the
evolutionary forces that "moderate" the evolution of the virus are different and ... 47 / n

... we hope that the origin of B.1.1.7 was somewhat unusual and had nothing to do
 with the increase in cases (studies continue). There is also a second hypothesis
(with less support) to explain why this variant has so many 48 / n mutations

Are you sure they remember minks? there is always the slim chance that SARS-CoV-2
will adapt to other mammals (By the way, there are no minks on farms in the UK),
but a prolonged epidemic ... 49 / n

... in the fauna around us it could result in new genetic variants that could (after a while)
jump to humans with various mutations. For this and other reasons, it is important to
evaluate what is happening at the level of the fauna around us 50 / n

t really amazes me how much we learn and the twists and turns a sprout can take! 51 / n

Fortunately, there is no evidence (to date) that this variant has an impact on the severity
of the disease or on the effectiveness of 52 / n vaccines.



39
actual epidemic charts / USA-deaths
« on: December 14, 2020, 01:35:49 am »
Code: [Select]
2453229, 2774641 ,04,All Cause
 2234697, 2550736 ,05,Natural Cause
   32960,   33776 ,06,Septicemia (A40-A41)
  518136,  512577 ,07,Malignant neoplasms (C00-C97)
   75070,   84086 ,08,Diabetes mellitus (E10-E14)
  103200,  111955 ,09,Alzheimer disease (G30)
   42979,   46919 ,10,Influenza and pneumonia (J09-J18)
  135074,  130283 ,11,Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40-J47)
   37774,   38305 ,12,Other diseases of respiratory system (J00-J06,J30-J39,J67,J70-J98)
   44132,   44405 ,13,Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis (N00-N07,N17-N19,N25-N27)
   27040,   52927 ,14,Symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified (R00-R99)
  565959,  582547 ,15,Diseases of heart (I00-I09,I11,I13,I20-I51)
  128206,  134272 ,16,Cerebrovascular diseases (I60-I69)
       0,  236985 ,17,COVID-19 (U071, Multiple Cause of Death)
       0,  216748 ,18,COVID-19 (U071, Underlying Cause of Death)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
    2019,    2020 ,  weeks 1-45

40
nCoV - discussion / Re: Apr07 model UofWA
« on: December 09, 2020, 05:54:09 am »
2020/12/09, death forecasts per 2021/04/01 by IHME :
USA=538893,GER=108119,FRA=93581,ITA=101176,UK=118674,BRA=217147,IRN=94389

2021-06-13, death forecasts per 2021-10-01 by IHME :
USA=950337,GER=133026,FRA=143473,ITA=164264,UK=153761,BRA=727083,IND=1198621,all,9505216


41
genetics / release 240.0
« on: November 03, 2020, 01:19:51 am »
2020/11/03 , genbank release 240 , Oct.15 is available

https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/genbank/gbrel.txt

release 239 from Aug2020 had 39 virus files with 17491 MB and 3161686 sequences and 5824026918 Bases
   and 50462 coronavirus nucleotide sequences
release 240 from Oct2020 has 44 virus files with 18889 MB and 3223498 sequences and 6442230159 Bases
   and 68651 coronavirus nucleotide sequences 33844 of which are SARS2

42
genetics / Re: genbank 04/11
« on: October 28, 2020, 10:19:00 pm »
2020/10/29 , 36846 sequences



----------------------------------------
    Charite has 544 German sequences now,
    36 from October , all with the D614G mutation
    https://civnb.info/sequences/

    the most frequent mutations from October are :

    36,C3037T,C241T,C14408T,A23403G
    14,G28883C,14,G28882A,14,G28881A

    10,G21255C
    9,T445C
    9,G29645T
    9,G25563T
    9,C6286T
    9,C28932T
    9,C22227T
    8,G27870T
    8,C6040T
    8,C27944T
    8,C26801T
    8,C21614T
    7,C28854T

    27 (10 from October) are the new Spanish strain "20A.EU1" from this paper :
    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...063v1.full.pdf
    mutation picture : http://magictour.free.fr/sars2de5.GIF
   

43
nCoV - discussion / Re: updates
« on: October 18, 2020, 05:53:35 am »
links Oct18 :

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
China : http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
Korea : http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
Italy : https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-regioni/dpc-covid19-ita-regioni.csv

Spain : https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_205_COVID-19.pdf
-Fri: https://www.isciii.es/QueHacemos/Servicios/VigilanciaSaludPublicaRENAVE/EnfermedadesTransmisibles/Paginas/InformesCOVID-19.aspx
Madrid,Wed: https://www.comunidad.madrid/sites/default/files/doc/sanidad/epid/informe_epidemiologico_semanal_covid.pdf
https://www.comunidad.madrid/sites/default/files/doc/sanidad/200907_cam_covid19.pdf
Aragon : https://transparencia.aragon.es/COVID19
https://www.aragon.es/documents/20127/38742837/casos_coronavirus_provincias.csv
Catalunya: https://analisi.transparenciacatalunya.cat/

France: https://www.data.gouv.fr/en/datasets/donnees-hospitalieres-relatives-a-lepidemie-de-covid-19/#_
https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/donnees-relatives-aux-resultats-des-tests-virologiques-covid-19/
https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/taux-dincidence-de-lepidemie-de-covid-19/#_

Germany : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
India: https://www.mohfw.gov.in/
UK, hosp.: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
ECDC subnational : https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/subnational-14-day-notification-rate-covid-19
ECDC subnational weekly : https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/weekly-subnational-14-day-notification-rate-covid-19
ECDC,hosp. : https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-data-hospital-and-icu-admission-rates-and-current-occupancy-covid-19
hospit.0828 : https://osf.io/43ucn/download
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
US: https://covidtracking.com/api  https://covidtracking.com/api/v1/states/daily.csv
US, by County : https://usafactsstatic.blob.core.windows.net/public/data/covid-19/covid_confirmed_usafacts.csv
US: R[t] : https://d14wlfuexuxgcm.cloudfront.net/covid/rt.csv
US,deaths : https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/y5bj-9g5w/rows.csv?accessType=DOWNLOAD&bom=true&format=true%20target=
OxCGRT-Index : https://github.com/OxCGRT/covid-policy-tracker/raw/master/data/OxCGRT_latest.csv
F,deaths : https://www.insee.fr/fr/statistiques/4487988?sommaire=4487854

spain ; https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/#ccaa
Belgium : https://t.co/8XtR9D5IKV?amp=1
Vienna : https://coronavirus.wien.gv.at/site/aktuelle-kennzahlen-aus-wien/
Argentina : https://www.argentina.gob.ar/salud/epidemiologia/boletines2020

NDR :  https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/
WDR : https://www1.wdr.de/nachrichten/themen/coronavirus/ticker-corona-virus-nrw-100.html
Biden: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/
CDS : http://www.worldgovernmentbonds.com/cds-historical-data/


-------------------------------------------------
charts :

world , daily cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/e-1017.GIF
European regions : http://magictour.free.fr/euw39.GIF
weekly : http://magictour.free.fr/wo_34a.GIF

44
nCoV - discussion / Re: updates
« on: October 18, 2020, 05:47:40 am »
========
2020/09/22
DEU,1821,10;ESP,31428,168; FRA,4209,?; BEL,2646,11;ITA,2937,32;GBR,4368,11;NLD,5948,8
ISR,4300,30;HUN,876,3;CZE,1190,19;AUT,632,1;ROM,808,23;UKR,2675,26;POL,748,5
Wien,205,1,4.16%, Aragon,pr=10.3; Madrid,11991*,24*
 past exposure to dengue may provide some immunity against COVID-19
=====================================================
2020/09/23,Wed
DEU,1769,13;ESP,10799,241;FRA,10008,78;BEL,1097,2;ITA,1391,14;GBR,4926,37;NLD,2245,10
ISR,2445,12; HUN,633,8;CZE,1566,9;AUT,662,4;ROM,1059,45;UKR,2884,59;POL,711,18
Wien,305,3,6.0,Aragon,pr=10.9,Madrid,3652,106
ehw38a.GIF, wo31c.GIF
in week 38, cases were increasing in 80 from 120 reporting Countries with >5M population  (it was 48 from 119 in week 37)
=============================================================
2020/09/24,Thu
DEU,2143,19;ESP,11289,778,130;FRA,13072,649,43;BEL,2931,7;ITA,1640,20;GBR,6178,37;NLD,4602,15
ISR,12306,42;HUN,951,8;CZE,3827,25;AUT,848,6;ROM,1767,47,UKR,3497,63;POL,974,28
Wien,pr=6.1;Aragon,pr=7.9;madrid,3730,147,4,32
According to a preprint, Tokyo reached 46% AB-Seroprevalence
to myself : I should update mobility charts
Austria : https://www.data.gv.at/covid-19/
https://osf.io/mpwjq/files/   https://osf.io/43ucn/download
Trump announced today he will overrule FDA in the vaccine if he disagrees with them
southern hemisphere skipped flu season in 2020
Euromomo week 38 : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo38.PNG
===================================================
2020/09/25,Fri
DEU,2153,15;ESP,10653,84;FRA,16096,613,53,BEL,1661,4;ITA,1786,23;GBR,6634,40;NLD,
ISR,7425,53;HUN,750,7;CZE,2910,12;AUT,686,6;ROM,1639,41;UKR,3372,52;POL,1136,25
Wien - delay;Aragon,8.33;Madrid,4350,64,2,29,
Cidrap :Falling COVID-19 viral loads may explain lower rates of ICU use, deaths
IHME predicts 378321 US-COVID-deaths by Jan01, they assume seasonality
in deaths from COVID
to myself : examine Belgium's lack of elderly infections in wave 2
create the out10.csv charts
mobility charts created (national only), mobility is generally high again,
no concern to travel in wave 2,
  no clear connection of waves and mobility pattern
Spanish government recommends locking down all of Madrid
=================================================
2020/09/26.Sat
DEU,2507,92,9;ESP,12272,840,114;FRA,15797,661,56(150);ITA,1912,20;
GBR,6873,34;BEL,1881,6;NLD,5321,32;POL,1587,23;CZE,1653,11;AUT,769,3;
ROM,1629,42;UKR,3565,70;HUN,927,9;ISR,3168,27
Wien,5.4;Aragon,861;Madrid,2941,183,10,23
===============================================
2020/09/27,Sun
DEU,1411,80,5;ESP,,;FRA,14412,475,39;ITA,1869,17;GBR,6041,35
BEL,2208,4;NLD,2713,38;POL,1584,32;CZE,3267,13;AUT,618,1;
ROM,1552,54;UKR,3833,6;HUN,950,12;ISR,11827,36;ARG,11249,335
Wien,Aragon,861;Madrid,4350,64,2,29
doctors threaten to go on strike in Spain, too much work
scientists go on strike in Belgium, politicians should not hide behind scientists
but give their own interviews (or such)
======================================
2020/09/28,Mon
DEU,1192,52,3;FRA,11123,229,27;ITA,1766,17;UK,5692,17;BEL,1827,5;NLD,2995,8
CZE,718,10;USA,37149,421
ISR,3926,25;ARG,8841,206
Vienna,11.3;Aragon,9.2;Madrid,2941,183,10,23
Vienna, weekly positive-rate from 6.02 down to 5.71  !
hospitalizations were increasing by 20%, though
with a total of 244 deaths so far in a city of 1.9M
Aragon's wave2 started early, they had a double-peak and it's also
declining now : 450 deaths in wave 2 so far. (930 in wave 1) pop.=1.3M
RKI-review of NPIs :https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Projekte_RKI/impact-control-measures-oecd.pdf?__blob=publicationFile
few elderly cases in wave 2 in Austria and Belgium : http://magictour.free.fr/aged1.GIF
====================================
2020/09/29,Tue
DEU,2089,41,11;SPA,31785,1297,179;FRA,4070,589,81;ITA,1494,16;UK,4044,13
ISR,2239,41;ARG,11807,364
Wien,6.6;Aragon,12.9;Madrid,13449,224,9,33(3d) {h-weekly:671,704,460,855}
DAX=12862,DOW=27564,Euro=1.167,bitcoin=9156,gold=1880,oil=42.85,VIX=31
============================================
2020/09/30,Wed
GER,1798,70,17; SPA,9906,900,203; FRA,8051,638,85; ITA,1647,24; UK,7143,71
ISR,3661,21 holiday; ARG,13477,406
Wien,4.5; Aragon,8.8; Madrid,18.3; Spain,10.9;Israel,15.0
=============================================
2020/10/01,Thu
GER,2503,89,12; SPA,11016,815,177; FRA,12845,617,63; ITA,1850,19; UK,7108,71
ISR,8568,41; ARG,14392,418
Wien,6.1; Aragon,8.8; Madrid,18.7;Spain,11.9;
Madrid quarantined (now as it goes down in Madrid : daily PR=
21.6,19.3,20.9,24.4,24.9,22.9,21.9, 22.2,21.7,23.2,20.9,21.9,19.5,18.3,18.7)
After months of debate, NL issues 'urgent advice' for masks in public spaces -
German chancellor : 19200 daily German cases by Xmas
=============================================
2020/10/02,Fri
GER,2673,121,8;SPA,9414,829,88,182; FRA,13970,603,63;ITA,2548,24;UK,6914,69
ISR,7996,53;ARG,14001,3351 ?!? (20288 total deaths)
Wien,Aragon,8.7; Madrid,18.0;Spain,09.3
R0 below 1 in France : https://covidtracker.fr/covidtracker-france/
Trump has COVID
DAX=12593,DOW=27373,Euro=1.1727,Gold=1906,oil=39.5,VIX=33.5
----------------------------------------------
recategorization of 3050 deaths from the Province of Buenos Aires
Argentina quarantine Mar20-Oct11
====================================================
2020/10/03,Sat
GER,2563,66,19;SPA,11325,762,59,113;FRA,12148,678,136,ITA,2499,23;UK,6968,66
ISR,7030,11;ARG,14687,311
Wien,9.6; Aragon,10.9,Madrid,18.4,Spain,9.5,DOW=27691
===========================================
2020/10/04,Sun,typically reduced weekend numbers
DEU,2279,78,2;SPA,FRA,16972,498,43;ITA,2843,27;UK,12871(sep24-Oct01),324,49
ISR,2577,25;ARG,11129,196
Wien,Aragon,10.9
==============================================
2020/10/05,Mon,typically reduced weekend numbers
GER,1382,42,5; FRA,12565,402,32; ITA,2668,18; UK,22961,422,33;
BEL,3389,7; NLD,AUT,716,4
ISR,1964,28; ARG,7868,223
Wien,10.6;Aragon,10.2 ; DAX=12739
Wien gives no weekly summary this time, is it because cases are going up again ?
6.02,5.71,5.92
NBC/WSJ poll finds Biden up 27 (!) among SENIORS.
bets are 61% for Biden :
https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/the-betting-markets-are-showing-a-big-biden-win-but-awaiting-an-update-20201005
==================================================
2020/10/06,Tue
GER,2639,30,12;SPA,23480,1080,139;FRA,12565,698,32;ITA,2257,16; UK,35554*,422,52
ISR,4564,59;ARG,7668,223
Wien,6.5;Aragon,12.5,Madrid,17.6,Spain,10.0
DOW=28135,Biden=67%(oddschecker.com)Trump recovered
UK-casecounts are messy currently. Better take hospitalizations.
They redouble in 14 days (as in France).
Currently 3000 people in hospital, max was 20000 in April (France,5000,30000)
Currently  3550 weekly admitted to hospital, max was  22000 in April  (France,4200,24000)
------
SARS2, survives on human skin for 9 hours
===================================================
2020/10/07,Wed
GER,2828,93,16; SPA,11078.883.141; FRA,10489,783,66; ITA,2677,28; UK,14538,496,76
ISR,4717,40; ARG,14740,359
Wien,6.9; Aragon,11.2;Madrid,18.9;Spain,10.6 (positive rates)
DOW=27798,Biden=67%
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/
Brussels closes all bars,cafes,restaurants
================================================
2020/10/08,Thu
GER,4058,121,16; SPA,10491,634,76; FRA,18746,765,80; ITA,3678,31; UK,14162,508,70
ISR,4455,27; ARG,16447,399;
Wien,7.4,Aragon,11.4,Madrid,21.3,Spain,10.8
DOW=28316,Biden=64.3
、野生动物病毒库、
======================================
2020/10/09,Fri
GER,4516,111,11;SPA,12423,988,126; FRA,18129,685,76;ITA,4458,22;UK,17540,609,77
ISR,3224,40; ARG,16447,399
Wien,9.8,Aragon,13.3,Madrid,14.9,Spain,9.4
DOW=28429,Biden=64.5
==========================================
2020/10/10,Sat
GER,4721,127,15;SPA,12788,913,261;FRA,20339,820,109; ITA,5372,28;UK,13864,87
ISR,2522,22; ARG,15099,515
Wien,8.5,Aragon,13.0;Madrid,15.8;Spain,9.8
DOW=28585,Biden=64.4
Van Kerkhove : mortality rate is down because of health systems,
"we are doing better" ... treating patients
{but hospitalisations are also down)
======================================\
2020/10/11,Sun
GER,3483,109,11;SPA;FRA,26896,665,101;ITA,5724,29;UK,15165,684,81
ISR,2017,55;ARG,12414,356;NLD,6499,23;BEL,5385,25;DNK,489
Wien,7.5--weekly:5.71,5.92,7.85;Aragon,14.3
heading towards 1 confirmed daily case ber 1000 population and
"herd immunity" with 10%-20% infected everywhere.
I would be surprised if NE-USA were spared
China,Korea - maybe. India,Brazil,Mexico may get another wave in Feb
Mortality and hospitalisations are low currently, they don't know why.
Will it rise again in late winter as we saw in March ?
Canada-study : masks reduce infections "up to" 30%
Low zinc levels at admission = poor outcomes
8 from 233 positives were  hospitalized =3.4%..,
43% of positives had symptoms after 30d, 24% after 90d
14% of very mild cases had symptoms after 30d
===========================================
2020/10/12,Mon
GER,2467,70,6;SPA,FRA,16101,482(t8231),46;ITA,5456,26;UK,12872,641(t3837),65
ISR,694,56;ARG,10324,135(t28298)287;DNK,927,2
Wien,10.8; Aragon,16.1; Argentina,72.5; Biden=67.6; Dow,28630
===================================================
2020/10/13,Tue
GER,4122,33,13;SPA,27856,1466,195;FRA,8505,962,141;ITA,4619,39;UK,13972,651,50
Israel,3538,41;Argentina,9524,318;
BEL,5327,16;NLD,6845,12;CZE,5001,69;HUN,1173,14;POL,4494,45;DNK,684,6
Biden=66.8,Dow=28835
Wien,2.8(whom did they test),Aragon,15.3,Spain,12.0,Madrid,18.6
------------------------------------
pop. in M : Vienna=1.9,CZE=10.7,HUN=9.7,ROM=19.2,ISR=8.7,UKR=4 3.7,SPA=46.8,BEL=11.6,
NLD=17.2,DEU=82.3,FRA=65.3,GBR=68.0,ITA=60.4,AUT=9 .0,
Vienna=1.9,Aragon=1.3,Madrid=6.5,Cataluna=7.5
ISR=8.6,ARG=45.3,POL=37.8,DNK,5.8
---------------------------------
estimated cost of COVID in US: $16T
=============================================
2020/10/14,Wed
GER,5132,102,43;SPA,7118,358,80;FRA,12993,1139,163;ITA,5898,41;UK,17232,655,143
ISR,2621,34;ARG,13305,386
BEL,3622,20;NLD,7378,35;CZE,6321,52;CHE,1445,7;DNK,489,3
Wien,7.3,Aragon,18.4,Spain,11.0,Madrid,18.4
Dow=28690,Biden=66.0,US-CDS=15.5
--------------------------
Spain deaths are plateauing at 120/day
with Madrid lockdown while Aragon gets its 3rd wave
after Catalunya stayed stable at moderate level for 11(!) weeks,
they got an 50% increase now last week
--------------------------
Latest positive rates in Europe:
UKR,17.2,POL,12.3,SPA,10.0,FRA,7.5,ITA,6.3,UK,5.9,RUS,2.8,GER,1.4
NL, bars restaurants closed no alcohol >20:00 , 3 private guests per day,
buses trains only if really necessary. Mask-rules (so far they had none).
-------------------------------
deaths in France are not increasing the last weeks ?! (but hospitalisations and
hospital deaths are increasing weekly: 190,356,351,384,503)
================================================
2020/10/15,Thu
GER,6638,128,33; SPA,11970,991,189; FRA,22591,1116,95,ITA,7332,43; UK,19724,680,137
ISR,1848,43,ARG,DNK,492,1; CZE,9543,66;NLD,7287,32;ROM,4016,66;BEL,8271,34
Wien,8.7,Aragon,13.2,Spain,11.8,Madrid,14.9
Dow=28240,Biden=65.5,US-CDS=16.1
Czech builds emergency field hospitals
===========================================
2020/10/16,Fri
GER,7334,136,24;SPA,13318,1052,140;FRA,30621,-,88;ITA,8803,83;UK,18978,792,138
ISR,1002,11;DNK,490,2;CZE,9720,58;NLD,7791,29;BEL,10448,49;ROM,4013,73
Dow=28494,Biden=65.1,gold=1913,US-CDS=16.0,USA national debt=$24T
Wien,4.9%,Aragon,17.1,Madrid,15.0,Spain,12.5
Argentina,pop=45.3M , @BNODesk , 2h ago (02:30 UTC)
cases=949063(+17096),hosp.=28987(+180),
ICU=4278(+38),deaths=25342(+421),pr=61.8%;
Belgium,pop=11.6M,10448,1949+172,327+14,49,pr=12.7
NLD,pop=19.2M,7997,1553+27,345+32,18
Health workers in France go on strike
===============================================
2020/10/17,Sat
GER,7830,111,33;SPA,15186,838,222;FRA,25086,1202,178;ITA,10009,55;UK,15635,844,136
ISR,2394,32 lockdown continued;ARG,16546,60.4%,368,68,381
CZE,11105,pr=29%,3120+200,551+8,1283+53
DNK,418,0;BEL,10448,49;NLD,7984,16;ROM,4026,75
Dow=28606,Biden=63.5,gold=1906,US-CDS=16.2
Wien,14.7,Aragon,20.1,Spa,11.7,Mad,14.7,Cat,15.6
the 2nd wave peaked in fall already in [DNK,MDA,EST,MNE ? , fill in]
Manaos,66% infected, 0.2% died
==================================================
2020/10/18,Sun
GER,5587,141,10;FRA,32427,964,89;ITA,10925,47;UK,16171,987,150
ISR,874,49;ARG,BEL,10192,32;NLD,8141,28;CZE,14152,80;
ROM,3952,63;CHE,POL,9622,84;
Wien,Aragon,17.0
Dow=28419,Biden=62.3,gold=1903,US-CDS=16.2


45
genetics / Re: genbank 04/11
« on: September 28, 2020, 09:52:42 pm »
2020/09/28

24923 COVID-19 sequences at genbank (was 16438 on 2020/08/18), file sars2-19
24185 complete ones (>29400 nucleotides)
22,208,199,355,6040,5033,2561,2869,4494,639,219 with collection months 2019/12,...,2020/09
USA:14091,AUS:5562,IND:570,EGY:233,BGD:231,THA:227,CHN:195,IRN:101,GRC:98,GER:92,
PER:89,FRA:89,JPN:84,IRQ:76,MEX:66,ITA:60,SAU:58,TUR:57,SPA:48,GHA:46
USA:WA=3455,CA=1953,FL=1520,WI=1340,VA=903,MA=876,MI=493,NY=318
human:22574,mink:13,mink:12,5:cat,2:dog,tiger:1
onp:6269,saliva:54,swab:310,saliva/onp:54,lung/oronasopharynx:49,lung:28,blood:3,feces:4,
1:onp/onp,1:placenta,1:urine

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