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Messages - tony

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46
nCoV - discussion / Re: updates
« on: March 19, 2020, 06:47:39 am »
2020/03/03
https://twitter.com/lookner
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
https://www.cdc.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a30402000000&bid=0030
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto/archivioComunicatiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true

----------------------------------------------------
SouthKorea,4812,34,45
Italy,2036,52,140
DiamondPrincess,706,6,36
Iran,1501,66,?
Japan,274,6,23
WorldExChina,10776,180,284 ; estimated CFR=2.55%l
---------------------
SouthKorea_EX_Daegu,73,75,109,130,168,87,168*,81
*:09:00-00:00=15hours instead of 24
still, this doesn't look exponential outside Daegu
----------------------------------
Italy : all regions
------------------------------
dax=12027(+1.4%(against close?)) , dow=26419 (-1.1%)
yesterday dow=+5% !! (26703)
https://www.finanzen.net/index/dax-realtime
they say because of announced government measures, cutting interest rates
2020/03/02/07:30 , dax=12025(+1.6%),dow=25604(+0.8%)
2020/03/03/07:00 , dax=12033,dow=26544 where the 5% ? 25409-26703
2020/03/03/07:04 , dax=11971,dow=26545
------------------------------
HubeiExWuhan : 200--->123 , Wuhan : 603-->489
-----------------------------------
Italy,accumulated
cases,deaths,severe , Lombardia,Veneto,Emilia-Romagna,other
Feb24-18, 222, 6, 1 , 172, 33, 18, 6
Feb25-12, 283, 7, 1 , 212, 38, 23, 18
Feb26-12, 374,12, 1 , 258, 71, 30, 28
Feb26-18, 400,12, 3 , 258, 71, 47, 39
Feb27-12, 528,14, 42 , 305, 98, 97, 84
Feb28-18, 888,21, 46 , 531,151,145,128
Mar01-18,1577,34, 83 , 984,263,285,162
Mar02-18,1835,52,149 ,1254,273,335,174
5,33,0,27,53,112,10
5,7,17,50,48,140,50
12,10,11,45,44,34,12

STAT-article about Trump,vaccine : https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/02/trumps-tone-toward-pharma-shifts-coronavirus/
list of COVID-19 drugs and vaccines : https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/02/coronavirus-drugs-and-vaccines-in-development/
08:53GMT,DAX=12144,Dow=26675
stocks China vs. USA , 3 months : http://magictour.free.fr/ch-us3.GIF
10:48: 835 new cases and 11 new deaths in Iran. (Source)
08:15: 374 new cases in South Korea. (Source)
01:15: 477 new cases and 6 new deaths in South Korea. (Source)
S. Korea's virus cases near 5,200; President Moon declares war on virus
Deputy leader of Iran's parliament says 23 members [out of 290] of parliament in Iran have
been infected with coronavirus.
--------------------------------------------
WHO on Mar02 : the cases in Korea mostly from 5 known clusters
surveillance measures are working and Korea’s epidemic can still be contained.
containment of COVID-19 is feasible and must remain the top priority for all countries.
Our message to all countries is: this is not a one-way street. We can push this virus back.
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---2-march-2020
-----------------------------------------------

47
nCoV - discussion / Re: updates
« on: March 19, 2020, 06:43:46 am »
2020/03/02
https://twitter.com/lookner
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto/archivioComunicatiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true
{ In a few days the new interactive website will replace this spreadsheet }
-------------------------------------
China 80026 2912 7110
SouthKorea 4212 26 34
Italy 1694 34 140
DiamondPrincess 705 6 36
Iran 978 54 175
Japan 256* 6 19
country,confirmed,deaths,severe
Europe:2214,37,170 ;
estimated deaths/confirmed-ratio Europe:4.2%;SKorea=0.9%;ChinaExHubei=1.5%
------------------------
big increase of cases in Italy 1128-->1694
Feb21-Mar01,17,59,73,77,93,78,250,238,240,568
7 cases in SanMarino (population=30000)
China cases are further down : Hubei ex Wuhan : 272-->200 , Wuhan : 1008-->603 ,
in hospital : -->28912-->26901 [39073 1 week ago]; deaths 35-->42 (up)
[106,96,149,68,52,26,41,45,34,42 in the last 10 days]
[32143 under observation, halfed in the last 10 days]
waiting for Korea updates
------------------------------------------------
was it mainly the contact-tracing or the lockdowns that stopped it in China ?
See th WHO-China-Mission-report about their huge sophisticated
contact tracing with AI and apps and many 5-teams
Neither contact-tracing nor lockdowns are included in the modelings, afaik
-------------------------------------------------
03:22 GMT , still no update from South Korea , unusual.
South Korea should be the first to watch, whether it can be contained as in China
05:30 GMT , S.Korea reports ~476 new cases, but the official update 09:00 is still not out
https://www.cdc.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a30402000000&bid=0030

2020/03/01/~05:00UTC , world ex China : 7155 cases, 108 deaths, 204 serious/critical
2020/03/02/06:11UTC , world ex China=9048,137,291
07:30 , dax=12025(+1.6%),dow=25604(+0.8%),gold=1601, still no korea-data
12048,25631 just 2min later
vdax : https://www.finanzen.net/index/vdax_new/charttool
DAX +2.62% now - https://www.finanzen.net/index/dax-realtime
pandemic canceled

speed is critical :
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/01/speed-is-critical-as-coronavirus-spreads-in-u-s-officials-face-daunting-task-of-tracing-case-contacts/
# you can automate this. Everyone gets a tracking device to either communicate
# by satellite or directly with other people's devices or WLAN-points.
# It all goes to the central Chinese computer who tells the people where (not) to go .
# There will be warnings when you enter risky areas or when you become a risky person yourself.
# Your device also records coughs,temperature, fatigue,heartbeat.
# Hiding your risk-status should be made illegal.
# This might eliminate infectious diseases in some decades.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Italy gives a permanently updated page, no history , archive.org has some snapshots:
when there were 229,283,374,400,528,888,1694 cases . I saved those to my HD.
OK, I looked at these : I can't see that they concentrate it in Lombardia and that it
decreases elsewhere or even that it increases slower elsewhere.
As we saw it in China with Wuhan.
---------------------------------------------------------------
DAX=11899,Dow=25603
150 German cases :
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Fallzahlen.html

48
nCoV - discussion / Re: updates
« on: March 19, 2020, 06:36:48 am »
2020/03/01
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
https://www.statnews.com/tag/coronavirus/

---------------------------------------------------
Hubei ex Wuhan , daily new conformed+suspected+suspected Feb14-Feb29:
4475,4015,3669,3050,2208,1647,1886
1326,1247,1075,889,720,648,543
431,272
------------------------------------------------------
Wuhan , daily new conformed+suspected+suspected Feb14-Feb29:
4695,4107,3999,3739,3543,3038,4118
4655,3377,2543,2275,2059,2183,2096
1322,1008
------------------------------------------------------
South Korea, cases are going down today ? fewer than yesterday at 09:00
066,073,188,207,204,125,250,
446,424,905,591
--------------------------------------------
world ex China : 7155 cases, 108 deaths, 204 serious/critical
Italy : 1128,29,105
South Korea : 3526,17,10
Iran : 593,43,-
France : 100,2,8
Europe : 1485,31,129 , assuming that 1/3 of severe cases
will die the current CFR-estimate for Europe is 5.0 , but there could be a delay
from mild to severe to death , although we didn't see much of this in China.

it could be, that most countries are testing symptomatic, severe cases first.
The best CFR that we currently have is South Korea with ~0.6% and they
are testing lots of sect-members routinely.
But this is with a still good working health care and it's only going on since ~2 weeks.
But symptoms typically get worse in ~20% of cases only after 2 weeks
(see the report from that Wuhan doctor who treated the very first cases)

------------------------
I can't get WHO-speeches, last from Feb.28 but "This page cannot be found" errors
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/media-resources/news
the audio works, 50min
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/media-resources/press-briefings#
transcript ?
03:00-04:20 Tedros saw no community transmissions on Feb.28 and concluded that it could
still be contained. He no longer recommends China-like-lockdowns, AFAICS.
The key were contact-tracing, isolate patients.
> although : 05:00 And to take an all government, all society approach
and he mentions the China-mission-report (which recommends lockdowns) but without
comment
>12:50 "interrupt transmission" still no mention of lockdown, traffic reduction
I stop now at 14:00

-----------ahh, now I find the transcript : https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---28-february-2020
Tedros opening remarks only. zero hits on "lock" zero hits on "traffic" zero hits on "cancel"

---------------------------------------
@kakape , 5h
It may feel like every new death, every new country with a case changes picture.
But in broad terms things happening exactly as experts have expected them to.
# but they didn't expect the containment in China
That most people don’t feel that way is a sign of how terrible many officials have
been at communicating what to expect.
--------------------
kakape Feb 28
Just got off the phone with Steven and I think he makes an important point here.
IF countries are willing to take some extreme measures of social distancing to curb
#covid19 spread, it will be assuming China manages resurgence well. If it turns out
no, that will change picture...
[and he started the long thread about it, see the other thread , expecting this
would cause a major discussion the next days :
> It may well dominate the #covid19 debate in the coming days. ]
------------------------------
now it seems he no longer talks about these measures, like everyone else, sigh
---------------------------------------------------------
podcast with Marc Lipsitch , I can't get it with firefox
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-background-with-noah-feldman/id1460055316#episodeGuid=1ccb9800-387e-11ea-a8b6-8f3e0bd1764d
-------------------------------------------------------
Total in South Korea now 3736 cases, 20 deaths. (CFR 0.5)
Iran=978cases,54deaths (CFR down to 5.5%)
----------------------------------------------
a scientist argues that genomic evidence suggests the coronavirus has been
spreading in Washington State for 6 weeks
This case, WA2, is on a branch in the evolutionary tree that descends directly
from WA1, the first reported case in the USA sampled Jan 19,
few hundred current infections.
---------------------------------------------------
Today/video: Neal Ferguson calculates 1000 infections per death correlation.
# surprise ! Ferguson down to CFR=0.1 ??
> The point is the mortality is 1%, but due to a lag in deaths there are 1000
> cases "behind" a death.
# for UK ? why should it be so much lower in UK than elsewhere
------------------------I can't find the 50s Ferguson video------------
https://nzenews.com/2020/02/29/coronavirus-what-are-the-chances-of-dying/
Researchers currently think that between five and 40 coronavirus cases in 1,000 will result
in death, with a best guess of nine in 1,000 or about 1%.
death rate was ten times higher in the very elderly compared to the middle-aged.
under 30s – there were eight deaths in 4,500 cases.
Ferguson, suspects China will have handiest showed 10% of its overall coronavirus infections to start with.
# what does that mean ("handiest") ? >90% underreporting ?
---------------------------------
in Daegu, 2569 cases. 898 in hospital, 1662 waiting at home for a hospital bed.
------------------------------------
Iran,official,
The slope of the # Corona chart will continue to rise in the coming days, staying home,
restricting traffic, reducing travel, avoiding unnecessary travel, canceling any
nationwide gatherings along with personal hygiene tips, the only means of control.
#Covid_0 will be in the coming weeks
--------
The Islamic Council closes until further notice.
--------------------------------------------
Iran calls on people to stay at home as death toll rises to 54
--------------------------------------

49
nCoV - discussion / updates
« on: March 19, 2020, 06:22:49 am »
I make a new thread to continue my updates, mainly when USA sleeps,
Asia,Europe . I hope, that's ok ?
continued from my posts in this thread :
https://thisbluemarble.com/showthread.php?t=79252&page=5

please no pictures,videos,long stories, individual stories - just links,data,statistics
mark speculative,unconfirmed stories with a preceding "speculative" or such

--------------------------------------------------

my main links
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.finanzen.net/index/dax-realtime
https://twitter.com/lookner

who : speech: https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---28-february-2020
-----------------------------------
China : down again , at usual speed , updats here:
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/case-numbers/msg101/#msg101
----------------------------
Korea : still increasing a lot but some first small signs to slow down f
rom exponential . Could be similar to China in early
Feb. . But it's very uncertain at this point, just 10 data points,
not distinguished by region yet.
http://magictour.free.fr/KOR0228A.BMP
maybe I can add descriptions later
Korea,logarithmic,Feb18-Feb28,
these daily tables :
https://www.cdc.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a30402000000&bid=0030
uhh, just I see the new updates of >300+500 new cases, included these
only 16 deaths and 7 critical in Korea ; CFR<1% ; in general CFR~2%
-----------------------------------------------------
S speculativ -- headline : Coronavirus plan for London sees 40000 dead and burials in
mass graves [London pop=4-8M , 0.5-1% dead ]
-----------------------------------------------------
dax=11917,dow=25532
----------------------------------------------
03:30 (all times in UTC=GMT worldtime)
Toronto. A man in his 80s with a travel history to Egypt
it could be in Africa already with poor surveillance
----------------------------------
Agenda Free TV said :
> Might be time to just say, it's spreading around the world, whoever's gonna get
> it will get it, and let's deal with that

no !!! that's the Trump/USA/Germany etc. agenda ;
anti China, anti WHO ,
WHO recommends the drastic Chinese measures to stop it.

hopefully there will be some papers, some modelings soon.
Those who survive will make the statistics what method was better in the end.
Both for economy and #of lives, diseases.

These successful Chinese measures had been absent from all the
previous modelings, AFAIK. We _urgently_ need the updates (IMO,gsgs)
--------------------------------------------
> A rough calculation suggests anywhere from 150,000 to 3 million global infections...
From the American Council On Sciene And Health:
------------------------------------------
U.S., people shouldn’t wear face masks to prevent the spread of infectious illnesss,
according to CDC and DHHS
Dr. Amesh Adalja; The CDC recommendation on masks stands, a spokesman

------------------------------------------
Major bank economist says the coronavirus market reaction ‘boggles the mind’
[# I wonder what he knows about epidemiology, the models, the panic.
# what did boggle my mind was the market in 2008,2002 with much larger declines
# and for what ? just psychology : WMDs in Iraq, debt-awareness ]
The situation in China is even worse than you think, says this analyst with a history
of accurate calls
# the must mean economically since COVID is under control in China
-------------------------------------------------
I don't understand the current bruhaha about every single new case
in any country. Reminds me to 2009. It can't be stopped with current methods,
only delayed by some days or even weeks.
Our fate lies in our immune system. And the vaccine.
---------------------------------------------------------------

gold strangely down ?!? I have no longer access to my futures-demo account,
where to get actual futures on non-wall-street-hours ?
https://www.cnbc.com/pre-markets/
last I saw was VIX=26.00 , dow=25530
Trump: Coronavirus is Democrates' new hoax
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/28/trump-says-the-coronavirus-is-the-democrats-new-hoax.html
# he reassures that they were doing everything and were ready.
" We are ready. We are ready. Totally ready.”
# but then he explains why : controlling the borders, the people who enter.
# That reminds me to George Bush and H5N1.
CNBC gives the dow at 25409.36 , gold at 1587.3 and they use cookies
https://liveindex.org/nikkei-futures/ : nikkey=21147.5 , doesn't change

> Global stock markets have lost $6 trillion in value …
# they had won much more in the last ~year
. Investors are selling “profitable positions to raise cash during a market rout,”
U.S. stock futures point to further sharp declines …
-------------------------------------------------------
Coronavirus in China perhaps as early as October
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.19.20024851v1
(#52 genomes , but see below : Dec01(93 genomes)
-------------------------------------------
Brazil/SPBR1/2020/02/26 is similar to Germany/BavPat1/2020
---------------------------------------------
TMRCA = mid Nov-early Dec, 93 genomes , virological.org
-------------------------------------------

sorry, I can't find actual index-futures. IMO those ae the best pandemic-danger
presictors currently. Besides numbers from Korea,Italy,Iran

Italy : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_outbreak_in_Italy
--------------------------------
@HelenBranswell I think vaccine that is available to the masses will take a helluva
lot longer than a year

50
Source:https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/30-01-2020-statement-on-the-second-meeting-of-the-international-health-regulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regarding-the-outbreak-of-novel-coronavirus-(2019-ncov

Statement on the second meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

30 January 2020 Statement

Geneva, Switzerland



The second meeting of the Emergency Committee convened by the WHO Director-General under the International Health Regulations (IHR) (2005) regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus 2019 in the People’s Republic of China, with exportations to other countries, took place on Thursday, 30 January 2020, from 13:30 to 18:35 Geneva time (CEST). The Committee’s role is to give advice to the Director-General, who makes the final decision on the determination of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC). The Committee also provides public health advice or suggests formal Temporary Recommendations as appropriate. Proceedings of the meeting

Members and advisors of the Emergency Committee https://www.who.int/ihr/procedures/novel-coronavirus-2019/ec-22012020-members/en/ were convened by teleconference
The Director-General welcomed the Committee and thanked them for their support. He turned the meeting over to the Chair, Professor Didier Houssin.
Professor Houssin also welcomed the Committee and gave the floor to the Secretariat.
A representative of the department of compliance, risk management, and ethics briefed the Committee members on their roles and responsibilities.
Committee members were reminded of their duty of confidentiality and their responsibility to disclose personal, financial, or professional connections that might be seen to constitute a conflict of interest. Each member who was present was surveyed and no conflicts of interest were judged to be relevant to the meeting. There were no changes since the previous meeting.
The Chair then reviewed the agenda for the meeting and introduced the presenters.
Representatives of the Ministry of Health of the People’s Republic of China reported on the current situation and the public health measures being taken. There are now 7711 confirmed and 12167 suspected cases throughout the country. Of the confirmed cases, 1370 are severe and 170 people have died. 124 people have recovered and been discharged from hospital.
The WHO Secretariat provided an overview of the situation in other countries. There are now 83 cases in 18 countries. Of these, only 7 had no history of travel in China. There has been human-to-human transmission in 3 countries outside China. One of these cases is severe and there have been no deaths.
At its first meeting, the Committee expressed divergent views on whether this event constitutes a PHEIC or not. At that time, the advice was that the event did not constitute a PHEIC, but theCommittee members agreed on the urgency of the situation and suggested that the Committee should continue its meeting on the next day, when it reached the same conclusion.
This second meeting takes place in view of significant increases in numbers of cases and additional countries reporting confirmed cases.
Conclusions and advice

The Committee welcomed the leadership and political commitment of the very highest levels of Chinese government, their commitment to transparency, and the efforts made to investigate and contain the current outbreak. China quickly identified the virus and shared its sequence, so that other countries could diagnose it quickly and protect themselves, which has resulted in the rapid development of diagnostic tools.
The very strong measures the country has taken include daily contact with WHO and comprehensive multi-sectoral approaches to prevent further spread. It has also taken public health measures in other cities and provinces; is conducting studies on the severity and transmissibility of the virus, and sharing data and biological material. The country has also agreed to work with other countries who need their support. The measures China has taken are good not only for that country but also for the rest of the world.
The Committee acknowledged the leading role of WHO and its partners.
The Committee also acknowledged that there are still many unknowns, cases have now been reported in five WHO regions in one month, and human-to-human transmission has occurred outside Wuhan and outside China.
The Committee believes that it is still possible to interrupt virus spread, provided that countries put in place strong measures to detect disease early, isolate and treat cases, trace contacts, and promote social distancing measures commensurate with the risk. It is important to note that as the situation continues to evolve, so will the strategic goals and measures to prevent and reduce spread of the infection. The Committee agreed that the outbreak now meets the criteria for a Public Health Emergency of International Concern and proposed the following advice to be issued as Temporary Recommendations.
The Committee emphasized that the declaration of a PHEIC should be seen in the spirit of support and appreciation for China, its people, and the actions China has taken on the frontlines of this outbreak, with transparency, and, it is to be hoped, with success. In line with the need for global solidarity, the Committee felt that a global coordinated effort is needed to enhance preparedness in other regions of the world that may need additional support for that.
Advice to WHO

The Committee welcomed a forthcoming WHO multidisciplinary technical mission to China, including national and local experts. The mission should review and support efforts to investigate the animal source of the outbreak, the clinical spectrum of the disease and its severity, the extent of human-to-human transmission in the community and in healthcare facilities, and efforts to control the outbreak. This mission will provide information to the international community to aid in understanding the situation and its impact and enable sharing of experience and successful measures.
The Committee wished to re-emphasize the importance of studying the possible source, to rule out hidden transmission and to inform risk management measures
The Committee also emphasized the need for enhanced surveillance in regions outside Hubei, including pathogen genomic sequencing, to understand whether local cycles of transmission are occurring.
WHO should continue to use its networks of technical experts to assess how best this outbreak can be contained globally.
WHO should provide intensified support for preparation and response, especially in vulnerable countries and regions.
Measures to ensure rapid development and access to potential vaccines, diagnostics, antiviral medicines and other therapeutics for low- and middle-income countries should be developed.
WHO should continue to provide all necessary technical and operational support to respond to this outbreak, including with its extensive networks of partners and collaborating institutions, to implement a comprehensive risk communication strategy, and to allow for the advancement of research and scientific developments in relation to this novel coronavirus.
WHO should continue to explore the advisability of creating an intermediate level of alert between the binary possibilities of PHEIC or no PHEIC, in a way that does not require reopening negotiations on the text of the IHR (2005).
WHO should timely review the situation with transparency and update its evidence-based recommendations.
The Committee does not recommend any travel or trade restriction based on the current information available.
The Director-General declared that the outbreak of 2019-nCoV constitutes a PHEIC and accepted the Committee’s advice and issued this advice as Temporary Recommendations under the IHR.
To the People’s Republic of China


Continue to:
• Implement a comprehensive risk communication strategy to regularly inform the population on the evolution of the outbreak, the prevention and protection measures for the population, and the response measures taken for its containment.
• Enhance public health measures for containment of the current outbreak.
• Ensure the resilience of the health system and protect the health workforce.
• Enhance surveillance and active case finding across China.
• Collaborate with WHO and partners to conduct investigations to understand the epidemiology and the evolution of this outbreak and measures to contain it.
• Share relevant data on human cases.
• Continue to identify the zoonotic source of the outbreak, and particularly the potential for circulation with WHO as soon as it becomes available.
• Conduct exit screening at international airports and ports, with the aim of early detection of symptomatic travelers for further evaluation and treatment, while minimizing interference with international traffic.
To all countries

It is expected that further international exportation of cases may appear in any country. Thus, all countries should be prepared for containment, including active surveillance, early detection, isolation and case management, contact tracing and prevention of onward spread of 2019-nCoVinfection, and to share full data with WHO. Technical advice is available on the WHO website. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/technical-guidance
Countries are reminded that they are legally required to share information with WHO under the IHR.
Any detection of 2019-nCoV in an animal (including information about the species, diagnostic tests, and relevant epidemiological information) should be reported to the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) as an emerging disease.
Countries should place particular emphasis on reducing human infection, prevention of secondary transmission and international spread, and contributing to the international response though multi-sectoral communication and collaboration and active participation in increasing knowledge on the virus and the disease, as well as advancing research.
The Committee does not recommend any travel or trade restriction based on the current information available.
Countries must inform WHO about any travel measures taken, as required by the IHR. Countries are cautioned against actions that promote stigma or discrimination, in line with the principles of Article 3 of the IHR.
The Committee asked the Director-General to provide further advice on these matters and, if necessary, to make new case-by-case recommendations, in view of this rapidly evolving situation.
To the global community

As this is a new coronavirus, and it has been previously shown that similar coronaviruses required substantial efforts to enable regular information sharing and research, the global community should continue to demonstrate solidarity and cooperation, in compliance with Article 44 of the IHR (2005), in supporting each other on the identification of the source of this new virus, its full potential for human-to-human transmission, preparedness for potential importation of cases, and research for developing necessary treatment.
Provide support to low- and middle-income countries to enable their response to this event, as well as to facilitate access to diagnostics, potential vaccines and therapeutics.
Under Article 43 of the IHR, States Parties implementing additional health measures that significantly interfere with international traffic (refusal of entry or departure of international travellers, baggage, cargo, containers, conveyances, goods, and the like, or their delay, for more than 24 hours) are obliged to send to WHO the public health rationale and justification within 48 hours of their implementation. WHO will review the justification and may request countries to reconsider their measures. WHO is required to share with other States Parties the information about measures and the justification received.
The Emergency Committee will be reconvened within three months or earlier, at the discretion of the Director-General.
The Director-General thanked the Committee for its work.

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