Author Topic: disasters  (Read 45 times)

epsilon

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  • welcome to ncovinfo , here we discuss the pandemic threat from the new 2019 Coronavirus
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Re: disasters
« on: February 05, 2020, 03:30:08 pm »
if (and this is, fortunately, still a rather big 'if') 2019nCoV goes fully pandemic then roughly expect a 50% global attack rate like it has been in past flu pandmics, i.e. 2009 H1N1.

So 3.5 billion infections with 2019nCoV and a CFR of 2% would mean 70 M deaths, surpassing World War II as the greatest disaster so far in human history.

« Last Edit: February 05, 2020, 03:33:05 pm by epsilon »