nCoV_info

Last update: 30 January 2020 at 7:35 a.m. ET

There are currently 7,921 confirmed cases worldwide, including 170 fatalities.

Mainland China:
17,804 Total   
170 Dead
1,370 Serious
124 Recovered
12,167 suspected

The table below shows confirmed cases of coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China and other countries. To see a distribution map and a timeline, scroll down.
The tables also show numbers for serious and critical conditions of patients. All stats are sourced.

I'll be posting updates in this thread

https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/01/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

There are currently 17,486 confirmed cases worldwide, including 362 fatalities.

Last update: 3 February 2020 at 5:02 a.m. ET

Mainland China:

17,300 Total   
361 Dead
2,296 Serious
475 Recovered
21,558 Suspected

Last update: 8 February 2020 at 6:28 a.m. ET

There are currently 34,957 confirmed cases worldwide, including 725 fatalities.

Mainland China

34,610 Total   
723 Dead   
6,101 Serious
2,050 Recovered
27,657 Suspected

numbers are going down, right ?

Not going down, just growing less exponentially (possibly polynomially only)

This is to be expected with the massive quarantaine measures in place.

Mass quarantaine started Jan. 23, then it took another incubation period or two (one week) and there was also the inevitable backlog and delay in testing & reporting.

So we now finally see the effect of the drastic social distancing control measures, whose goal is to reduce the effective reproductive number R_eff as much as possible.

Quite disturbingly, however, the number of new infections though not increasing any more like in the full exponential phase, seems not to not go down significantly.

So there is still a lot of infections going on despite the fact that the big cities are almost completely locked down with practically zero social community interaction (outside of the hospitals) any more.

This is copncerning because it points to a very high base reproductive Number R0 (initially estimated at 2.6 but maybe much higher, some authors put it at 4 or above) and/or other means of infection, e.g. airborne ?


 

So we now know that deaths have actually been under counted by about factor 2 (now about 200+ daily increase vs. 100+ yesterday)

But infections probably even (much) more  under counted than deaths.

So final CFR may turn out quite low.  (my estimate: less than 1% BUT only in non-overwhelmed health system)

GSGS format 

Confirmed cases 2 Feb 2020 / 3 Feb 2020 / 4 Feb 2020 (early) / 4 Feb 2020 (end of day) / 5 Feb 2020 / 6 Feb 2020 / 7 Feb 2020 / 8 Feb 2020 / 9 Feb 2020 early / 9 Feb 2020 late / 10 Feb 2020 / 11 Feb 2020 / 12 Feb 2020 / 13 Feb 2020 / 14 Feb 2020 / 15 Feb 2020 / 16 Feb 2020 / 17 Feb 2020 / Country/Region

17 187 / 19 693 / 20 636 / 23 746 / 27 396 / 30 553 / 34 524 / 37 174 / 37 199 / 40 157 / 42 310 / 44 414 / 59 789 / 63 842 / 66 343 / 68 386 / 70 510 / 72 365 / Mainland China
20 / 20 / 20 / 22 / 22 / 45 / 25 / 25 / 26 / 26 / 26 / 26 / 26 / 28 / 28 / 29 / 43 / 59 / 66 / Japan
19 / 19 / 19 / 25 / 25 / 25 / 25 / 32 / 32 / 32 / 32 / 33 / 33 / 33 / 33 / 33 / 34 / 35 / Thailand
18 / 18 / 18 / 24 / 28 / 28 / 30 / 40 / 40 / 43 / 45 / 47 / 50 / 58 / 67 / 72 / 75 / 77 / Singapore
15 / 15 / 15 / 17 / 21 / 24 / 26 / 26 / 26 / 36 / 38 / 49 / 50 / 53 / 56 / 56 / 57 / 60 / Hong Kong
15 / 15 / 15 / 16 / 19 / 23 / 24 / 25 / 25 / 27 / 27 / 28 / 28 / 28 / 28 / 28 / 29 / 30 / South Korea
12 / 12 / 12/ 13 / 13 / 14 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / Australia
10 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 13 / 13 / 15 / 14 / 14 / 16 / 16 / 16 / 16 / 16 / 16 / 16 / Germany
10 / 10 / 10 / 11 / 11 / 16 / 16 / 17 / 17 / 18 / 18 / 18 / 18 / 18 / 18 / 18 / 20 / 22 / Taiwan
11 / 11 / 11 / 11 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 13 / 13 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / 15 / USA
8 / 8 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / 10 / Macau
8 / 8 / 10 / 10 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 16 / 16 / 18 / 18 / 18 / 19 / 19 / 22 / 22 / 22 / Malaysia
6 / 6 / 6 / 6 / 6 / 6 / 6 / 11 / 11 / 11 / 11 / 11 / 11 / 11 / 12 / 12 / 12 / France
6 / 8 / 8 / 8 / 8 / 10 / 10 / 13 / 13 / 14 / 14 / 15 / 16 / 16 / 16 / 16 / Viet Nam
5 / 5 / 5 / 5 / 5 / 5 / 5 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 8 / 8 / 8 / 8 / 8 / 8 / 9 / 9 / United Arab Emirates
4 / 4 / 4 / 4 / 5 / 5 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 7 / 8 / Canada
2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / Italy
2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / Russia
2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / Philippines
2 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / India
2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 3 / 8 / 8 / 9 / 9 / 9 / 9 / 9 / 9 / UK
1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / Nepal
1 / 1 / 1 / 1/ 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / Cambodia
1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 2 / Spain
1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1/ 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / Finland
1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / Sweden
1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / Sri Lanka
0 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1/ 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / Belgium
0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / Egypt
0 / 0 / 0 / 10 / 20 / 41 / 61 / 64 / 64 / 135 / 135 / 175 / 218 / 218 / 285 / 355 / 454 / Others (Diamond Princess)

Data sources: WHO, CDC, ECDC, NHC, and DXY

https://promedmail.org/promed-post/?id=20200218.6999424