Author Topic: updates  (Read 897 times)

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #30 on: April 15, 2020, 10:26:10 pm »
2020/04/09
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati


 > period of untracked global transmission between late
 > January to mid-February.”
 > 7 lineages in New York

China,63+17+56 ;  SouthKorea,39   Japan,+351(=4257)    Singapore,+142(=1623) ; Germany+4974
dow=23188
23 daily Italy epi-curves since Mar20 as .bmp available

update : Italy-provinces : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0408.GIF
MI=Milano,BG=Bergamo,BS=Brescia,PV=Pavia,TO=Torino,GE=Genova,VE=Venezia,RM=Roma
NA=Napoli,FI=Firenze,AN=Ancona

11:40-UTC  word-charts updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF

Italy : 46244 tested, 4204 positive ,
positiverate=9.0% (up from 7.4) , Lombardia=14.7(13.2),North=10.1(9.0),South=5.3(3.5)

=============================================
2020/04/10:
China,42+3+47 , SouthKorea,27;  Japan,410 ; Singapore,287 ; Ireland , Germany

http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF

strangely almost all of the European Countries with many cases
had a slight increase again in the last days
USA,ESP,ITA,DEU,FRA,BEL,CHE,NLD,CAN,PRT,AUT,ISR,SWE,IRL,NOR,CZ-
not DNK,SRB,FIN
after the previous decline
so, is it some weather effect ? weekend-effect ? worldwide testing availability effect ?
downtrend in CHN,KOR,AUT,AUS,NOR,NZ,LUX,LVA,TWN,CHE,ITA
----------------------------------
Germany , predicted epi-curve : http://magictour.free.fr/rkiepi4.GIF

Italt 53495 tests, 3951 positive , as good as the day before yesterday, yesterday was worse
increased testing since Wednesday
================================================
2020/04/11

China,46+8+34,99+49+12,
South Korea,30,32,
Japan,212,233,303,219,515,252,351,410,680,183(=5530,b6184) ;
Singapore,75,65,120,66,106,262,287,198,191(=2299) 
Ireland,370,345,465,500,1515,839(=8928)
Germany,6082,5936,3677,3834,4003,4974,5323,4133,5122(=117658,b122780)
------------------------------------------
WHO-Tedros,Apr10, build a supply-chain (together with UN and world-food-programme)
to cover 30% of world's needs in the acute phase, $280M
------------------------------------------------
report-date - symptom-onset : http://magictour.free.fr/epis1.GIF
---------------------------------------------
I'm almost 1 day behind now with the numbers from ECDC, which come at noon-UTC
-----------------------------------------------
3fold increase of deaths from all causes already in the last available 7 days in 2
French departments, 2.21fold in the 14 (out of 100) hardest hit departments.
1.25 fold (+25%) in entire France
https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
http://magictour.free.fr/f-0410b.GIF
------------------------------------------------------------
Italy : 56609 tests , 4666 positive , 13% increase against yesterday :-(
=================================================
2020/04/12
China,99+49+12 , South Korea , Japan , Singapore , Ireland
updated my 116 world-COVID-charts : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
in Europe  ITA,GBR,NLD,IRL go up again    UK(GBR) did extra-tests on keyworkers on Apr11
Italy , 46720 tests with 4092 positives , positive-rate slightly up to 8.7%, N=10.6%,S=3.5%

==============================================
2020/04/13
China, 108+6+61 (local:7 Heilongjiang,3 Guangdong) , 244 are still in hospital in Hubei
  and 1815 are still under medical observation in Hubei
[I'm giving wiki's daily promille-changes below now]
---edit-well, I'm not happy with that, it depends on the total-no matter how far back
Japan,75,160,69,90,100,140,120,120,93,
changed at wiki to , 100,120,120,120,69,90,120,120,120,120,75,54,60,60
Singapore,49,62,67,100,50,77,96,180,100,91,100,150,110,140
Denmark,82,69,69,80,63,42,32,29,29,23,30,25
Italy-pr,90,74,90,73,82,87,85,110,61,62,53
still going up : TUR,RUS,IND,IRE,(UK?,US?),   NL,BEL , CHL,JPN

Italy, 36717 tests, 3153 positive , pr=8.5,N=9.7,S=4.6 , Lombardy=23.9 !
===============================================
2020/04/14
China,89+3+54 (3 Guangdong) , Korea,27 , Japan,7370(+622,+9.3%) , Singapore,+15%
Tedros :  10 times deadlier than the 2009 flu pandemic.
early case-finding, testing, isolating caring for every case and tracing every contact is essential
 the way down is much slower than the way up.
[# not in all countries , Austria,Australia,New Zealand,Norway,Luxemburg,China,SouthKorea,...]
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
RKI,Germany gives daily R0-estimates since Apr07 :
1.3,1.2,1.1,1.1,1.3,1.1,1.2
dow=23599
article about HongKong,Singapore strategies : https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/04/suppress-and-lift-hong-kong-and-singapore-say-they-have-coronavirus-strategy-works
chart : http://magictour.free.fr/hk-sgp.GIF
Germany Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0413.GIF
Italy - the pdf which I use was not updated today ... it came later
============================================
2020/01/15
China,46 (8 Heilongjiang,2 Guangdong)+11+57 , Korea,27 ; Japan slows down ; Singapore still up
Czech totally down in the last 5 days (masks ?)
Germany unclear, cases are much lower than last week,
but RKI gives R0=1.2. Easter-underreporting ?
USA +4.4% going down, UK +5.9%, still bad
261 new sequences at genbank on Apr13, 52 on Apr14 , 928 in total, 719 from USA,41 from Europe
plus 102 from Germany downloadable from Charite, not at genbank
dow=23724
08:00-UTC-dax=10520,dow=23700,euro=1.093,gold=1707,oil=28.6,VIX=34
Novavax=16,Moderna=31,Inovio=7
-------------------------------
Italy Apr14 is now available. only 26779 tests, still 2972 positive.
The positive rate increases to 11.0% , 12.7% in the North, 6.0% in the South
-------------------------------
ECDC has a big increase today in France,Peru,SRB,MDA,ARM ; decline in Belgium
US-deaths estimate =69000 : https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
-------------------------
Italy, 43715 tests, 2667 positive ; good
positive-rate = 6.1% (11.0% the day before , so maybe they tested different groups now)
===================================
2020/04/16
China,46+3+64 (12 local,5 Guangdong, 4 Heilongjiang,3 Beijing), 1032 asympt. in total currently

44% of infections during the presymptomatic phase
Redfield : we're nearing the peak right now
dow=23374
----------------------------------------
daily podcasts in German
Kekule#25 , WHO shows no leadership
Kekule#24 , doubts there will be vaccine in 18 months
Kekule#20 , praises Austria
https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/podcast/kekule-corona/index.html
Drosten#31 , reinfection unlikely
Drosten#30 , data-app
https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/Coronavirus-Update-Die-Podcast-Folgen-als-Skript,podcastcoronavirus102.html
scripts --> all into one file, translate
08:45, dax=10427,dow=23650

Germany : R0=0.9 , first time that they give it as <1 .
They also have new estimated curves by system-onset
in the German version only, see the chart on page 6 : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/2020-04-15-de.pdf?__blob=publicationFile
116 worldcharts in 1 picturefile updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
France stabilised, probably a data-error yesterday.
It goes down slowly in the major European Countries since weeks. USA,UK are 1-2 weeks behind.
It went down faster in Austria,Czech,Denmark,Australia,NZ,Lux

positive-rates : http://magictour.free.fr/PR-0416.GIF
In Austria it took 5 weeks
Italy, 60999 tests, 3687 positive , unusually much testing
positive-rate: 6.2%,N:7.2%,S:3.0%

euromomo week 15 : http://magictour.free.fr/euromo15.GIF

=============================================
2020/04/17
China,26+3+66~1038  ,local: 5GD,3+2HL,2SD,1LI,0+1IM
world-update : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
1044 sequences at genbank, all full new ones from USA
~3% of Santa Clara County , CA , infected
Italy : 65705 tests (a lot) , 3493 positive  , the positive rate is being updated daily above now
90,74,90,73,82,87,85,110,61,62,53
France, INSEE daily deaths updated  https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
~40% excess deaths on Apr06,after 50% on Mar31 for whole France


« Last Edit: April 24, 2020, 12:09:54 pm by gsgs »

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #31 on: April 24, 2020, 12:07:14 pm »
copies of these posts  readable also by non-members are here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ncov-discussion/updates/msg169/#msg169

2020/04/18  [one new post per week now)
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati


China,Apr17,27+5+54 ; 7HL,2GD,1SI
China,Apr18,16+2+44 ; 6HL,1GD
China,Apr19,12+2+49 ; 3HL,1IM    [Zhong Nanshang talking about introduction from Russia]
China,Apr20,11+3+37 , 6HL,1GD   [speculation about a new wave in Harbin]
China,Apr21,30+3+42 , 7HL           http://wsjkw.hlj.gov.cn/
China,Apr22,10+0+27 , 3HL,1GD
China,Apr23,6+2+34 , 3HL,1GD
China,Apr24,12+3+29 , 1HL,1BJ
China,Apr25,11+0+30 , 5HL,1GD


Italy provinces : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0417.GIF
in most Northern provinces it looks horizontal, not going down.
E.g. Torino,Milano,Pavia
South Korea : http://magictour.free.fr/kor0418.GIF
they keep it out
France, deaths from all causes by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
peak in Paris ~Apr01
'No evidence' that COVID-19 survivors have immunity, WHO warns http://dlvr.it/RV0DBG
99 worldcharts updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
down : CHN,AUT,CHE,KOR,NOR,AUS,GRC,ISL,LUX,THA,NZL,CZE
Italy, 61725 tests, 3491 positive ; slightly worse than the day before
==============================================
2020/04/19
China, ... website down ?
South Korea,8 - ~20% reduced testing the last days
testicles may increase coronavirus risk
COVID transmits by aerosole between ferrets
Italy 50708 tests , 3047 positive, rate=85,110,61,62,53,56,60
=========================================================
2020/04/20
China-health website nhc.gov.cn is still down, first time I see this
waybackmachine gives also an empty page for Apr18, google cache  has it, but only
ahows the first 4 lines
OK, I found it here for Apr18 : http://taiyuan.creb.com.cn/cj/119071.jhtml
and here for Apr19 : http://news.sciencenet.cn/htmlnews/2020/4/438613.shtm
updted numbers see above
Hubei website works : 109 still in hospital (6636,43471   1,2 months ago),
   1974 in observation (3463,68345)
截至4月19日24时新型冠状病毒肺炎

The Oxford Covid-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT),
https://covidtracker.bsg.ox.ac.uk/
Italy: 41483 tests , 2256 positive ;
=======================================
2020/04/21
China, 11+3+37 , 6HL,1GD
singapore, +1426 = 22% = big increase , Japan only + 367=3.4%
4% in LA-County have antibodies
speculative : North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s health is in grave danger following a surgery,c
NYC deaths from all causes 4*normal in week 14
IHME,US=60308,UK=37521,NY=21812
06:03-UTC,Dax=10476,dow=23467,euro=1.084,oil=21.47 (23.8 one month ago)
Li Lanjuan , mutations in Hangzhou   
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20060160v1
2.6% of infected are hospitalized and 0.53% die in France
Lockdown reduced R from 3.3 to 0.5 , 6% infected by mid May
https://hal-pasteur.archives-ouvertes.fr/pasteur-02548181/document
Italy,52126 tests,2729 positives, 
daily PR : 61,62,53,56,60,54,52,53 ;
weekly PR : 204,275,237,149,94,85,52 , Lombardia,weekly : 394,506,421,257,161,152
=============================================
2020/04/22
China : http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/ works again for me ,30+3+42 ,7HL
Singapore,+14% [reminds me to Daegu, they know the source, younger people,few deaths]
Japan,+3.4% , looks good
US - CDC director warns second wave of #coronavirus is likely to be even more devastating
he shares a plan of contact-tracing
[#will this prevent the 2nd wave ?]
government-response-index and cases : http://magictour.free.fr/oxcg3a.GIF
4fold increased deaths from all causes in NYC last week
Italy , 3370,63101
============================================
2020/04/23
China,10+0+27
5/6 missed in Geneva,6% were infected
first death in Santa Clara County on February 6
euromomo - new design, update, def. of z-score (complicated) , nationally not worse than a bad flu
rki, gives weekly # tests --> week 10,...,16 German positivity rate : 312,595,683,869,903,810,666
99 worldcharts updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF , now also with deaths
Belgium had been praised for their response - yet they have most deaths per pop.
What did Bergamo,NYC,Milan etc. do wrong ? Or Paris vs. Berlin ?
-------------------------------------
13.9% have antibodies in NY-State
Australia wants WHO to have same powers of weapons inspectors
Italy , 66658 tests, 2646 positive , 62,53,56,60,54,52,53,39,48,36
===============================================
2020/04/24
China,6+2+34 , 3HL,1GD ,
Japan,743,507,390,455,482,585,628,566,390,367,378,423
Singapore,942,596,1426,1111,1016,1037
+++ 11:03 WHO Europa lobt "starke Führung" durch Merkel und Spahn +++
+++ 10:36 RKI: Lockerungen erst, wenn nur noch wenige Hundert Fälle pro Tag +++
Italy, 62447,3021
http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
=================================================
2020/04/25
China,12+3+29 ; Japan,+3.6% ; SGP,+8.0% ; India,+8.0%,IDN,+5.6%
France : ~3% (13000 so far) more deaths than usual this year
Ile-de-France+Paris : ~13% (7000 so far) surdeaths
(assuming the downtrend contiinues and it stays low)
https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
NYC : ~27% surdeaths
--------------------------
Italy, 65387 tests, 2357 positive ,[weekend]
positive, rate=85,110,61,62,53,56,60,54,52,53,39,48,36
================================================
2020/04/26
China,11+0+30, Hubei : 12 still in hospital, 1706 still under observation
19 new asymptomatic cases on Apr25 in Hubei,
 (not counted as confirmed cases, which are 0 since long, so are these "re-indections" ?)
Japan,+3.6% , Singapore,+5.1%(only) , India,+6.0% , South Korea=10728
Lack of association between genetic variants at ACE2 and TMPRSS2 genes involved
in SARS-CoV-2 infection and human quantitative phenotypes
Gut microbiota may underlie the predisposition of healthy individuals to COVID-19
Italy Provinces : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0425.GIF

« Last Edit: April 26, 2020, 09:27:02 pm by gsgs »

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #32 on: May 03, 2020, 09:13:29 pm »
copies of these posts  readable also by non-members are here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ncov-discussion/updates/msg169/#msg169

2020/04/27  [one new post per week now, starting on Monday)
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati


China,Apr17,27+5+54 ; 7HL,2GD,1SI
China,Apr18,16+2+44 ; 6HL,1GD
China,Apr19,12+2+49 ; 3HL,1IM    [Zhong Nanshang talking about introduction from Russia]
China,Apr20,11+3+37 , 6HL,1GD   [speculation about a new wave in Harbin]
China,Apr21,30+3+42 , 7HL           http://wsjkw.hlj.gov.cn/
China,Apr22,10+0+27 , 3HL,1GD
China,Apr23,6+2+34 , 3HL,1GD
China,Apr24,12+3+29 , 1HL,1BJ
China,Apr25,11+0+30 , 5HL,1GD
China,Apr26,4+1+25 , 1HL
China,Apr27,6+1+40 , 3HL
China,Apr29,22+2+26 , 1GD
China,Apr29,4+3+33 , -
China,Apr30,12+3+25 , 5HL,1IM
China,May01,1+2+20
China,May02,2+0+12, 1SX

world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0502.GIF
France deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
positive-rates : http://magictour.free.fr/PR-0416.GIF
--------------------------------------------------------------
web.archive.org  has all the old worldometer lists
https://web.archive.org/web/20200223103856/https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
-------------------------------------------------------
China,4+1+25 ; Japan,+3.6% ; SGP,+7.3% ; India,+4.0% down! , Indonesia,+3.2% down,
 Russia,+8.5%,Mexico,+6.0% down,Ecuador,+103%!?!
--------------------------------------------------------------
UKweekly, pr=20.6%,39.5%,41.7%,41.6%,35.6%
-------------------------------------------------------------
deaths from all causes : https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c
AUT,12;BEL,60;DNK,05,ENG,37,FRA,34,ITA,90,NLD,42,POR,10,SPA,51,SWE,18,CHE,29,all,49
-----------------------------------------------------------------
dax=10583,dow=23973,China A50=13156,euro=1.086,bitcoin=7099,gold=1719,oil=24.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Italy,81919 tests, 4013 positive ,positive, rate=85,110,61,62,53,56,60,54,52,53,39,48,36,49
=================================================
2020/04/28
China,6+1+40 ; Japan,1.5% ; SGP,5.9% ; India,5.0% ; IDN,2.4% ;
Russia,7.7%  ; Mexico,6.0%   ; Ecuador,2.2%   ; USA,2.9%
------------------------
10567 genomes from UK : https://www.cogconsortium.uk/data/
Oise:5,10,15,20,30 seropositive on highschool with onset in week 3[Jan12-Jan18?],4,5,6,7
------------------------------------------
Italy,57272 tests, 2091 positive,  pr=(52,53,39,48,36,49,)36 , weekly,210,248,175,127,86,53,36
===========================================
2020/04/29
China,22+2+26 GD ; Japan,2.8%;SGP,3.7%;India,6.0%;Indonesia,4.6%
Russia,7.4%;Mexico,8.0%;Ecuador,4.3%;USA,2.3%
-------------------------------------------------------
WHO : solidarity*3 ; isolate, test, treat
IHME,Apr29, USA=72860,UK=31476,S=15625,I=27544,F=24918,D=6946,B=7708,Ire=1404
mobility reduction http://magictour.free.fr/mobil2.GIF
 https://auravision.ai/covid19-lockdown-tracker/
dax=10978,dow=24608,oil=24.21
UK-positivity-rate down to 13% !
>100 French genomes at Gisaid
Italy,63827 tests , 2086 positive , 36,49,36,32
=================================
2020/04/30
China,2+3+33 ; Japan,+2.0% ; SGP,+4.6% ; India,+6.0% ; IDN,+2.7% ;
Russia,+6.2% ; Mexico,+6.0% ; Ecuador,+1.7% ;USA,+2.2%
Sweden says its coronavirus approach has worked.
EuroMOMO website has been redesigned and updated,
https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/#z-scores-by-country
Italy,68456 tests, 1872 positive, 36,49,36,32,27
====================================================
2020/05/01
China,2+3+33 ; Japan,+2.0% ; SGP,+3.4% ; India,+5.7% ; IDN,+3.6% ;
Russia,+7.1% ; Mexico,+8.0% ; Ecuador,+1.0% ;USA,+2.7%
charts for US-States :  http://magictour.free.fr/uss04.GIF
Italy, 74207 tests , 1975 positive , 36,49,36,32,27,26
Lombardia,53;North,32,South,9
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
========================================
2020/05/02
China,1+2+20 ;
Hubei: 1378 under observation , 647 asymptomatic under observation,
18 new asymptomatic on May1, 2 released , 68129 confirmed cases in total
 Japan=1.4% , SGP=5.8% , India=5.2% , IDN=4.8%
Russia=7.4% , Mexico=8.0% , Nigeria=12.3%  , USA=2.9% , Brazil=7.2%
can any Country avoid it in the first place ? Should be easier than bringing it down
France:107285 deaths from all causes Mar01-Apr19 , vs. 84929 in 2019
Italy, 55412 tests, 1900 positive ,  36,49,36,32,27,26,34 , weekly,210,248,175,127,86,53,36,30
=================================================
2020/05/03
 Japan=1.7% , SGP=2.6% , India=5.8% , IDN=2.8%
Russia=8.4% , Mexico=7.0% , Nigeria=10.1%  , USA=2.6% , Brazil=5.4%
world-charts updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0503.GIF
Italy, 44935 tests, 1389 positive , PR=36,32,27,26,34,30 , weekly,210,248,175,127,86,53,36,30

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #33 on: May 17, 2020, 08:12:31 pm »
copies of these posts  readable also by non-members are here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ncov-discussion/updates/msg169/#msg169

2020/05/04  [one new post per week now, starting on Monday)
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
F: https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
US: https://covidtracking.com/api

China,Apr17,27+5+54 ; 7HL,2GD,1SI
China,Apr24,12+3+29 , 1HL,1BJ
China,May01,1+2+20
China,May02,2+0+12, 1SX
China,May03,3+1+13

world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0510.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0502.GIF
France deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0509.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0502.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
------------------------------------------------
2020/05/04
China,3+1+13;Japan,28,17;SGP,37,73;India,6.6%;Indonesia,3.2%
Russia,8.6%;Mexico,6.0%;Brazil,4.7;Ecuador,7.5%;USA,2.8% 
 [{week before},daily increase in promille]
~10% of workers in Wuhan had antibodies in Apr
Regeneron’s sarilumab
14% on famotidine died , 27% others
19% risk to infect household members in Wuhan
Early detection of superspreaders by mass group pool testing can mitigate COVID-19 pandemic
 top 10% spreaders (100+ higher viral loading than median infector) transmit 45% of new cases.
wastewater viral RNA anticipated declared cases
air-pollution increased COVID-risk in Lombardy
Italy 37621 tests, 1221 positive , 27,26,34,30,32
===================================================
2020/05/05
China,1+0+15, Russia,+7.9%;India,+6.4%;Brazil,+4.0%,USA,+2.3%
French case from Dec27
social distancing policies reduced the spread of COVID19 by 66%
Italy, 55263 tests,1075 positive, 27,26,34,30,32,19
deaths per million population weekly,21,57,84,81,64,60,50,31
======================================================
2020/05/06
China,2+3+20, Russia,+7.0%;India,+9.0%;Brazil,+6.5%,USA,+1.8%
Vitamin D to protect against covid
( mild) enteric symptoms may be marker for severity
09:00-UTC,dax-10712,dow=24023,euro=10526,gold=17000,oil=31.7
Italy, 64263 tests , 1444 positive ,  27,26,34,30,32,19,22
==========================================================
2020/05/07
China,2+2+6, Russia,68;India,57;Brazil,91,USA,19
81-deletion in AZ ASU2923 : https://jvi.asm.org/content/jvi/early/2020/04/30/JVI.00711-20.full.pdf
Italy,70359 tests, 1401 positives , 26,34,30,32,19,22,19
=======================================================
2020/05/08
China,1+3+16,Jilin; Russia,68(11);India,72(1),Brazil,79(43);USA,21(232);Indonesia,28(3)
{% increase and (deaths per million) - from wikipedia - I think they should show curves
of daily new cases instead of these bars and cumulative curves}
IHME deaths predictions:
Apr17,USA=68841,UK=66314,S=04182,I=20333,F=15058,D=7080,B=4291,Ire=0527,NY=13307
Apr22,USA=67641,UK=31929,S=10584,I=26867,F=23304,D=6124,B=8128,Ire=1030,NY=24000
Apr29,USA=72860,UK=31476,S=15625,I=27544,F=24918,D=6946,B=7708,Ire=1404,NY=24314
May06,USA=134475,UK=40555,S=10196,I=31458,F=28859,D=8543,B=9464,Ire=1698,NY=32132
in theory Brazil has timeseries for COVID and social distancing in many cities,
but I couldn't find it
smoking reduces COVID
spreaders-->environment ; "sit and wait" strategy  https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.04.20090092v1.full.pdf
Italy, 63775 tests,1327 positive ,34,30,32,19,22,19,20 (N:25,S:8)
================================================
2020/05/09
China,1+2+15,Jilin; Russia,60(11);India,64(1),Brazil,44(43);USA,21(232);Indonesia,26(3)
Italy,69171 tests, 1083 postive , 34,30,32,19,22,19,20,15 (N:18,S:7)
===================================================
2020/05/10
China,14+1+20,11Jilin,1Hubei; South Korea,10840(5)
Russia,58(13);India,59(2),Brazil,73(50);USA,22(242);Indonesia,41(4)
France,mar10-may05,tests,positives *3sex*6age [much more female tests ?!?]
https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
-----------------------------------------------
timing of measures and case-trends do not match well. (~10 days delay in average)
dozends of papers calculating the "effect" of measures, ignoring this mismatch.
Would it have gone down without measures anyway ? (People more careful when the wave starts)
Germany: 05-14 increases first . 15-59 are "driving" the wave, males first . Clear delay in 80+
http://magictour.free.fr/de-ageb.GIF
-------------------------------------------
study on 30euro-countries for 7 IHME-defined measures
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.01.20088260v1.full.pdf
lookdown,closing business = useless
school closure, no mass-gathering = works
----------------------------------------------
Italy, 51678 tests, 802 positive , 34,30,32,19,22,19,20,15,15
« Last Edit: May 17, 2020, 08:17:23 pm by gsgs »

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #34 on: May 17, 2020, 08:19:35 pm »
copies of these posts  readable also by non-members are here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ncov-discussion/updates/msg169/#msg169

2020/05/11  [one new post per week now, starting on Monday)
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_74_COVID-19.pdf
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
F: https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
US: https://covidtracking.com/api
ESP: https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/resources/agregados.csv
-------------------------------------------------
mobility : http://magictour.free.fr/mobil2.GIF
world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0510.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0515.GIF
France deaths by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
France cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ft-0505.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0509.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0502.GIF
Germany derivative (follows R[t]) : http://magictour.free.fr/de-dv1.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
============================================
2020/05/11
China,17+9+12,5Hubei,3JL,1LI,1HL , South Korea,35
Russia,55;India,67;Brazil,43,USA,16,Indonesia,28;Nigeria,61

================================================
2020/05/12
China,1+1+15,1IM ; SKor,27cases ;  India,54 ; Russia,56 ; Indonesia,17
Brazil,34 ; USA,16 ; Mexico,37 ; Canada,17 ; Nigeria,55 ; Pak,54(7) ; BD,64(7)
warm weather seems to help
Italy, 107743 tests ! , 2143 positive ; 30,32,19,22,19,20,15,15,19
==================================================
2020/05/13
China,7+1+8 ; 6Jilin ,SKorea ,+26=10962
India,54;USA,13;Indonesia,34;Pakistan,56;Brazil,34;Nigeria,53;Bangladesh,71;Russia,49;Mexico,55
dax=10621,dow=23707,euro=108.4,gold=1701,oil=29.2,bitcoin=8204
novavax=34.6 , moderna=56.4 , inovio=11.4
list of data sources : https://arxiv.org/pdf/2004.06111.pdf
earlier school closure in US-States is related to fewer deaths per capita and
slower growth in deaths per capita.
Higher Air Temperature, Pressure, and Ultraviolet Are Associated with Less Covid-19 Incidence
R[t] by US-State : https://covid19-realtimereproductionnumber.shinyapps.io/ShinyAPP/
Italy 61973 tests, 888 positive ;30,32,19,22,19,20,15,15,19,14
Italy tests contacts (regardless of symptoms)
4.4% with antibodies in Francce
5% with antibodies in Spain, 11% in Madrid
=========================================
2020/05/14
China,3+0+12,2LI,1JI ; SKor,+26=10962 ;  India,50(60) ; Russia,43(56) ; Indonesia,47(32)
Brazil,60(61) ; USA,16(19) ; Mexico,49(55) ; Canada,17(20) ; Nigeria,55(81) ;
Pak,51(58) ; BD,70(62)
normal (loud) speaking
 https://covid19.gleamproject.org/mobility
by US-County : https://comphealth.ucsf.edu/app/buttelabcovid
euromomo not yet updated
dax=10383,dow=23228,oil=30.3, VIX=35
Italy 71876 tests , 992 positive , ;30,32,19,22,19,20,15,15,19,14,13 (N=16,S=4)
===================================
2020/05/15
China,4+1+11,4JI ; Korea,+29=10991 ;
India,50 ; Nigeria,37 ; Brazil,60 ; USA,15 ; Russia,41 ; Pakistan,42 ; Bangladesh,58
Mexico,60 ; Indonesia,34 ;
euromomo week 19 : https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
http://magictour.free.fr/eumo19.GIF
insee-update , 25000 excess deaths in France
https://www.insee.fr/fr/statistiques/4487988?sommaire=4487854
Italy 68176 tests , 789 positive ,
daily : 20,15,15,19,14,13,11 , weekly : 210,248,175,127,86,53,36,30,19,(12)
=============================================
2020/05/16
China, 8+2+13,2JI ; South Korea , +19=11037
Over 25% of the UK likely to have had COVID-19 already' http://dlvr.it/RWkngV
IHME,May12,USA=147040,UK=43479,S=5769,I=35137,F=31155,D=9905,B=10594,Ire=1736
Brazil=88305,Canada=9945,Mexico=6859,Peru=6428,Turkey=5263
NY=34068,IL=7830,PA=12420,CA=5832,OH=2844
Italy, 69179 tests, 875  positive , 20,15,15,19,14,13,11 ,12
=============================================
2020/05/17
China,5+3+12,3JI ; South Korea,+13=11050
India,48(54) ; USA,18(17) ; Indonesia,42(33) ; Pakistan,43(44)
Brazil,69(59) ; Nigeria,39(56) ; Bangladesh,46(62) ; Russia,35(46) ; Mexico,47(50)
Europe,weekly,(13,17,19,24,32,worldometer)   ;
World-,weekly(--,23,25,31,38,54,81,112,108,64=mar02-mar08,ECDC)
Europe,weekly(--,17,18,23,30,44,70,120,178,241=mar02-mar08,ECDC)
Italy, 60101 test, 675 positive, pr=11

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #35 on: May 24, 2020, 10:58:45 pm »






https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
China : http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
Jilin : http://wsjkw.jl.gov.cn/
Korea : http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
Italy : http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_74_COVID-19.pdf
Germany : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
F: https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
US: https://covidtracking.com/api
US, by County : https://usafactsstatic.blob.core.windows.net/public/data/covid-19/covid_confirmed_usafacts.csv
US: R[t] : https://d14wlfuexuxgcm.cloudfront.net/covid/rt.csv
ESP: https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/resources/agregados.csv
-------------------------------------------------
mobility : http://magictour.free.fr/mobil2.GIF { mobility deleted because
I realised that Apple has some lengthy legalese conditions }
world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0510.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0515.GIF
France deaths by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
France cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ft-0505.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0509.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0502.GIF
Germany derivative (follows R[t]) : http://magictour.free.fr/de-dv1.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
UK : http://magictour.free.fr/engl0520.GIF
============================================
2020/05/18
China,7+1+18,2JI,1SH ; South Korea,+13=11050
Russia,36;India,58;Brazil,34,USA,17,Indonesia,29;Nigeria,32
-----------------------------------
countries with more democratic political institutions experienced deaths on a larger
per capita scale and sooner than less democratic countries.
-------------------------------
partial or targeted lockdown policies are efficient only when it is possible to
identify infected individuals.  https://www.nber.org/papers/w27134.pdf
--------------------------------------------
“we detected SARS-CoV-2−reactive CD4+ T cells in ∼40-60% of unexposed individuals,
suggesting cross-reactive T cell recognition between circulating ‘common cold’
coronaviruses and SARS-CoV-2.” twitter.com/profshanecrott…
---------------------------------------------
NYC 'Excess' Mortality From Non-COVID Causes Rises Over 5000:
-------------------------------------------------
Switzerland : R[t] fell below 1 _before_ lockdown : https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.04.20090639v1.full.pdf
US: stay-at-home-orders effective : https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3571421
-------------------------------------------------
400 job losses per life saved in CA : https://www.nber.org/papers/w26992.pdf
Italy 36406 tests , 451 positive , pr=12
============================================
2020/05/19
dax=11078,dow=24488,euro=1.084,oil=32
China,6+1+17,2JI,1Hub ; SKor,+13=11078 ; India,58 ; USA,14
cluster of 34 infections in Jilin, "108M" under "lockdown"
Itali,63158 tests, 813 positive, pr=1.2%
====================================================
2020/05/20
China,5+3+16,4JI ; Korea,   India,52(52,61)
---------------------------------------------
with USA measures 1 week earlier, 61.6% of infections and 55.0% of deaths
could have been avoided
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.15.20103655v1.full.pdf
--------------------------------------------
http://magictour.free.fr/de-8.GIF
I speculate that it peaked earlier in Cologne,Duesseldorf,Leverkusen,Bonn
because of Carneval and newspaper reports (and measures ?) from Heinsberg
which had an early outbreak nearby linked to Carneval.
As for the early peaks in Hamburg, Stuttgart - I don't know yet.
--------------------------------------
Extended Storage of SARS-CoV2 Nasopharyngeal Swabs Does Not Negatively
Impact Results of Molecular-Based Testing 
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.16.20104158v1
# so, we may see more sequences from stored ILI-samples from Jan,Feb ?!
-----------------------------------------------
cost in China = $380B , >99% due to production loss
------------------------------------------------
Italy,67195 tests, 665 positive, pr-0.9% , LO=25,PI=25,LI=20,MA=18,South=3
===================================================
2020/05/21
China,2conf.+1susp.+31asympt.,1SH , why did all the recent cases in Jilin,Wuhan not appear here
Korea,+12+11122 ; India,58,52,55 ; Brazil,68,34,55,68,73 ; Mexico,
----------------------------------
Bergamo 61% seropositive by the end of April.  Healthcare workers only 23%.
-------------------------------------
Italy, 71679 tests, 642 positive , pr=0.8%
===========================================
2020/05/22
China,4+2+35,2JI ; Korea,+20=11142  ; India,53 ; Brazil,73
CDC estimates that 35% of coronavirus infections are asymptomatic,
Just 7.3% of Stockholm had Covid-19 antibodies by end of April
https://rt.live/
 rt.live, R[t] by US-State since apr03
Italy , 7380 tests, 652 positive , pr=15,19,14,13,11,12,11,12,12,9,8,8
=============================================
2020/05/23
China,0+2+28 ; Brazil,75,68,34,55,68,73,63 ; India,58,58,52,53,55,54,56
Italy, 72410 tests, 669 positive , pr=9
=============================================
2020/05/24
China,3+3+36,1JI ; Brazil,50 ; India,56
Italy, 55824 tests,531 positive , pr=9 , weekly :210,248,175,127,86,53,36,30,19,12,9
« Last Edit: June 14, 2020, 08:57:32 pm by gsgs »

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #36 on: May 31, 2020, 08:50:56 pm »





https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
China : http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
Jilin : http://wsjkw.jl.gov.cn/
Korea : http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
Italy : http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_74_COVID-19.pdf
Germany : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
F: https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
US: https://covidtracking.com/api
US, by County : https://usafactsstatic.blob.core.windows.net/public/data/covid-19/covid_confirmed_usafacts.csv
US: R[t] : https://d14wlfuexuxgcm.cloudfront.net/covid/rt.csv
ESP: https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/resources/agregados.csv
-------------------------------------------------
mobility : http://magictour.free.fr/mobil2.GIF { mobility deleted because
I realised that Apple has some lengthy legalese conditions }
world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0524.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0515.GIF
France deaths by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
France cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ft-0505.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0509.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0530.GIF
Germany derivative (follows R[t]) : http://magictour.free.fr/de-dv1.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
UK : http://magictour.free.fr/engl0520.GIF
euromomo : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo21.GIF
============================================
2020/05/25
China,10+0+40 ; India,54 ; Brazil,46
Europe : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0524.GIF    still up: Armenia,Azerbaijan
horizontal : Russia,Belarus,Moldova,Poland,Ukraine,Sweden
Italy,35214 tests, 300 positive
=============================================
2020/05/26
China,7+0+29 ; India,53 ; Brazil,32 ; USA,13 ; Nigeria,42 ; Mexico,36 ; Russia,26
Indonesia,22 ; Pakistan,32 ; Bangladesh,48
somehow contained everywhere , surprisingly few (reported) deaths
[unexpected after Bergamo,NYC]
euroflu : http://magictour.free.fr/euflu20.PNG
Italy,57674 tests,397 positive , pr=12,12,9,8,8,9,9,8,6 ; N=8,S=2
=================================================
2020/05/27
Germany,432,362 new cases, 47 new deaths ,
r[t]=0.70,821 in ICU(max=2922),525 on ventilator(max=2180)
China,1+1+28 ; Korea +40=11265,20000 tests
India,47 ; Brazil,44 ; USA,11 ; Nigeria,31 ; Bangladesh,33
------------------------
active cases per million population :
USA,3460,BEL,2831,SGP,2715,SWE,2510,CHL,2420,BLR,2409,PER,2218,RUS,1558
...FRA,1353,...,BRZ,994,...,ITA,875,...,DEU,128,...,CHE,74,...,IND,59,...,
AUS,18,...,NZL,4,...,China,0.06
---------------------------
Italy,67324 tests,584 positive,pr=9,8,6,8
========================================
2020/05/28
China,2+0+23 ; Korea,#40,#79 ; India,44 ; Brazil,53
Germany,362,353 [47,62],R_t=0.68
Fauci: ‘We [NIAID] Might Have A Vaccine By The End Of The Year’
Pfizer also may have millions of doses by end 2020
Merck called 12-18 months “very aggressive,”
England, week 22 : https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/888254/COVID19_Epidemiological_Summary_w22_Final.pdf
Italy,75893 tests, 593 positive, pr=7, N=9,S=2
================================================
2020/05/29
China,0+0+5 ; Korea,#40,#79,#58 ;Germany,353,741[62,39],r_t=0.61 ; India,43 ; Brazil,64
euromomo update : https://euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
a case with 10 weeks incubation time
-----------------------------------------
Recent preprint reporting that 24/24 (100%) people form Singapore infected
by SARS-1 in 2003 have pre-existing T-cell immunity against #SARSCoV2,
but more surprisingly 9/18 (50%) with no exposure to SARS-1 also possess
T-cells targeting #SARSCoV2.
------------------------------------
removing all policies on April 1st of 2020 would have lead to 30 to 200 times
more additional cases by late May.
-----------------------------------------
Italy, 72135 tests, 516 positive,pr=9,8,6,8,7,7
=========================================
2020/05/30
China,4+1+4 ; Korea,#39 ; Germany,741,738,[39,39],R_t=0.86 ; India,47 ; Brazil,64
-------------------------
10% of cases make 80% of the spread
USA to leave WHO ,(Congress must still approve ?)
------------------------------------------------------------
household-size (and not pop.density) was the most important factor in NYC
hmm, US-Census collects this all 10years by County,City
so there should be a good nationwide statistics already ?!
-------------------------------------------------------------
Germany , early spread , rural and urban : http://magictour.free.fr/de-early.GIF
Sinovac 99% sure Covid-19 vaccine will be 'effective'
----------------------------
Italy,69342,416;12,12,9,8,8,9,9,8,6,8,7,7,5
=========================================
2020/05/31
China,2+0+3 ; Korea,40,79,58,39,27 ; Germany,286,(11),r_t=1.03
India,48(39%w) ;Brazil,61(41%w) ;Russia,23(18%w) ;Bangladesh,41(39%w) ;Nigeria,59(31%w)
Indonesia,22(19%w) ;USA,14(9%w) ;Mexico,34(33%w)
40%w --> redoubles in 2 weeks


Moscow,St.Pet. : http://magictour.free.fr/rus0530.GIF
can this be explained by -whatever- measures ? Looks more like the
typical curve that goes up and down by immunity.
Immunity from seasonal Corona ? Immunity of superspreaders/travelers ?
genetics ? nutrition ? weather ?
Italy, 54118,355,pr=6
« Last Edit: June 14, 2020, 08:56:57 pm by gsgs »

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #37 on: June 08, 2020, 04:02:37 am »





https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
China : http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
Jilin : http://wsjkw.jl.gov.cn/
Korea : http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
Italy : http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_74_COVID-19.pdf
Germany : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
F: https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
US: https://covidtracking.com/api  https://covidtracking.com/api/v1/states/daily.csv
US, by County : https://usafactsstatic.blob.core.windows.net/public/data/covid-19/covid_confirmed_usafacts.csv
US: R[t] : https://d14wlfuexuxgcm.cloudfront.net/covid/rt.csv
ESP: https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/resources/agregados.csv
-------------------------------------------------
mobility : http://magictour.free.fr/mobil2.GIF { mobility deleted because
I realised that Apple has some lengthy legalese conditions }
world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0531.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0531.GIF
France deaths by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
France cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ft-0505.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0509.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0530.GIF
Germany derivative (follows R[t]) : http://magictour.free.fr/de-dv1.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
UK : http://magictour.free.fr/engl0520.GIF
euromomo : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo21.GIF
============================================
2020/06/01
China,16+0+16 ; Korea,#35 ; Germany,333,11 ; India,48 ; Brazil,72 ;
China vaccine by end2020, 100M doses per year
CanSino, 1e8/y ; Merck , Sanofi ; Sinovac 1e8/y ;
Novavax, 1.5e9/y ; Moderna, 1e9/y ; Sanofi, 3.5e8/y ; Pfizer, 3e8/y ,Astra Zeneca 1e9
Johnson, 7e8 by 4/21 ; GSK,1e9 adjuvants ;
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
IHME,May29,USA=135109,UK=44389,S=05258,I=43297,F=31466,D=9146,B=9699,Ire=1692
Brazil=125833,Canada=8148,Mex=6859,Peru=19722,Turkey=4759,Russia=7201,
CA=12951,GA=2759,IL=6371,MO=996,NY=31295,OH=3227,PA=6418,TX=2025
--------------------------------------------------------------------
covid-19.projections.com:
US=192098,S=7028,UK=47696,DE=10399,UKR=3378,B=10196,POL=2133,BRA=139005,
CHN=4648,IND=55797,IDN=5654,Iran=11985,MEX=97096,NIG=1543,Russia=23727,BGD=6065
CA=12938,GA=6080,IL=10499,MO=2743,NY=33017,OH=6560,PA=9492,TX=5563
---------------------------------------------------------------------
new study Shi Zhengly et.al. 630 new bat-sequences at genbank MN312240-MN312869 (not yet)
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.31.116061v1
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Italy,31395,178,5
==========================================
2020/06/02
China,5+0+10 ; Korea,36 ; Germany,213,11,R_t=1.20 ; Brazil,33 ; India,46 ; France,#338,31
Italy,52159,318,6
=============================================
2020/06/03
China,1+1+4 ; Korea,#49 ; Germany,342,29,R=0.89 ; Brazil,53,64,61,72,33,23,24 ; India,43 ; France,-766
excess deaths per M. population :
5500,Bergamo Province
2500,Brescia
2400,New York City
1500,Milan
1300,Madrid
1000,Paris
950, London Region
1000,Stockholm County
Italy,37299,321,8  (up)
==============================================
2020/06/04
China,2,0,12,1SX ; Korea,#39 ; Germany,394,30,R=0.71 ; Brazil,52  ; India,45
Fauci : hope to have 100s of millions of vaccine doses available by the beginning of 2021
Italy,49953,177,3
PharmAust Shares Soar Following Promising #Covid19 #Treatment Results
=============================================
2020/06/05
China,5+0+3 ;Korea,39 ; Germany,504,32,R=0.57(7d:0.80)
India,45 ; Brazil,52 ; Mexico,44 ; Bangladesh,44 ; Nigeria,32 ; Indonesia,21
(is it maybe because IDN was planning for a pandemic since 2005-H5N1 ?)
protective effect for blood group O (OR=0.65) 
build v153 hg38 , rs657153(chr9?) , rs11385942(chr3)   , SLC6A20
Italy,65028,518,7
=============================================
2020/06/06
China,3+1+2 ; Korea,#51 ;  Germany,407,33,R=0.68(0.83)   ; India,44,Brazil,50
Novavax Surging on $60M
SARS-CoV-2 Gene Deletions May Cause Milder disease , Spain
 complete absence of the S2 subunit
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.03.129585v1
Italy,72485,270,3
=================================================
3030/06/07
China,6+2+5,1HA  ; Korea,57  ; Germany,301,22,R=0.87(0.89) ; India,42(44) ; Brazil,42(44)
 Mexico,(38) ; Bangladesh,(51) ; Nigeria,(35) ; Indonesia,(24) ; Russia,(21) ; USA,13(12)
Iran,(11,14,16,17,16,19)
Brazil will no longer publish COVID-numbers in internet
China formulates plan to roll out vaccine before clinical trials are finished in race against Trump -
originated from a surface protein of Plasmodium malariae,
Israel study : smoking cuts COVID-risk by 50%
Bald Men at Higher #Risk of Severe #Coronavirus Symptoms
Italy,49478,197,(5,6,8,3,7,3,3), N=4,S=1
« Last Edit: June 14, 2020, 08:56:17 pm by gsgs »

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #38 on: June 14, 2020, 08:54:55 pm »





https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
China : http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
Jilin : http://wsjkw.jl.gov.cn/
Korea : http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
Italy : http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_74_COVID-19.pdf
Germany : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
F: https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
US: https://covidtracking.com/api  https://covidtracking.com/api/v1/states/daily.csv
US, by County : https://usafactsstatic.blob.core.windows.net/public/data/covid-19/covid_confirmed_usafacts.csv
US: R[t] : https://d14wlfuexuxgcm.cloudfront.net/covid/rt.csv
ESP: https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/resources/agregados.csv
-------------------------------------------------
mobility : http://magictour.free.fr/mobil2.GIF { mobility deleted because
I realised that Apple has some lengthy legalese conditions }
world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0608.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0531.GIF
France deaths by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
France cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ft-0505.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0612.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0530.GIF
Germany derivative (follows R[t]) : http://magictour.free.fr/de-dv1.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
UK : http://magictour.free.fr/engl0520.GIF
euromomo : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo21.GIF
============================================
2020/06/08
China,4+1+2 ; Korea,#38 ; Germnay,214,6,R=1.05 ; India,42  ; Brazil,42 ; PAK,(53)
EU : MKD,(17,45) ; ALB,(14) ; ARM,(42,50) ; AZE,(42) ; SWE,(15) ; BER,(19) ; RUS,(20)
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2405-7_reference.pdf
Italy,
===============================================
2020/06/09
China,3+0+21 ; Korea,38  ;  Germany,350,37,R=1.11 ; India,40 ; Brazil,28 ; PAK,45
MKD,42;ARM,15;AZE,47
57% in Bergamo have antibodies ,9.5^ in GE, 7.0% in VD,1.1% in ZH, 15-30% in India
WHO: asymptomatics rarely spread it
=============================================
2020/06/10
China,3+1+5 ; Korea,50  ; Germany,318,18,R=1.10,(3006,2491) ; India,39 ; Brazil,45 ; PAK,45
MKD,28;ARM,15;AZE,47;IRN,12
=================================================
2020/06/11
China,11+0+4 ; Korea,45 ; Germany,555,26,,R=0.86(0.86) ;
India,37 ; Brazil,45 ; MKD,38 ; ARM,39 ; Iran,11
AZE,590! , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Azerbaijan
-----------------------------------
maybe no more daily check+translate+process for Italy,China - I'm getting lazy ,
maybe one update per week is enough ...
--------------------------------
Germany COVID-ICU-patients on Sundays Apr12-Jun07 : 2405,2889,2541,1979,1581,1166,889,702,568
in % : +20,-12,-22,-20,-26,-24,-21,-19
---------------------------------
J&J ... to supply more than one billion doses globally through 2021.
Novavax Announces High Neutralizing #Antibody Titers in COVID-19 #Vaccine
=============================================
2012/06/12
China,7+0+1 ; Korea,56 ; Germany, 258,8,r=0.88(0.99) ; India,36 ; Brazil, AZE,
Ontario-data : https://data.ontario.ca/dataset?keywords_en=COVID-19
(best Covid-data providing that I've found so far ! Ontario-pop=14M)
DAX=12016,DOW=25557,Euro=1.133,Bitcoin=8385,gold=1732,oil=38.0\
==================================================
2020/06/13
China,11+0+7,6BJ ; Korea,49 ; Germany,348,18,R=0.87(1.04) ; India,39 ; Brazil,39
AZE,55,43,43,40,41,41,38 ; ARM,53,69,39,15,26,31 ; IRN,11,12,13 ; MKD,45,38,42,28,38,52,46
============================================
2020/06/14
China,57+1+9,36BJ,2LI ; Korea,34 ; Germany,247,6,R=1.02(1.09) ;
India,39(w38) ; Brazil,32(w36) ; MEX,25(w33) ; Nigeria,33(w36) ; IDN,28(w30) ,BGD,35(w43)
AZE,38(w41) ; ARM,31(w43) ; IRN,13(w12) ; MKD,53(w42)

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #39 on: June 21, 2020, 08:39:32 pm »
copies of these posts  readable also by non-members are here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ncov-discussion/updates/msg239/#msg239
[one new post each Monday)

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
China : http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
Korea : http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
Italy : https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
Spain : https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_74_COVID-19.pdf
Germany : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
====2020/06/21 no longer works ?-------
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
US: https://covidtracking.com/api  https://covidtracking.com/api/v1/states/daily.csv
US, by County : https://usafactsstatic.blob.core.windows.net/public/data/covid-19/covid_confirmed_usafacts.csv
US: R[t] : https://d14wlfuexuxgcm.cloudfront.net/covid/rt.csv
ESP: https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/resources/agregados.csv
OxCGRT-Index : https://github.com/OxCGRT/covid-policy-tracker/raw/master/data/OxCGRT_latest.csv

-------------------------------------------------
world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0608.GIF
----- update, cases only : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0617.GIF
----- weekly, by cases per pop : http://magictour.free.fr/wo-16.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0531.GIF
France deaths by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
France cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ft-0505.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0612.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0620.GIF
Germany derivative (follows R[t]) : http://magictour.free.fr/de-dv1.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
UK : http://magictour.free.fr/engl0520.GIF
euromomo : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo21.GIF

=========================================
2020/06/15
China,49+1+18,36BJ,3Hebei  ; Korea,37   ;  Germany,192,4,R=1.05(1.00)
India,39,w38 ; Brazil, ; POL,13,w14 ;
Rou,15,w10; MKD,41,w43; BGR,30,w27; MDA,33,w27;  AZE,38,w41; UKR,21,w20; Iran,13,w12

SARS2 on a cutboard for imported salmon in Beijing
Experts said it is extremely unlikely for seafood like salmon to be the carrier
of the novel coronavirus,
a mutated variety from Europe.
in cold containers
=================================================
2020/06/16
China,40+3+6,27Beijing,4Hebei,1Sichuan ;  Korea,34 ; Germany,378,9,R=1.19(1.05) ;
 India,36 ; Brazil,20 ; MKD,26;AZE,38;BGR,16;SWE,19,w27
[I can't get to Beijing-health web site , https://wjw.beijing.gov.cn/  "unsafe site"]
===================================================
2020/06/17
China,44+3+11,31Beijing,1Hebei,1Zhejiang ; Korea,43   ;Germany,345,9,R=0.86(1.00)
India,32 (2000 new deaths ?) ; BRA,39;MKD,32;AZE,38;BGR,33;SWE,19
Wu Zunyou : the Beijing-like virus is very prevalent in many countries. It is not in China
# he should just give the mutations (~10-20 mutations expected), so we can see
# where that strain first emerged
------------------------------------------
Shi :  I think we will find a direct ancestor
----------------------------------------------
 RmYN02 is available to GISAID-members since Jun09 EPI_ISL_412977
----------------------------------------------
https://covid19-projections.com/   {seems to be better than the IHME - forecasts}
Jun01, COVID deaths forecast
US=192098,S=7028,UK=47696,DE=10399,UKR=3378,B=10196,POL=2133,BRA=139005,
CHN=4648,IND=55797,IDN=5654,Iran=11985,MEX=97096,NIG=1543,Russia=23727,BGD=6065
CA=12938,GA=6080,IL=10499,MO=2743,NY=33017,OH=6560,PA=9492,TX=5563

Jun17,(by Oct01)
US=189793,S=6314,UK=49276,DE=10481,UKR=3600,B=10078,POL=3294,BRA=121826,
CHN=4648,IND=358926,IDN=9179,IRN=16640,MEX=84651,NIG=2654,RUS=22371,BGD=10994
CA=16484,GA=5869,IL=11777,MO=1692,NY=32952,OH=5212,PA=9382,TX=4511

India projected at 360000 deaths now ! It was 56000 on Jun01, I wonder what changed
===========================================
2020/06/18
China,28+3+8,24Beijing,2Hebai,1Tianjin ;  Korea,59 ; Germany,580,26,R=0.86(0.89)
India,32 [1672 backlogged deaths yesterday] ; Brazil,39;MEX,32
SWE,??;BGR,33;MKD,45;MDA,33;AZE,58
------------------------------------------
only 4% (=one fifth) of an estimated 20% infected HCW in Wuhan have antibodies
10% may lose immunity after a month, little immunity in mild cases
--------------------------------------
Wu Zunyou - Chief Epidemiologist of the Chinese CDC - now believes the Beijing
outbreak is under control.
---------------------------------------
2 human + 1 env. genomes from Beijing-outbreak @GISAID , global lineage no specific mutations
============================================
2020/06/19
China,32+2+5,25Beijing,2Hebei,1Liaoning ; Korea,49 ; Germany770,16, R=0.86(1.00)
India,w69660,80367 ; Brazil,w188400,182961 ; Chile,w35800,41000+30000 ; MKD,w927,1126
-----------------------------------
ISS : SARS2 in waste water of Torino and Milan in Dec. !
------------------------------------
AstraZeneca will deliver 400,000 doses of the vaccine to European nations by the end of 2020.
-------------------------------------0
=====================================
2020/06/20
China,27+0+7,22Beijing,1Hebei ; Korea,67 ; Germany,601,11,R=1.06(1.17)
India,37 ; Brazil,56 ; Peru,14 ; Chile,30 , MKD,33 ; AZE,38
busy with genbank 238
===================================
2020/06/21
China,26+3+6,22Beijing,3Hebei ; Korea,48 ; Germany,687,-1,R=1.79(1.55)
India,38;Brazil,56;Chile,20;Peru,14;Mexico,28
Israel,w269,154,104,300,740,1220,1661 ; MKD,38 ; AZE,38 ; BGR,w233,91,169,501,586
USA,w143433,145608,135395,170069
DAX:12331,ESt50:3269,Dow:25871,Bitcoin:8390,Euro:1.1178,oil:41.92,Gold:1744

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #40 on: July 14, 2020, 07:47:10 pm »


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
China : http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
Korea : http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
Italy : https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
Spain : https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_74_COVID-19.pdf
Germany : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
US: https://covidtracking.com/api  https://covidtracking.com/api/v1/states/daily.csv
US, by County : https://usafactsstatic.blob.core.windows.net/public/data/covid-19/covid_confirmed_usafacts.csv
US: R[t] : https://d14wlfuexuxgcm.cloudfront.net/covid/rt.csv
ESP: https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/resources/agregados.csv
OxCGRT-Index : https://github.com/OxCGRT/covid-policy-tracker/raw/master/data/OxCGRT_latest.csv

-------------------------------------------------
world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0608.GIF
----- update, cases only : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0705.GIF
----- weekly, by cases per pop : http://magictour.free.fr/wo-18.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0531.GIF
France deaths by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
France cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ft-0505.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0612.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0626.GIF
Germany derivative (follows R[t]) : http://magictour.free.fr/de-dv1.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
UK : http://magictour.free.fr/engl0520.GIF
euromomo : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo21.GIF
===================================
2020/06/22
China,18,2,7,99Beijing,2Hebei ; Korea,17 ; Germany,537,3,R=2.88(2.03)
India,39;Brazi,16;Chile,20;Peru,14;Mexico,30;Nigeria,22;PAK,29;BGD,32,w18616,21751,24786
MDA=29;BGR,28;MKD,20;ISR,14;ALB,38;UKR,21;ROM=12,AZE=38;ARM=31
Trump approval rating 41.4:55.2 , down from 45.8:49.7 in Mar which was his best so far
==================================
2020/06/23
China,22+2+7,13Beijing ; Korea,46 ; Germany,503,10,R=2.76(1.82)
India,36 ; Brazil,16,Chile,20,Mexico,25,MDA,29,ALB,17,AZE,38,ARM,31
vaccine overview : https://www.winway.me/health-remedies/astrazeneca-taps-catalent-for-covid-19-vaccine-finishing-packaging-at-italian-plant/
still unclear whether AstaZeneca delivers _by_ yearend or only starts delivering then
Germany with and without hotspots : http://magictour.free.fr/rkiwee4.GIF
There is a 2 month gap between the between the European genomes and the Beijing outbreak.
 Beijing market outbreak ‘coming to an end’, health expert says
 >90% with steep declines antibodies within 2 to 3 months
50% positivity-rate in Mexico
====================================
2020/06/24
China,12+4+3,7Beijing,2Hebei  ; Korea,51   ; Germany,587,19,R=2.02(1.67)
Mexico,34 ; Brazil,36 ; Chile,15 ; AZE,38 ; ALB,26 ; BGR,20 ; Ind,35
DEU,w3792,3026,2515,2296,4023
FRA,w2376,5290*,3340*,3184,3378
SPA,w4222,3657,2121,2378,2344
NLA,w1329,1069,1256,1184,635?
ITA,w3856,2960,2046,1939,1333
POL,w2807,2321,3165,2635,2332
CZE,w480,313,360,396,474
AUT,w268,271,213,180,245
BEL,w1664,1160,822,718,655
CHE,w,143,113,114,158,186
DEN,w385,307,267,249,311
UK-,w14370,14797,11155,8996,8074
no 2nd wave in central and western and southwestern Europe
========================================
2020/06/25
China,19+0+1,13Beijing,1Hebei ; Korea,28 ; Germany,630,13,R=0.72,1.17 (4day and 7day average)
India,36 ; Brazil,37 ; Mexico,28 ; Texas,46 ;
ALB,33;AZE,38;ARM,31;MKD,26;BGR,31;MDA,29;GRE,05;Turkey,08;ROM,13
70% of infections in Lombardia asymptomatic
42% in Ischgl have antibodies
=================================================
2020/06/26
Cina,13+3+5,11Beijing ; Korea,     ;Germany,477,21,R=0.59,1.11
India,37;Brazil,37;Mexico,31;Texas,35,43,36,29,48,46,48
ALB,47;AZE,38;BGR,39;Bosn,20;Croatia,40;ROM,17;UKR,25;POL,09;ISR,25;GRE,05
WHO warns about increased spread in 11 European countries:
Armenia, Sweden, Moldova, North Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan,
Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Kyrgyzstan, Ukraine, Kosovo.
{add Bulgaria,Romania,Croatia - see above}
==================================
2020/06/27
China,21+1+12,17Beijing ; Korea,51 ; Germany,R=0.57,1.02
India,37;Brazil,33;MEX,27;TEX,43;
ALB,35;AZE,38;BGR,39,BUH,20;CRO,23;ROM,16,UKR,28; POL,09;ISR,16;GRE,05;
MDA,29;ARM,31;MKD,29;HUN,01;CYP,00;TUR,07;SER,08; KOS,51
====================================
2020/06/28
China,17+1+7,14Beijing ; Korea,62 ; Germany,256,3,R=0.62,0.83
India,38 ; Brazil,38 ; Chile,18 ; Mexico,21 ; Texas,42
ALB,27;AZE,35;BGR,39;BUH,20;CRO,34;ROM,13;UKR,28;POL,10;ISR,18;GRC,05
MDA,29;ARM,31;MKD,26;HUN,03;CYP,00;TUR,07;SRB,08;KOS,38;CZE,05
Germany,Czech back to normal. Croatia,Bulgaria,Ukraine up

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #41 on: August 24, 2020, 08:26:55 am »
2020/06/29
China,12+4+6,7Beijing ; Korea,41 ; Germany,262,4,R=0.71,0.71
India,39 ; Brazil,30 ; Mexico,19 ; TX,37 ; AZ,55 ; FL,64 ; Pakistan,21 ; Russia,11
ALB,31;AZE,35;BGR,25;BUH,--;CRO,26;ROM,11;UKR,28; POL,06;ISR,27;GRC,05;SLN,07
MDA,19;ARM,31;MKD,30;HUN,01;CYP,--;TUR,07;SRB,18; K OS,38;CZE,#306 !! ;SLK,#14
Czech,#40,47,51,118,126,42,50,63,89,127,93,168,260,305
Slovakia,#1,3,3,4,0,9,0,14,11,0,0,0,18,23,13,14
picture : http://magictour.free.fr/cz-0628.GIF
no 2nd wave, they say. Miners tested.
post-peak in Florida ? http://magictour.free.fr/us-fl.GIF
=================================================
2020/06/30
China,19+1+4,7Beijing,1Shanghai ; Korea,43 ; Germany,498,12,R=0.74,0.63
India,34;Brazil,23;Mexico,18;TX=29,FL=37,AZ=09,OK=18,AR=22,SC=40,CA=   {looks good}
CZE,09,16,24,27 ; AZE,35;UKR,16;BGR,25;ISR,29;Turkey,07;Croatia,13
========================================
2020/07/01
China,3+2+3,3Beijing ; Korea,76 ; Germany,466,12,R=0.83,0.67
India,Brazil,MEX=25,
CZE,?;SLK,01;AZE,35;BGR,33;ISR,33;UKR,16;CRO,19
DAX=12367,DOW=25833,Euro=1.123,Gold=1780,Bitcoin=8161,Oil=41.4,VIX=31.4
cases per milion in June , 10 US-States with no SHO since May01 : 3300
cases per million in June , 11 US-States with SHO until at least May28 : 2100
(only States with population > 2.5M )
approval-rating : 40.5-56.4 (was 45-50 end-Mar)
Czech-cluster = mining , Austria-cluster = religion , Croatia,Slovenia,Serbia = "wave ?"
Moldova = post-peak  http://magictour.free.fr/eu--1.GIF
=====================================
2020/07/02
China,3+0+2,1Beijing ; Korea,54 ; Germany,503,12,R=0.86,0.79

FL,43;CA,29;TX,46;WA,18 ;
==========================================
2020/07/03
China,5+1+4,2Beijing ; Korea, ; Germany,R=0.83,0.83
India,33 ; Brazil,37 ; Mexico,28 ; Texas,47
SVN,08
-------------------
USA : http://magictour.free.fr/us-.GIF
http://magictour.free.fr/uss0702c.GIF
sometimes an increase followed ~10 days after reopening, OH,PA
but it's not conclusive, e.g. MO,... A wave in a neighbor-State seems to be
a bigger risk than reopening
I'm looking for a computer-readable-list, what State/County/City
had what measures at what time
Or better : charts of State/County cases where the dates of measures are marked with symbols
We should know by now what measures work and how well.
------------------------------------------
Germany,Czech,Austria : the wave coming from SE is strangely being ignored.
In the media, in the internet discussion. RKI gives a map here
https://www.rki.de/SharedDocs/Bilder/InfAZ/neuartiges_Coronavirus/Karte_Europa.jpg?__blob=poster&v=61
most Balkan-countries and Russia,Ukraine are left out.
Their limit is 50 cases per 100000 population per week, but this ignores the
dynamic and the time-lag. Only HUN,GRC so far could stop the wave. Which now
starts in SVN
---
The same phenomenon was seen in USA where the 2nd wave started 2-5 weeks ago
but was ignored by neighbor-States. E.g. NY introduced travel restrictions
just some days ago
---------------------------------------
actual case-estimates : https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en/world
Study: Many in US distanced before states mandated it
# why then did all the earlier studies found a big impact of lockdown
in USA ? Did they ignore the pre-lockdown distancing ?
# how did these mobility charts look after re-opening ?
https://rt.live/us/NY
https://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/national/united-states/
Young Americans are spreading the virus fast
=================================================
2020/07/04
China,3+2+4,1Beijing ; Korea,63 ; Germany,422,7, R=0.85,0.86
Slovenia,53,13,40,07,07,85,46,39,71,90,57,25,95,81,130
Hungary,01 ; Greece,05 ; Switzerland,04 ; Austria,06
https://covidly.com/
deaths in USA are still not going up, strange
===================================================
2020/07/05
China,8+1+7,6Beijing ; Korea,61 ; Germany,239,2,R=0.93,0.94
Ind,38 ; Bra,25 ; Mex,28 ; TX,45 ; FL,64 ; CA,26 ; AZ,29 ; SC,45
239 experts from 32 countries : COVID is airborne
deaths/cases are down a lot since Apr19 worlwide: http://magictour.free.fr/wowo2.GIF
===========================================================
2020/07/06
China,4+0+11,1Beijing ; Korea,48 ; Germany,219,4,R=0.96(4d),0.94(7d)
India,38 ; Brazil,18 ; AZE,35 ; Mex=19 ; TX=18 ; FL=53 ; CA,26 ; OH,17 ; US,18
Slovenia,#2,6,1,1,13,7,6,11,14,9,4,15,13,20
Steiermark,#4,1,3,1,9,0,11,8,7,0 ;
Austria,#63,40,113,78,103,114,123,74
Germany,#
301,214,350,318,555,258,348
247,192,378,345,580,770,601,
687,537,503,587,630,477,687,
256,262,498,466,503,446,422,
239,219,390,397,
Switz,#35,22,161,128,95,114,26,1,
Czech,#42,50,63,89,127,93,168,260,305,202,149,92,132,141,121,75,51
USA,CFR-charts : http://magictour.free.fr/us0705.GIF
US-deaths are increasing in VA,SC,TN,AL,FL,AR,TX,AZ
CDC-mobility : https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index.html#mobility
Europe : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0706.GIF
======================================================
2020/07/07
China,8+2+15 ; Korea,44 ; USA, c21,18,15;d52,23,18 ; Germany,390,8, R=0.97,0.89
India,35 ; Brazil,13 ; Mexico,19 ; Croatia,19,29,33,29,18,22

===============================================
2020/07/08
China,7+0+6 ; Korea,63 ; Germany, 397,12, R=0.81,0.84,(from SRB=116 , out=4.2%)
India,32 ; Brazil,28 ; Mexico,24 ; TX,50 ; AZ,36 ; FL,36 ; CA,
=============================================
China,9+0+6 ; Korea,50 ; Germany, 442,12,R=0.70,0.83
TX,47,36 (daily increase of cases and deaths in 0/00) ; FL,48,12 ; CA,42,18 ;
AZ,33,19 ; SC,36,45 ; OH,22,07 ; PA,09,04 ; IL,04,05 ; NY,01,00 ; Mex,26,24
India,32 ; Pakistan,13 ; Brazil,27 ; Greece,05 ; Slovenia,13 ; Australia,15 ; Victoria,#67,124,164,118  ,  156,288
India 2nd day at +3.2%, it used to be 3.6%-3.8% , so post-peak now ?
It peaked 3 weeks ago in Pakistan , in Bangladesh 1 week ago
Birx says U.S. underestimated community spread among young people
Fauci says , it's a false narrative to take comfort in a lower rate of death
France rules out another 'total lockdown' -
==========================================
2020/07/10
China,4+3+3 ; Korea,45 ; Germany,395,6,R=0.66,0.86
USA,19,07 ; India,34 ; Croatia,27 ; Slovenia,07 ; Czech,10 ; Slovakia,10 ; Australia,19
hmm, what's happening in Sweden ? Cases are down. http://magictour.free.fr/eu-sw.GIF
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Sweden
816,490,433,274,57

---------------------------------
uhh, unknown pneumonia in Kazakhstan, much worse than COVID, many cases
https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/kazakhstan-covid-19/836487-kazakhstan-coronavirus-covid-19-53-021-cases-264-deaths%C2%A0/page3#post876526
Kazakhstan says : "fake news"
https://anti-corona.kz/kz#data
--------------------------------------
=======================================
2020/07/11
China,2+0+4 ; Korea,35 ; Germany, 378,6, R=0.80,0.90
GRC,05 ; KAZ,31 ; SWE,09 ;
----------------------------------
Daily ICU admissions and in-hospital deaths in Paris negatively correlated to ambient
temperatures, with a time lag. 8 days for admissions and 15 days for deaths. 
=====================================================
3030/07/12
China,7+0+5 ; Korea,44 ; Germany,248,3,R-0.93,0.93 ; SWE,02
-------below numbers are updated daily------------------
India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37,38,33
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60,41,31,24,58,27,35,28,19 ; 
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22,18,17,15 ;  deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7,7,7,4,3
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39,18,32,23 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61,39 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13,17,25,28
-------------------------
FL,60,17 ; TX,43,33 ; CA,26,14 ; AZ,26,33 ; SC,43,24 ; GA,29,10 ;
==========================================
2020/07/13
China,8+0+6 ; Korea,26 ; Germany,159,1,R=1.04.0.91 , US,19,04
FL, http://magictour.free.fr/fl0712.GIF
US-COVID-death-predictions :
208255 by Nov01 , https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
222100 by Nov01 , https://covid19-projections.com/
68% in NY-Queens with antibodies ?
============================================
2020/07/14
China,3+0+5 ; Korea,33 ; Germany,412,4,R=1.00,0.83
USA,18,02 [weekend?] , India,  Brazil,25,22,13,11


measures-rating : https://github.com/amel-github/covid19-interventionmeasures
====================================================
2020/07/15
China,6+0+3 ; Korea,33 ; Germany,351,3,R=1.06,0.91
FL,33,31 ; TX,41,27 ; CA,22,07 ; AZ,34,41 ; SC,38,24 ; GA,28,09 ; OH,17,02 ; Mex,23,24
===================================================
2020/07/16
China,1+0+2 [!] ; Korea,61 ; Germany,534,7,R=1.02,0.95 ; USA,19,06
 0.1% of transmission occurs 7d, 1% 5d, 9% 3d prior to symptom onset...”
my COVID-charts update : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0716.GIF
=======================================
2020/07/17
China,10+1+5,1Xinjiang   ; Korea,60   ;  Germany,583,4,R=1.10,1.07  ; USA,
==========================================
2020/07/18
China,22+1+14,16Xinjiang ; Korea,39 ; Germany,529,1,R=1.25,1.20 ; USA,22,7 see above(07/12)
Iran estimates it had 25M infections
==================================================
2020/07/19
China,16+1+42,13Xinjiang ; Korea,34 ; Germany,202,1,R=1.42,1.34 ;
HongKong +6.1% !
Fauci on TWiV, hundredth of millions doses in the first quarter of 2021
 > worldwide evidence of low infection rates for smokers.
todays small (weekend) update : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0719.GIF
---------------------------------
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/MT729367
partial 221bp sequence from Mexico-Michoacan, Jan.02 (?!?) ; T15297C,T15300A (both new)
-------------------------------------------------
==========================================
2020/07/20
China,22+1+13,17Xinjiang ;  Korea,16? (new format) ; Germany,249,2,R=1.25,1.22 ; USA,17,4
WHO-Chefforscherin: Impfstoff vermutlich Mitte 2021 massenhaft verfügbar
COVID-charts update :http://magictour.free.fr/e-0720.GIF
watching GRC,SLV,LUX,LTU,JAP,AUS,BHS,URU,CHN
===============================================
2020/07/21
China,11+0+6,7Xinjiang ; Korea,20 (71 new quarantines) ; Germany,522,4,R=1.15,1.13
FL,30,18 ; TX,23,16 ; CA,18,01
Oxford vaccine : 1M doses by Sept.
=============================================
2020/07/22
China,delay(rare)...14+0+22,9Xinjiang  ;  Korea,55  ;  Germany,454,5,R-1.08,1.04 ,
India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37, 38,33,33,38,40,38,36
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60, 41,31,24,58,
  27,35,28,19,24,11,36,32,33,26,31,27 ;
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22, 18,17,15,17,18,18,19,16 ;
USA-deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7, 7,7,4,3,8,8,8,9,7;
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39, 18,32,23,30,38,32,22,26,32 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61, 39,31,56,55,55,56,51 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13 ,
    17,25,28, 21,18,26,22,28,34,30,
FL,26,26 ; TX,28,33 ; CA,24,08 ; AZ,24,48 ; SC,23,34 ; GA,23,25
cases per pop.:FL=52,LA=45,AZ=40,MS=38,AL=38,NV=37,SC=36,GA=34,TX=33,
TN=32,ID=31,AR=23,CA=23,
=========================================
COVID more severe in cold weather !?!
Florida update : http://magictour.free.fr/fl0721.GIF
ecdc-update : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0722.GIF
Actual #Covid19 case count could be 6 to 24 times higher, per CDC study
23% in Delhi with antibodies
========================================
2020/07/23
China,22+3+31,18Xinjiang,1Liaoning ; Korea,60 ; Germany,569,6,R=0.89,1.01
FL=26,27 ; TX=29,47 ; CA=24,08 ; AZ=13,19 ; GA=22,25
only 36 flu-deaths in AUS, was 430 in 2019
==============================================
2020/07/24

China,41+1+43,13Xinjiang,2Liaoning ; Korea,59 ; Germany,815,10,0.93,1.05 ;
US=18,08 ; FL,27,32 ; TX=27,40 ; CA=32,15 ; AZ=16,30 ; GA=28,08

update : Jul24 : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0724.GIF
it still looks as if a 2nd wave could start all over Europe
(except maybe Italy,UK,Sweden)
===============================================
2020/07/25
China,34+1+75,20Xinjiang,9Liaoning ;  !
Korea,+49 ; Germany,781,7,R=1.08,1.16
"sehr beunruhigend, Familienfeiern,Urlaubsrueckkehrer",keine Grossquelle
FL,32,24 ;
Spain says they have a 2nd wave :
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_170_COVID-19.pdf
Belgium's #Covid19 caseload increased by 89% within a week
Trump approval rating : 40.4-55.5
DAX=12842,DOW=26517,Euro=1.164,Bitcoin=8235,Gold=1901,oil=43.7
my COVID-charts Jul25 : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0725.GIF
==========================================
2020/07/26
China,46+2+68,22Xinjiang,12Liaoning ; Korea,Germany,305,0,R=1.24,1.25
===============================================
2020/07/27
China,61+0+44,41Xinjiang,14Liaoning,2Jilin ;
Korea,15 ; Germany,340,0,R=1.22,1.15

India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37, 38,33,33,38,40,38,36
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60, 41,31,24,58,
  27,35,28,19,24,11,36,32,33,26,31,27 ;
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22, 18,17,15,17,18,18,19,16 ;
USA-deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7, 7,7,4,3,8,8,8,9,7;
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39, 18,32,23,30,38,32,22,26,32 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61, 39,31,56,55,55,56,51 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13 ,
    17,25,28, 21,18,26,22,28,34,30,
FL,23,13 ; TX,15,31 ; CA,19,09
===================================
2020/07/28
China,68+0+34,57Xinjiang,6Liaoning,1Beijing ,
Xinjiang:1,16,13,17,7,9,18,13,20,22,41,57, 89,96,112,
Korea,102 (!)   ; Germany,633,4,R=1.28,1.10
Belgium introduces strict #Covid19 rules in bid to prevent new general lockdown -
Europe braces for second wave of #COVID19
my daily update : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0728.GIF
concern about wave2 in Europe, but the charts don't look so bad.
Just a small increase after weeks of almost zero, it might be pushed back or
delayed as in Slovenia,Greece
=========================================
2020/07/29
China,101+0+27,89Xinjiang,8Liaoning,1Beijing ; Korea,62 ; Germany,684,6,R=1.25,1.12
FL,21,31 ; TX,22,29 ; CA,15,03 ; OH,15,11 ; US,13,08 ;
MEX,13,08 ; BRA,10,08 ; IND,33,20 ;
Half of Mumbai’s slum residents have had #coronavirus

=============================================
2020/07/30
China,102+1+21,96Xinjiang,5Liaoning,1Beijing ; Korea,63 ;Germany,delay,902,6,R=1.14,1.13
MEX,14,11 ; BRA,28,18 ; IND,33,23 ; US,14,08
7.1% of Britons have been previously infected
 T-cell response to SARS-CoV-2 can be due to crossreactive ‘common cold’ coronavirus exposure.
big underreporting of deaths in Delhi {and probably whole India ?!}
===========================================
2020/07/31
China,127+1+11,112Xianjiang,11Liaoning ; Korea,51 ;  Germany,delayed again,870,7,1.02,1.17
MEX,19,14 ; BRA,IND,34,23 ; USA,15,10
0724 : US=18,08 ; FL=27,32 ; TX=27,40 ; CA=32,15 ; AZ=16,30 ; GA=28,08
0731 : US=15,10 ; FL=22,40 ; TX=22,14 ; CA=19,23 ; AZ=15,50 ; GA=22,08
7days : US=16,08 ; FL=24,25 ; TX=19,35+ ; CA=20,19 ; AZ=16,25 ; GA=22,13

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #42 on: August 24, 2020, 08:28:02 am »
=================================================
2020/08/01
China,45+0+23,31Xinjiang,8Liaoning --- so few today ?!
Korea,50 ; Germany,+955=209653,7,R=1.06,1.19
USA=16,09 ; FL=20,39 ; TX=21,47 ; CA=21,22
Germany, total and except hot-spot-regions : http://magictour.free.fr/rkiwee4.GIF
====================================================
2020/08/02
China,49+0+20,30Xinjinag,3Liaoning ; Korea,26 ; Germany,240,-7,R=1.13,1.20
Russia preparing mass vaccination against #coronavirus for October -
========================================================
2020/08/03
China,43+3+11,28Xinjiang,8Liaoning ; Korea,21  ; Germany,509,7,R=1.11,1.09
Xinjiang:1,16,13,17,7,9,18,13,20,22,41,57, 89,96,112,31,30,28,28,22,27
==========================================================
2020/08/04
China,36+1+21,28Xinjiang,2Liaoning ; Korea,72 ; Germany,879,8,R=1.09,1.00
========================================================
2020/08/05
China,27+0+24,22Xinjiang ; Korea,54 ; Germany,741,12,R=1.02,0.99
========================================================
2020/08/06
China,37+0+20,27Xinjiang,3Liaoning ; Korea,95 ; Germany,1045,7,R-0.90,0.86
India,28,22 ; Brazil,19,12 ; USA,11,09
=========================================================
2020/08/07
China,37+2+14,26Xinjiang,1Beijing ; Korea,42 ; Germany,1147,8,R=0.99,1.06
India,29,23 ; Brazil,20,15 ; USA,
====================================================
2020/08/08
China,31+5+14,25Xinjiang ; Korea,86  ; Germany,1122,12,R=1.16,1.16
India,32,22 ; Brazil,20,15 ; Mexico,15,16 ; Indonesia,21,13
----------------------
https://covid19-projections.com/us-fl estimates 21% of Florida had COVID
(or 10% ? @trvrb )
worldometer gives 369 deaths per million population for Florida, 22% of what NY has
with an estimated 14% infected
----------------------------
2.73% =53/1938 seropositive of "probably not exposed"
-------------------------------------
=========================================================
2020/08/09
China,23+0+11,15Xinjiang ; Korea,13 ; Germany,555,1,R=1.32,1.23
ECDC-subnational regions :

https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/subnational-14-day-notification-rate-covid-19

from Aug02 : https://cnecovid.isciii.es/covid19/resources/datos_provincias.csv
Spain,daily, 19 regions, daily , last from 0802

420 Euro-regions,weekly,last from 0806 (I should chart these 420 each Thursday)
EU-Gesundheitsministerin Kyriakides hofft, dass in sechs Monaten ein #Corona-Impfstoff zur Verfügung steht.
=============================================================
2020/08/10
China,49+1+31,13Xinjiang ; Korea,16 ; Germany,436,1,R=1.26,1.17
India,31,20 ; Brazil,08,06 ; Mexico,09,06 ; Indonesia,15,11
=======================================================
2020/08/11
China,44+2+17,13Xinjiang ; Korea,71 ; Germany,965,4,R=1.09,1.05
7% to 9% of the total U.S. population has been infected
Russia approves vacccine
======================================================
2020/08/12
China,25+1+20  ; Korea,+57   ; Germany,1226,6,R=0.97,1.04
India,29,23 ;
==================================================
2020/08/13
China,19+1+20,8Xinjiang ; Korea,13 ; Germany,1445,4,R=0.88,1.04
Das RKI rechnet nicht damit, dass ein Impfstoff bereits im Herbst 2020 zur Verfügung stehen wird“:
6% in UK had COVID, 12% in London
=====================================================
2020/08/14
China,30+2+28,8Xinjiang ; Korea,85  ; Germany,1449,14,R=0.91,1.06
India,29,20 ; Brazil,18,11 ; Mexico,15,11 ; USA,11,10 ;
European-regions weekly COVID-charts : http://magictour.free.fr/ecdcw32.GIF
==========================================================
2020/08/15
China,22+1+20,7Xinjiang,1Guangdong ; Korea,156 ; Germany,1415,6,R=1.08,1.14
=================================================================
2020/08/16
China,19+1+16,4Xinjiang ; Korea,267 ! {the last days I got the wong numbers} Germany,625,0,R=1.29,1.23
India,26,21 ; Brazil,13,07 ; Mexico,12,11 ; Spain,23,01

daily new COVID-19 cases in South Korea, Mar01-Aug16
Code: [Select]
1062,600,516,438,518,483,367,
248,131,242,114,110,107,076,
074,084,093,152,087,147,098,
064,076,100,104,091,146,105,
078,125,101,089,086,094,081,
47,47,53,39,27,30,32,
25,27,27,22,22,18,08,
13,09,11,08,06,10,10,
10,14,09,04,09,06,13,
08,03,02,04,12,18,34,
35,27,26,29,27,19,13,
15,13,32,12,20,23,25,
16,19,40,79,58,39,27,
35,38,49,39,39,51,57,
38,38,50,45,56,48,34,
36,34,43,59,49,67,48,
17,46,51,28,39,51,62,
42,43,50,54,63,63,61,
46,44,63,49,45,35,44,
62,33,39,61,60,39,34,
26,45,63,59,41,113,58,
25,28,48,18,36,31,30,
23,34,33,43,20,43,36,
28,34,54,56,103,166,
==============================================================
2020/08/17
China,22+2+37 , 0 local cases ! ; Korea,188  Germany,561,1,R=1.21,1.13
Italy closes Discos , AeroNabs , https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.08.08.238469v1
Denmark: Face Masks Required On All Public Transit
==============================================================
2020/08/18
China,24+0+17 , 0 local cases ; Korea,235 ; Germany,1390,4,R=1.11,1.04
India,22,19 ; Indonesia,15,13 ; Bangladesh,09,10 ; Mexico,07,05
==============================================================
2020/08/19
China,17+0+14 ; Korea,283 ; Germany,1510,6,R=1.06,1.05
India,21,17 ; USA,07,03
===============================================================
2020/08/20
China,7+2+22 ; Korea,276 ; Germany,1707,10,R=1.03,1.08
India,24,21 ;
Code: [Select]
weekly infction rates per population
-----------------------------------
Spain------,167-320-536-814-1004,1308w
France-----,113-127-171-224-304-432w
Netherlands,051-086-129-225-379-460w
Germany----,060-066-087-111-140-179w
Poland-----,107-115-143-194-239-256w
Croatia----,007-029-128-222-258-282-269-220-200-377w
=============================================
2020/08/21
China,22+0+23 ; Korea,315 ; Germany,1427,5, R=1.04,1.14
 raccoon dogs are susceptible to #SARSCoV2, but have little symptoms
Thus, they come into consideration as intermediate hosts
USA,County-data : only level4 NPIs are effective (stay-at-home-orders - like)
====================================================
2020/08/22
China,22+1+34 ; Korea,334 ; Germany,2034,7,R=1.02,1.12
====================================================
2020/08/23
China,12+2+15 ; Korea,387 ; Germany,782+2,R=1.13,1.16
=====================================================
2020/08/24
China,16+1+27 ; Korea,258 ; Germany,711,3,R=1.08,1.07

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #43 on: September 21, 2020, 05:24:30 am »
====================================================
2020/08/24
China,16+1+27 ; Korea,258 ; Germany,711,3,R=1.08,1.07
===================================================
2020/08/25
China,14+0+16 ; Korea,264   ; Germany,1278,5,R=0.98,0.97
COVID-charts, Aug25 :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0825.GIF
NL,BEL, (GBR,LUX,EST,LVA,FIN,HUN,DEU )
to bend the 2nd wave ?
peakedin KEN,MEX,KAZ,PAN,CUB
==============================================
2020/08/26
China,15+0+14 ; Korea,307 ; Germany,1576,3,R=0.90,0.92
=============================================
2020/08/27
China,8+1+19 ; Korea,434 ; Germany,1507,5,R-0.85,0.93
Korea,Aug16,12676,1616,164,6882,325,193,148,37,45,1437, 57,64,172,18,18,1375,114,11
Korea,Aug26,15936,3006,233,6931,559,288,213,49,54,2387,156,87,256,57,82,1408,151,19
==================================================
2020/08/28
China,9+2+16 ; Korea,359 ; Germany,1571,3,R=0.83,0.94
RKI expects vaccine until early 2021, but not for the whole population
>6111 new cases in France, masks obligatory in whole Paris now
===================================================
2020/08/29
China,9+0+10 ; Korea,308 ; Germany,1479,1,R=0.94,1.01 ; France=267077 ; Spain=439286
Spain 10000, France 7400, Hungary closes borders for vacationers
Daegu and Gyeongbuk are spared in this "wave". Just as NYC, Lombardy
(but not Paris,Madrid)
Spain: https://www.rtve.es/noticias/coronavirus-graficos-mapas-datos-covid-19-espana-mundo/
President Macron rules out new general lockdown in France. August 20, 2020.
Macron said a second national lockdown could not be ruled out if infections spiralled
out of control , August 28
Kekulé fordert Einsatz von Corona-Schnelltests in Deutschland
 bis zum nächsten Sommer flächendeckend Impfstoffe anbieten
 Malu Dreyer: Keine Panik, Infektionen unter Kontrolle
# how that reminds me to all the other countries who could not contain it
# Czech : "no 2nd wave" , then Greece,Croatia,Austria,Hungary and now _very_
# much in Spain,France
=======================================================
2020/08/30
China,9+0+4 ; Korea,283 ; Germany,785,6,R=1.04,1.01, Spain=, France=272530+5453
=======================================================
2020/08/31
China,17+0+19;Korea,238;Germany,610,3,R=1.04,0.95;Spain=;France=277943+5413{weekend}
cumulative American infections ~14.3%
========================================================
2020/09/01
China,10+0+34  ; Korea,222 ; Germany,1218,4,R=0.94,0.88 ;
Spain=462858+23572(including weekend);France=281025+3082
 31-08-2020 15:29 Spanish Health minister rules out another nationwide lockdown
seroprevalence in Mumbay : 58% in slums, 17% in nonslums
=========================================================
2020/09/02
China,8+0+19 ; Korea,253 ; Germany,1256,11,R=0.84,0.89 ;
France=286007+4982 ; Spain=470973+8115 ; I+975 ; UK+1295 ; B+637,NL+2009
 humoral response did not decline within 4 months after infection in Iceland
===========================================================
2020/09/03
China,11+0+12 ; Korea,188
Germany,1311,8,R=0.80,0.91,weekly positiverate=79,61,59,65,79,98,100,97,85,74
FRA+7017,25;SPA+8581,42;ITA+2301,GBR+1508,BEL+445,NLD+2732,POL+595
Aragon,274,31,5
=========================================================
2020/09/04
China,25+0+26 ; Korea,189 ;Europe, 38749,511
Germany,1432,7,R=0.77,0.91
FRA,+7157,20;Spain,+8959,40;ITA,1397,10;GBR,1735;BEL,+424,1;NLD,601,POL,612,14
Aragon,229,31,14
===========================================================
2020/09/05
China,10+0+8 ; Korea,158 ; Europe,30728,282
DEU,1378,2 ; Spain,10476,184;ITA,1732,11;GBR,1940,23;
FRA+8075,18 ; BEL,633,1 ; NLD,744,2 ; POL,691,8
Aragon,1952,bing  Aragon,354,11.3%,399 transparencia ; Aragon,241,36,5 datafile
Madrid,71223+79,42325,8416+0  136901+1462,8728 rtve
=============================================================
2020/09/06
China,10+2+17 ; Korea,152 ; Europe,28743,356
DEU,988,1 ; SPA,ITA,1694,16 ; GBR,1813,12 ;
FRA,+8550,;BEL,630,2 ; NLD,654,0 ; POL,567,13
Aragon,
Madrid,
France,daily positives and tests by department,agegroup, May15-Sep03
https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/406c6a23-e283-4300-9484-54e78c8ae675
France,in hospital with COVID,Mar18-Sep05,by agegroup,department:
https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/donnees-hospitalieres-relatives-a-lepidemie-de-covid-19/
https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/donnees-relatives-aux-resultats-des-tests-virologiques-covid-19/
https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/taux-dincidence-de-lepidemie-de-covid-19/
==========================================================
2020/09/07
China,13+0+17 ; Korea,108 ; Europe,53445,269
DEU,814,0 ; SPA,ITA,1296,8 ; GBR,2988,2 ;
FRA,+7071,;BEL,1281,7 ; NLD,1579,6 ; POL,437,7
@IHME_UW "Deaths {in USA} could be reduced by 30% with masks but mask-wearing is declining"
=========================================================
2020/09/08
China,10+0+13 ; Korea, ; Europe,34940,399
DEU,1499,4,R=1.12,0.95; SPA,26560,98 {3days,weekend}; ITA,1150,11 ; GBR,2948,3
FRA,4203,25 ; BEL,542,1 ; NLD,797,? ; POL,302,4
================================================================
2020/09/09
China,2+5+8 ; Korea,144 ; Europe,39032,472
DEU,1176,9,R=1.10,0.98; SPA,8964,78 ; FRA,6544,38 ; BEL,402,2;NLD,964,1;POL,400,12
Spain will have 3M doses of vaccine in December, says health-minister
================================================================
2020/09/10
China,7+0+15; Korea,141 ; Europe,38642,266  Russia is missing
DEU,1892,3; SPA,8866,34; FRA,8577,30; BEL,372,3; ITA,1430,14; GBR,2659,8; NLD,1140,2; POL,421,11; HUN,887,4; CZE,1159,3;HRV,291,2;AUT,567,1; ROM,BUL,122,10,Europe,5099,122
Europe,weekly cases:170133,199025,220390,251958
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0909.GIF
http://magictour.free.fr/continen.GIF
seems that it's worse in winter, Europe vs. Australia >3 times more deaths. Vitamin D ?
===============================================================
2020/09/11
China,15+0+22; Korea,136 ; Europe,50227,595  Russia,Ukraine reporting unusually many deaths
DEU,1484,1; SPA,10764,61; FRA,9843,19; BEL,550,5; ITA,3027,24; GBR,2919,14; NLD,823,3
POL,506,17; HUN,718,1; CZE,1377,4; HRV,190,3; AUT,799,2; ROM,1380,47; BUL,163,4
Good news: virtual elimination of a flu season in the southern hemisphere for 2020
60% of hospitalised Covid get neuro-symptoms
Social Distancing, even outdoors reduced risk by 90%
Trump approval-rating : 531-427 worst was 561-405 on July01 best was 497-458 on Apr01
DAX=13196,DOW=27647,Euro=1184,Bitcoin=8683,gold=1944,oil=3965
Israel lockdown
============================================================
2020/09/12
China,6+1+8; Korea,118
DEU,1630,5;SPA,12183,48;FRA,9406,80; BEL,877,?; ITA,1616,180;GBR,3539,6;NLD,1270,3
ISR,5515,22;POL,594,10;HUN,CZE,1447,7;CRO,AUT,947,2;ROM,1391,35;BUL,163,4;GRE,372,4
CDC-study, bars/cafes/restaurants are risky
Trump and his appointees edited out CDC’s COVID danger warnings {in MMWR-weekly}
because they “conflicted with the presidents more optimistic message”
=============================================================
2020/09/13
China,10+0+70 ; Korea,99
DEU,948+2;SPA,FRA,10561,17;BEL,969,2;ITA,1601,?; GBR,3497,9;NLD,1231,1
ISR,4158,13;HUN,1634,3;CZE,1541,3; AUT,397,4;Romania,1311,27
Oxford vaccine trial is back on. Details of the suspected adverse event will
 not be disclosed for confidentiality reasons but independent scrutiny has
 concluded it’s safe
Österreichs Bundeskanzler Kurz sieht Österreich am Beginn der zweiten Corona-Welle.
==========================================================
2020/09/14
China,10+3+39; Korea,98
DEU,921,1:SPA,FRA,7183,6; BEL,1918.6; ITA,1456,7;GBR,3330,5; NLD,1087,1
ISR,4071,18;HUN,484,4;CZE,787,3; AUT,440,2;ROM,1109,36
Indien erwägt Notfallgenehmigung für Impfstoff
====================================================
2020/09/15,Tue
China,8+0+9; Korea,91
DEU,1407,12; SPA,27404,101;FRA,6158,34;BEL,977,2; ITA,1008,14;GBR,2621,9;NLD,1300,2
ISR,4764,17;HUN,844,5;CZE,1034,9; AUT,752,1;ROM,692,22;UKR,2462,33;POL,377,15
IND,81911,1054;IDN,3141,118;BRA,19089,454
BR24 ticker : https://www.br.de/nachrichten/deutschland-welt/coronavirus-ticker-alle-news-vom-14-bis-20-september,SATqWOz/
peak in France's positive0rate age 0-39 ; >40 still up
====================================================
2020/09/16,Wed
China,12+0+16; Korea,105
DEU,1901,6; SPA,9437,156; FRA,7852,49; BEL,851,2; ITA,1229,9; GBR,3103,27; NLD,1379,2
ISR,4034,11; HUN,726,4; CZE,1674,11; AUT,772,?; ROM,1111,51; UKR,2905,53; POL,605,24
DAX=13212,DOW=28000,EUR=1.185,bitcoin=9069,gold=1953,oil=40.6
Wien,(pop=1.9M),400,0 ;
pop. in M : Vienna=1.9,CZE=10.7,HUN=9.7,ROM=19.2,ISR=8.7,UKR=43.7,SPA=46.8,BEL=11.6,
NLD=17.2,DEU=82.3,FRA=65.3,GBR=68.0,ITA=60.4,AUT=9.0,
Vienna=1.9,Aragon=1.3,Madrid=6.5,Cataluna=7.5
NYC lockdown reduced spread by 70%
BNT-chair says, that Germany can expect multiple vaccines & full vaccine coverage by mid-2021
=====================================================
2020/09/17,Thu
DEU,2194,3; SPA,11193,239; FRA,9784,46; BEL,489,3; ITA,1452,12; GBR,3991,20; NLD,1542,2
ISR,6063,18; HUN,581,8; CZE,2136,6 ; AUT,858,1; ROM,1713,49; UKR,2958,76; POL,600,10
Vienna,320,0;Aragon,298,;Madrid,3438,137,2,30
Spaetfolgen in 50% of severe patients
German vaccine approvement not before early 2021
===========================================================
2020/09/18
DEU,1916,7;SPA,11291,162; FRA,10593,50; BEL,1153,5; ITA,1583,13; GBR,3395,21; NLD,1763,6
ISR,8461,17; HUN,710,9; CZE,3123,7; AUT,824,0; ROM,1679,27; UKR,3584,244; POL,837,16
Wien,366,0;Aragon,330,8;Madrid,3841,?,?,15
==========================================================
2020/09/19
DEU,2297,6;SPA,14389,90; FRA,13215,154; BEL,2028,1; ITA,1907,10; GBR,4322,27; NLD,1974,7
ISR,3815,27; HUN,1651,15; CZE,2107,6; AUT,967,5; ROM,1527,48; UKR,3228,-;POL,757,17
Wien,340,2; Aragon,98,7; Madrid,5086,101,6,29
850000 in Madrid confined to their borroughs
==============================================================
2020/09/20,Sun
DEU,1345,2; SPA,FRA,13498,25; BEL,3701,2; ITA,3544,34; GBR,4422,27; NLD,1974,7
ISR,6916,35; HUN,809,6; CZE,2057,5; AUT,641,2; ROM,1333,42; UKR,3240,?; POL,1002,12
Wien,431,0;
Aragon,pr=10.6%(12.9,14.4,16.7,10.7,10.5,10.2,11.0,10.6;max was _20.0 early Aug
peak in Austria ??? http://magictour.free.fr/aut9a.GIF
3*? = very speculative,uncertain, but worth to watch.
Remember, they were also early to peak in wave1
==========================================================
2020/09/21,Mon
DEU,922,0;SPA-,-;FRA,11569,311; BEL,2772,8; ITA,3224,39; GBR,3899,18; NLD,1844,4
ISR,5916,41; HUN,1070,8; CZE,1596,3; AUT,561,1; ROM,1231,33; UKR,2966,41; POL,910,11
Wien,321,3; Aragon,pr=10.4;Madrid,2256,16
http://magictour.free.fr/fr0920.GIF
Vojtech withdraws


gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #44 on: October 18, 2020, 05:47:40 am »
========
2020/09/22
DEU,1821,10;ESP,31428,168; FRA,4209,?; BEL,2646,11;ITA,2937,32;GBR,4368,11;NLD,5948,8
ISR,4300,30;HUN,876,3;CZE,1190,19;AUT,632,1;ROM,808,23;UKR,2675,26;POL,748,5
Wien,205,1,4.16%, Aragon,pr=10.3; Madrid,11991*,24*
 past exposure to dengue may provide some immunity against COVID-19
=====================================================
2020/09/23,Wed
DEU,1769,13;ESP,10799,241;FRA,10008,78;BEL,1097,2;ITA,1391,14;GBR,4926,37;NLD,2245,10
ISR,2445,12; HUN,633,8;CZE,1566,9;AUT,662,4;ROM,1059,45;UKR,2884,59;POL,711,18
Wien,305,3,6.0,Aragon,pr=10.9,Madrid,3652,106
ehw38a.GIF, wo31c.GIF
in week 38, cases were increasing in 80 from 120 reporting Countries with >5M population  (it was 48 from 119 in week 37)
=============================================================
2020/09/24,Thu
DEU,2143,19;ESP,11289,778,130;FRA,13072,649,43;BEL,2931,7;ITA,1640,20;GBR,6178,37;NLD,4602,15
ISR,12306,42;HUN,951,8;CZE,3827,25;AUT,848,6;ROM,1767,47,UKR,3497,63;POL,974,28
Wien,pr=6.1;Aragon,pr=7.9;madrid,3730,147,4,32
According to a preprint, Tokyo reached 46% AB-Seroprevalence
to myself : I should update mobility charts
Austria : https://www.data.gv.at/covid-19/
https://osf.io/mpwjq/files/   https://osf.io/43ucn/download
Trump announced today he will overrule FDA in the vaccine if he disagrees with them
southern hemisphere skipped flu season in 2020
Euromomo week 38 : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo38.PNG
===================================================
2020/09/25,Fri
DEU,2153,15;ESP,10653,84;FRA,16096,613,53,BEL,1661,4;ITA,1786,23;GBR,6634,40;NLD,
ISR,7425,53;HUN,750,7;CZE,2910,12;AUT,686,6;ROM,1639,41;UKR,3372,52;POL,1136,25
Wien - delay;Aragon,8.33;Madrid,4350,64,2,29,
Cidrap :Falling COVID-19 viral loads may explain lower rates of ICU use, deaths
IHME predicts 378321 US-COVID-deaths by Jan01, they assume seasonality
in deaths from COVID
to myself : examine Belgium's lack of elderly infections in wave 2
create the out10.csv charts
mobility charts created (national only), mobility is generally high again,
no concern to travel in wave 2,
  no clear connection of waves and mobility pattern
Spanish government recommends locking down all of Madrid
=================================================
2020/09/26.Sat
DEU,2507,92,9;ESP,12272,840,114;FRA,15797,661,56(150);ITA,1912,20;
GBR,6873,34;BEL,1881,6;NLD,5321,32;POL,1587,23;CZE,1653,11;AUT,769,3;
ROM,1629,42;UKR,3565,70;HUN,927,9;ISR,3168,27
Wien,5.4;Aragon,861;Madrid,2941,183,10,23
===============================================
2020/09/27,Sun
DEU,1411,80,5;ESP,,;FRA,14412,475,39;ITA,1869,17;GBR,6041,35
BEL,2208,4;NLD,2713,38;POL,1584,32;CZE,3267,13;AUT,618,1;
ROM,1552,54;UKR,3833,6;HUN,950,12;ISR,11827,36;ARG,11249,335
Wien,Aragon,861;Madrid,4350,64,2,29
doctors threaten to go on strike in Spain, too much work
scientists go on strike in Belgium, politicians should not hide behind scientists
but give their own interviews (or such)
======================================
2020/09/28,Mon
DEU,1192,52,3;FRA,11123,229,27;ITA,1766,17;UK,5692,17;BEL,1827,5;NLD,2995,8
CZE,718,10;USA,37149,421
ISR,3926,25;ARG,8841,206
Vienna,11.3;Aragon,9.2;Madrid,2941,183,10,23
Vienna, weekly positive-rate from 6.02 down to 5.71  !
hospitalizations were increasing by 20%, though
with a total of 244 deaths so far in a city of 1.9M
Aragon's wave2 started early, they had a double-peak and it's also
declining now : 450 deaths in wave 2 so far. (930 in wave 1) pop.=1.3M
RKI-review of NPIs :https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Projekte_RKI/impact-control-measures-oecd.pdf?__blob=publicationFile
few elderly cases in wave 2 in Austria and Belgium : http://magictour.free.fr/aged1.GIF
====================================
2020/09/29,Tue
DEU,2089,41,11;SPA,31785,1297,179;FRA,4070,589,81;ITA,1494,16;UK,4044,13
ISR,2239,41;ARG,11807,364
Wien,6.6;Aragon,12.9;Madrid,13449,224,9,33(3d) {h-weekly:671,704,460,855}
DAX=12862,DOW=27564,Euro=1.167,bitcoin=9156,gold=1880,oil=42.85,VIX=31
============================================
2020/09/30,Wed
GER,1798,70,17; SPA,9906,900,203; FRA,8051,638,85; ITA,1647,24; UK,7143,71
ISR,3661,21 holiday; ARG,13477,406
Wien,4.5; Aragon,8.8; Madrid,18.3; Spain,10.9;Israel,15.0
=============================================
2020/10/01,Thu
GER,2503,89,12; SPA,11016,815,177; FRA,12845,617,63; ITA,1850,19; UK,7108,71
ISR,8568,41; ARG,14392,418
Wien,6.1; Aragon,8.8; Madrid,18.7;Spain,11.9;
Madrid quarantined (now as it goes down in Madrid : daily PR=
21.6,19.3,20.9,24.4,24.9,22.9,21.9, 22.2,21.7,23.2,20.9,21.9,19.5,18.3,18.7)
After months of debate, NL issues 'urgent advice' for masks in public spaces -
German chancellor : 19200 daily German cases by Xmas
=============================================
2020/10/02,Fri
GER,2673,121,8;SPA,9414,829,88,182; FRA,13970,603,63;ITA,2548,24;UK,6914,69
ISR,7996,53;ARG,14001,3351 ?!? (20288 total deaths)
Wien,Aragon,8.7; Madrid,18.0;Spain,09.3
R0 below 1 in France : https://covidtracker.fr/covidtracker-france/
Trump has COVID
DAX=12593,DOW=27373,Euro=1.1727,Gold=1906,oil=39.5,VIX=33.5
----------------------------------------------
recategorization of 3050 deaths from the Province of Buenos Aires
Argentina quarantine Mar20-Oct11
====================================================
2020/10/03,Sat
GER,2563,66,19;SPA,11325,762,59,113;FRA,12148,678,136,ITA,2499,23;UK,6968,66
ISR,7030,11;ARG,14687,311
Wien,9.6; Aragon,10.9,Madrid,18.4,Spain,9.5,DOW=27691
===========================================
2020/10/04,Sun,typically reduced weekend numbers
DEU,2279,78,2;SPA,FRA,16972,498,43;ITA,2843,27;UK,12871(sep24-Oct01),324,49
ISR,2577,25;ARG,11129,196
Wien,Aragon,10.9
==============================================
2020/10/05,Mon,typically reduced weekend numbers
GER,1382,42,5; FRA,12565,402,32; ITA,2668,18; UK,22961,422,33;
BEL,3389,7; NLD,AUT,716,4
ISR,1964,28; ARG,7868,223
Wien,10.6;Aragon,10.2 ; DAX=12739
Wien gives no weekly summary this time, is it because cases are going up again ?
6.02,5.71,5.92
NBC/WSJ poll finds Biden up 27 (!) among SENIORS.
bets are 61% for Biden :
https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/the-betting-markets-are-showing-a-big-biden-win-but-awaiting-an-update-20201005
==================================================
2020/10/06,Tue
GER,2639,30,12;SPA,23480,1080,139;FRA,12565,698,32;ITA,2257,16; UK,35554*,422,52
ISR,4564,59;ARG,7668,223
Wien,6.5;Aragon,12.5,Madrid,17.6,Spain,10.0
DOW=28135,Biden=67%(oddschecker.com)Trump recovered
UK-casecounts are messy currently. Better take hospitalizations.
They redouble in 14 days (as in France).
Currently 3000 people in hospital, max was 20000 in April (France,5000,30000)
Currently  3550 weekly admitted to hospital, max was  22000 in April  (France,4200,24000)
------
SARS2, survives on human skin for 9 hours
===================================================
2020/10/07,Wed
GER,2828,93,16; SPA,11078.883.141; FRA,10489,783,66; ITA,2677,28; UK,14538,496,76
ISR,4717,40; ARG,14740,359
Wien,6.9; Aragon,11.2;Madrid,18.9;Spain,10.6 (positive rates)
DOW=27798,Biden=67%
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/
Brussels closes all bars,cafes,restaurants
================================================
2020/10/08,Thu
GER,4058,121,16; SPA,10491,634,76; FRA,18746,765,80; ITA,3678,31; UK,14162,508,70
ISR,4455,27; ARG,16447,399;
Wien,7.4,Aragon,11.4,Madrid,21.3,Spain,10.8
DOW=28316,Biden=64.3
、野生动物病毒库、
======================================
2020/10/09,Fri
GER,4516,111,11;SPA,12423,988,126; FRA,18129,685,76;ITA,4458,22;UK,17540,609,77
ISR,3224,40; ARG,16447,399
Wien,9.8,Aragon,13.3,Madrid,14.9,Spain,9.4
DOW=28429,Biden=64.5
==========================================
2020/10/10,Sat
GER,4721,127,15;SPA,12788,913,261;FRA,20339,820,109; ITA,5372,28;UK,13864,87
ISR,2522,22; ARG,15099,515
Wien,8.5,Aragon,13.0;Madrid,15.8;Spain,9.8
DOW=28585,Biden=64.4
Van Kerkhove : mortality rate is down because of health systems,
"we are doing better" ... treating patients
{but hospitalisations are also down)
======================================\
2020/10/11,Sun
GER,3483,109,11;SPA;FRA,26896,665,101;ITA,5724,29;UK,15165,684,81
ISR,2017,55;ARG,12414,356;NLD,6499,23;BEL,5385,25;DNK,489
Wien,7.5--weekly:5.71,5.92,7.85;Aragon,14.3
heading towards 1 confirmed daily case ber 1000 population and
"herd immunity" with 10%-20% infected everywhere.
I would be surprised if NE-USA were spared
China,Korea - maybe. India,Brazil,Mexico may get another wave in Feb
Mortality and hospitalisations are low currently, they don't know why.
Will it rise again in late winter as we saw in March ?
Canada-study : masks reduce infections "up to" 30%
Low zinc levels at admission = poor outcomes
8 from 233 positives were  hospitalized =3.4%..,
43% of positives had symptoms after 30d, 24% after 90d
14% of very mild cases had symptoms after 30d
===========================================
2020/10/12,Mon
GER,2467,70,6;SPA,FRA,16101,482(t8231),46;ITA,5456,26;UK,12872,641(t3837),65
ISR,694,56;ARG,10324,135(t28298)287;DNK,927,2
Wien,10.8; Aragon,16.1; Argentina,72.5; Biden=67.6; Dow,28630
===================================================
2020/10/13,Tue
GER,4122,33,13;SPA,27856,1466,195;FRA,8505,962,141;ITA,4619,39;UK,13972,651,50
Israel,3538,41;Argentina,9524,318;
BEL,5327,16;NLD,6845,12;CZE,5001,69;HUN,1173,14;POL,4494,45;DNK,684,6
Biden=66.8,Dow=28835
Wien,2.8(whom did they test),Aragon,15.3,Spain,12.0,Madrid,18.6
------------------------------------
pop. in M : Vienna=1.9,CZE=10.7,HUN=9.7,ROM=19.2,ISR=8.7,UKR=4 3.7,SPA=46.8,BEL=11.6,
NLD=17.2,DEU=82.3,FRA=65.3,GBR=68.0,ITA=60.4,AUT=9 .0,
Vienna=1.9,Aragon=1.3,Madrid=6.5,Cataluna=7.5
ISR=8.6,ARG=45.3,POL=37.8,DNK,5.8
---------------------------------
estimated cost of COVID in US: $16T
=============================================
2020/10/14,Wed
GER,5132,102,43;SPA,7118,358,80;FRA,12993,1139,163;ITA,5898,41;UK,17232,655,143
ISR,2621,34;ARG,13305,386
BEL,3622,20;NLD,7378,35;CZE,6321,52;CHE,1445,7;DNK,489,3
Wien,7.3,Aragon,18.4,Spain,11.0,Madrid,18.4
Dow=28690,Biden=66.0,US-CDS=15.5
--------------------------
Spain deaths are plateauing at 120/day
with Madrid lockdown while Aragon gets its 3rd wave
after Catalunya stayed stable at moderate level for 11(!) weeks,
they got an 50% increase now last week
--------------------------
Latest positive rates in Europe:
UKR,17.2,POL,12.3,SPA,10.0,FRA,7.5,ITA,6.3,UK,5.9,RUS,2.8,GER,1.4
NL, bars restaurants closed no alcohol >20:00 , 3 private guests per day,
buses trains only if really necessary. Mask-rules (so far they had none).
-------------------------------
deaths in France are not increasing the last weeks ?! (but hospitalisations and
hospital deaths are increasing weekly: 190,356,351,384,503)
================================================
2020/10/15,Thu
GER,6638,128,33; SPA,11970,991,189; FRA,22591,1116,95,ITA,7332,43; UK,19724,680,137
ISR,1848,43,ARG,DNK,492,1; CZE,9543,66;NLD,7287,32;ROM,4016,66;BEL,8271,34
Wien,8.7,Aragon,13.2,Spain,11.8,Madrid,14.9
Dow=28240,Biden=65.5,US-CDS=16.1
Czech builds emergency field hospitals
===========================================
2020/10/16,Fri
GER,7334,136,24;SPA,13318,1052,140;FRA,30621,-,88;ITA,8803,83;UK,18978,792,138
ISR,1002,11;DNK,490,2;CZE,9720,58;NLD,7791,29;BEL,10448,49;ROM,4013,73
Dow=28494,Biden=65.1,gold=1913,US-CDS=16.0,USA national debt=$24T
Wien,4.9%,Aragon,17.1,Madrid,15.0,Spain,12.5
Argentina,pop=45.3M , @BNODesk , 2h ago (02:30 UTC)
cases=949063(+17096),hosp.=28987(+180),
ICU=4278(+38),deaths=25342(+421),pr=61.8%;
Belgium,pop=11.6M,10448,1949+172,327+14,49,pr=12.7
NLD,pop=19.2M,7997,1553+27,345+32,18
Health workers in France go on strike
===============================================
2020/10/17,Sat
GER,7830,111,33;SPA,15186,838,222;FRA,25086,1202,178;ITA,10009,55;UK,15635,844,136
ISR,2394,32 lockdown continued;ARG,16546,60.4%,368,68,381
CZE,11105,pr=29%,3120+200,551+8,1283+53
DNK,418,0;BEL,10448,49;NLD,7984,16;ROM,4026,75
Dow=28606,Biden=63.5,gold=1906,US-CDS=16.2
Wien,14.7,Aragon,20.1,Spa,11.7,Mad,14.7,Cat,15.6
the 2nd wave peaked in fall already in [DNK,MDA,EST,MNE ? , fill in]
Manaos,66% infected, 0.2% died
==================================================
2020/10/18,Sun
GER,5587,141,10;FRA,32427,964,89;ITA,10925,47;UK,16171,987,150
ISR,874,49;ARG,BEL,10192,32;NLD,8141,28;CZE,14152,80;
ROM,3952,63;CHE,POL,9622,84;
Wien,Aragon,17.0
Dow=28419,Biden=62.3,gold=1903,US-CDS=16.2