Author Topic: updates  (Read 2512 times)

tony

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Re: updates
« on: March 19, 2020, 06:43:46 am »
2020/03/02
https://twitter.com/lookner
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto/archivioComunicatiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true
{ In a few days the new interactive website will replace this spreadsheet }
-------------------------------------
China 80026 2912 7110
SouthKorea 4212 26 34
Italy 1694 34 140
DiamondPrincess 705 6 36
Iran 978 54 175
Japan 256* 6 19
country,confirmed,deaths,severe
Europe:2214,37,170 ;
estimated deaths/confirmed-ratio Europe:4.2%;SKorea=0.9%;ChinaExHubei=1.5%
------------------------
big increase of cases in Italy 1128-->1694
Feb21-Mar01,17,59,73,77,93,78,250,238,240,568
7 cases in SanMarino (population=30000)
China cases are further down : Hubei ex Wuhan : 272-->200 , Wuhan : 1008-->603 ,
in hospital : -->28912-->26901 [39073 1 week ago]; deaths 35-->42 (up)
[106,96,149,68,52,26,41,45,34,42 in the last 10 days]
[32143 under observation, halfed in the last 10 days]
waiting for Korea updates
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was it mainly the contact-tracing or the lockdowns that stopped it in China ?
See th WHO-China-Mission-report about their huge sophisticated
contact tracing with AI and apps and many 5-teams
Neither contact-tracing nor lockdowns are included in the modelings, afaik
-------------------------------------------------
03:22 GMT , still no update from South Korea , unusual.
South Korea should be the first to watch, whether it can be contained as in China
05:30 GMT , S.Korea reports ~476 new cases, but the official update 09:00 is still not out
https://www.cdc.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a30402000000&bid=0030

2020/03/01/~05:00UTC , world ex China : 7155 cases, 108 deaths, 204 serious/critical
2020/03/02/06:11UTC , world ex China=9048,137,291
07:30 , dax=12025(+1.6%),dow=25604(+0.8%),gold=1601, still no korea-data
12048,25631 just 2min later
vdax : https://www.finanzen.net/index/vdax_new/charttool
DAX +2.62% now - https://www.finanzen.net/index/dax-realtime
pandemic canceled

speed is critical :
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/01/speed-is-critical-as-coronavirus-spreads-in-u-s-officials-face-daunting-task-of-tracing-case-contacts/
# you can automate this. Everyone gets a tracking device to either communicate
# by satellite or directly with other people's devices or WLAN-points.
# It all goes to the central Chinese computer who tells the people where (not) to go .
# There will be warnings when you enter risky areas or when you become a risky person yourself.
# Your device also records coughs,temperature, fatigue,heartbeat.
# Hiding your risk-status should be made illegal.
# This might eliminate infectious diseases in some decades.
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Italy gives a permanently updated page, no history , archive.org has some snapshots:
when there were 229,283,374,400,528,888,1694 cases . I saved those to my HD.
OK, I looked at these : I can't see that they concentrate it in Lombardia and that it
decreases elsewhere or even that it increases slower elsewhere.
As we saw it in China with Wuhan.
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DAX=11899,Dow=25603
150 German cases :
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Fallzahlen.html