nCoV_info

2020/04/09
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati


 > period of untracked global transmission between late
 > January to mid-February.”
 > 7 lineages in New York

China,63+17+56 ;  SouthKorea,39   Japan,+351(=4257)    Singapore,+142(=1623) ; Germany+4974
dow=23188
23 daily Italy epi-curves since Mar20 as .bmp available

update : Italy-provinces : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0408.GIF
MI=Milano,BG=Bergamo,BS=Brescia,PV=Pavia,TO=Torino,GE=Genova,VE=Venezia,RM=Roma
NA=Napoli,FI=Firenze,AN=Ancona

11:40-UTC  word-charts updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF

Italy : 46244 tested, 4204 positive ,
positiverate=9.0% (up from 7.4) , Lombardia=14.7(13.2),North=10.1(9.0),South=5.3(3.5)

=============================================
2020/04/10:
China,42+3+47 , SouthKorea,27;  Japan,410 ; Singapore,287 ; Ireland , Germany

http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF

strangely almost all of the European Countries with many cases
had a slight increase again in the last days
USA,ESP,ITA,DEU,FRA,BEL,CHE,NLD,CAN,PRT,AUT,ISR,SWE,IRL,NOR,CZ-
not DNK,SRB,FIN
after the previous decline
so, is it some weather effect ? weekend-effect ? worldwide testing availability effect ?
downtrend in CHN,KOR,AUT,AUS,NOR,NZ,LUX,LVA,TWN,CHE,ITA
----------------------------------
Germany , predicted epi-curve : http://magictour.free.fr/rkiepi4.GIF

Italt 53495 tests, 3951 positive , as good as the day before yesterday, yesterday was worse
increased testing since Wednesday
================================================
2020/04/11

China,46+8+34,99+49+12,
South Korea,30,32,
Japan,212,233,303,219,515,252,351,410,680,183(=5530,b6184) ;
Singapore,75,65,120,66,106,262,287,198,191(=2299) 
Ireland,370,345,465,500,1515,839(=8928)
Germany,6082,5936,3677,3834,4003,4974,5323,4133,5122(=117658,b122780)
------------------------------------------
WHO-Tedros,Apr10, build a supply-chain (together with UN and world-food-programme)
to cover 30% of world's needs in the acute phase, $280M
------------------------------------------------
report-date - symptom-onset : http://magictour.free.fr/epis1.GIF
---------------------------------------------
I'm almost 1 day behind now with the numbers from ECDC, which come at noon-UTC
-----------------------------------------------
3fold increase of deaths from all causes already in the last available 7 days in 2
French departments, 2.21fold in the 14 (out of 100) hardest hit departments.
1.25 fold (+25%) in entire France
https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
http://magictour.free.fr/f-0410b.GIF
------------------------------------------------------------
Italy : 56609 tests , 4666 positive , 13% increase against yesterday :-(
=================================================
2020/04/12
China,99+49+12 , South Korea , Japan , Singapore , Ireland
updated my 116 world-COVID-charts : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
in Europe  ITA,GBR,NLD,IRL go up again    UK(GBR) did extra-tests on keyworkers on Apr11
Italy , 46720 tests with 4092 positives , positive-rate slightly up to 8.7%, N=10.6%,S=3.5%

==============================================
2020/04/13
China, 108+6+61 (local:7 Heilongjiang,3 Guangdong) , 244 are still in hospital in Hubei
  and 1815 are still under medical observation in Hubei
[I'm giving wiki's daily promille-changes below now]
---edit-well, I'm not happy with that, it depends on the total-no matter how far back
Japan,75,160,69,90,100,140,120,120,93,
changed at wiki to , 100,120,120,120,69,90,120,120,120,120,75,54,60,60
Singapore,49,62,67,100,50,77,96,180,100,91,100,150,110,140
Denmark,82,69,69,80,63,42,32,29,29,23,30,25
Italy-pr,90,74,90,73,82,87,85,110,61,62,53
still going up : TUR,RUS,IND,IRE,(UK?,US?),   NL,BEL , CHL,JPN

Italy, 36717 tests, 3153 positive , pr=8.5,N=9.7,S=4.6 , Lombardy=23.9 !
===============================================
2020/04/14
China,89+3+54 (3 Guangdong) , Korea,27 , Japan,7370(+622,+9.3%) , Singapore,+15%
Tedros :  10 times deadlier than the 2009 flu pandemic.
early case-finding, testing, isolating caring for every case and tracing every contact is essential
 the way down is much slower than the way up.
[# not in all countries , Austria,Australia,New Zealand,Norway,Luxemburg,China,SouthKorea,...]
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
RKI,Germany gives daily R0-estimates since Apr07 :
1.3,1.2,1.1,1.1,1.3,1.1,1.2
dow=23599
article about HongKong,Singapore strategies : https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/04/suppress-and-lift-hong-kong-and-singapore-say-they-have-coronavirus-strategy-works
chart : http://magictour.free.fr/hk-sgp.GIF
Germany Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0413.GIF
Italy - the pdf which I use was not updated today ... it came later
============================================
2020/01/15
China,46 (8 Heilongjiang,2 Guangdong)+11+57 , Korea,27 ; Japan slows down ; Singapore still up
Czech totally down in the last 5 days (masks ?)
Germany unclear, cases are much lower than last week,
but RKI gives R0=1.2. Easter-underreporting ?
USA +4.4% going down, UK +5.9%, still bad
261 new sequences at genbank on Apr13, 52 on Apr14 , 928 in total, 719 from USA,41 from Europe
plus 102 from Germany downloadable from Charite, not at genbank
dow=23724
08:00-UTC-dax=10520,dow=23700,euro=1.093,gold=1707,oil=28.6,VIX=34
Novavax=16,Moderna=31,Inovio=7
-------------------------------
Italy Apr14 is now available. only 26779 tests, still 2972 positive.
The positive rate increases to 11.0% , 12.7% in the North, 6.0% in the South
-------------------------------
ECDC has a big increase today in France,Peru,SRB,MDA,ARM ; decline in Belgium
US-deaths estimate =69000 : https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
-------------------------
Italy, 43715 tests, 2667 positive ; good
positive-rate = 6.1% (11.0% the day before , so maybe they tested different groups now)
===================================
2020/04/16
China,46+3+64 (12 local,5 Guangdong, 4 Heilongjiang,3 Beijing), 1032 asympt. in total currently

44% of infections during the presymptomatic phase
Redfield : we're nearing the peak right now
dow=23374
----------------------------------------
daily podcasts in German
Kekule#25 , WHO shows no leadership
Kekule#24 , doubts there will be vaccine in 18 months
Kekule#20 , praises Austria
https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/podcast/kekule-corona/index.html
Drosten#31 , reinfection unlikely
Drosten#30 , data-app
https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/Coronavirus-Update-Die-Podcast-Folgen-als-Skript,podcastcoronavirus102.html
scripts --> all into one file, translate
08:45, dax=10427,dow=23650

Germany : R0=0.9 , first time that they give it as <1 .
They also have new estimated curves by system-onset
in the German version only, see the chart on page 6 : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/2020-04-15-de.pdf?__blob=publicationFile
116 worldcharts in 1 picturefile updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
France stabilised, probably a data-error yesterday.
It goes down slowly in the major European Countries since weeks. USA,UK are 1-2 weeks behind.
It went down faster in Austria,Czech,Denmark,Australia,NZ,Lux

positive-rates : http://magictour.free.fr/PR-0416.GIF
In Austria it took 5 weeks
Italy, 60999 tests, 3687 positive , unusually much testing
positive-rate: 6.2%,N:7.2%,S:3.0%

euromomo week 15 : http://magictour.free.fr/euromo15.GIF

=============================================
2020/04/17
China,26+3+66~1038  ,local: 5GD,3+2HL,2SD,1LI,0+1IM
world-update : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
1044 sequences at genbank, all full new ones from USA
~3% of Santa Clara County , CA , infected
Italy : 65705 tests (a lot) , 3493 positive  , the positive rate is being updated daily above now
90,74,90,73,82,87,85,110,61,62,53
France, INSEE daily deaths updated  https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
~40% excess deaths on Apr06,after 50% on Mar31 for whole France