nCoV_info

copies of these posts  readable also by non-members are here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ncov-discussion/updates/msg169/#msg169

2020/05/04  [one new post per week now, starting on Monday)
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-daily-covid-deaths-per-million
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
F: https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
US: https://covidtracking.com/api

China,Apr17,27+5+54 ; 7HL,2GD,1SI
China,Apr24,12+3+29 , 1HL,1BJ
China,May01,1+2+20
China,May02,2+0+12, 1SX
China,May03,3+1+13

world , cases+deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0510.GIF
Italy provinces , cases : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0502.GIF
France deaths : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
charts for US-States : http://magictour.free.fr/uss0509.GIF
Germany 412 Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0502.GIF
oxcgrt-index : http://magictour.free.fr/oxc2.GIF
------------------------------------------------
2020/05/04
China,3+1+13;Japan,28,17;SGP,37,73;India,6.6%;Indonesia,3.2%
Russia,8.6%;Mexico,6.0%;Brazil,4.7;Ecuador,7.5%;USA,2.8% 
 [{week before},daily increase in promille]
~10% of workers in Wuhan had antibodies in Apr
Regeneron’s sarilumab
14% on famotidine died , 27% others
19% risk to infect household members in Wuhan
Early detection of superspreaders by mass group pool testing can mitigate COVID-19 pandemic
 top 10% spreaders (100+ higher viral loading than median infector) transmit 45% of new cases.
wastewater viral RNA anticipated declared cases
air-pollution increased COVID-risk in Lombardy
Italy 37621 tests, 1221 positive , 27,26,34,30,32
===================================================
2020/05/05
China,1+0+15, Russia,+7.9%;India,+6.4%;Brazil,+4.0%,USA,+2.3%
French case from Dec27
social distancing policies reduced the spread of COVID19 by 66%
Italy, 55263 tests,1075 positive, 27,26,34,30,32,19
deaths per million population weekly,21,57,84,81,64,60,50,31
======================================================
2020/05/06
China,2+3+20, Russia,+7.0%;India,+9.0%;Brazil,+6.5%,USA,+1.8%
Vitamin D to protect against covid
( mild) enteric symptoms may be marker for severity
09:00-UTC,dax-10712,dow=24023,euro=10526,gold=17000,oil=31.7
Italy, 64263 tests , 1444 positive ,  27,26,34,30,32,19,22
==========================================================
2020/05/07
China,2+2+6, Russia,68;India,57;Brazil,91,USA,19
81-deletion in AZ ASU2923 : https://jvi.asm.org/content/jvi/early/2020/04/30/JVI.00711-20.full.pdf
Italy,70359 tests, 1401 positives , 26,34,30,32,19,22,19
=======================================================
2020/05/08
China,1+3+16,Jilin; Russia,68(11);India,72(1),Brazil,79(43);USA,21(232);Indonesia,28(3)
{% increase and (deaths per million) - from wikipedia - I think they should show curves
of daily new cases instead of these bars and cumulative curves}
IHME deaths predictions:
Apr17,USA=68841,UK=66314,S=04182,I=20333,F=15058,D=7080,B=4291,Ire=0527,NY=13307
Apr22,USA=67641,UK=31929,S=10584,I=26867,F=23304,D=6124,B=8128,Ire=1030,NY=24000
Apr29,USA=72860,UK=31476,S=15625,I=27544,F=24918,D=6946,B=7708,Ire=1404,NY=24314
May06,USA=134475,UK=40555,S=10196,I=31458,F=28859,D=8543,B=9464,Ire=1698,NY=32132
in theory Brazil has timeseries for COVID and social distancing in many cities,
but I couldn't find it
smoking reduces COVID
spreaders-->environment ; "sit and wait" strategy  https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.04.20090092v1.full.pdf
Italy, 63775 tests,1327 positive ,34,30,32,19,22,19,20 (N:25,S:
================================================
2020/05/09
China,1+2+15,Jilin; Russia,60(11);India,64(1),Brazil,44(43);USA,21(232);Indonesia,26(3)
Italy,69171 tests, 1083 postive , 34,30,32,19,22,19,20,15 (N:18,S:7)
===================================================
2020/05/10
China,14+1+20,11Jilin,1Hubei; South Korea,10840(5)
Russia,58(13);India,59(2),Brazil,73(50);USA,22(242);Indonesia,41(4)
France,mar10-may05,tests,positives *3sex*6age [much more female tests ?!?]
https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/r/b4ea7b4b-b7d1-4885-a099-71852291ff20
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timing of measures and case-trends do not match well. (~10 days delay in average)
dozends of papers calculating the "effect" of measures, ignoring this mismatch.
Would it have gone down without measures anyway ? (People more careful when the wave starts)
Germany: 05-14 increases first . 15-59 are "driving" the wave, males first . Clear delay in 80+
http://magictour.free.fr/de-ageb.GIF
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study on 30euro-countries for 7 IHME-defined measures
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.01.20088260v1.full.pdf
lookdown,closing business = useless
school closure, no mass-gathering = works
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Italy, 51678 tests, 802 positive , 34,30,32,19,22,19,20,15,15