2020/06/29
China,12+4+6,7Beijing ; Korea,41 ; Germany,262,4,R=0.71,0.71
India,39 ; Brazil,30 ; Mexico,19 ; TX,37 ; AZ,55 ; FL,64 ; Pakistan,21 ; Russia,11
ALB,31;AZE,35;BGR,25;BUH,--;CRO,26;ROM,11;UKR,28; POL,06;ISR,27;GRC,05;SLN,07
MDA,19;ARM,31;MKD,30;HUN,01;CYP,--;TUR,07;SRB,18; K OS,38;CZE,#306 !! ;SLK,#14
Czech,#40,47,51,118,126,42,50,63,89,127,93,168,260,305
Slovakia,#1,3,3,4,0,9,0,14,11,0,0,0,18,23,13,14
picture :
http://magictour.free.fr/cz-0628.GIFno 2nd wave, they say. Miners tested.
post-peak in Florida ?
http://magictour.free.fr/us-fl.GIF=================================================
2020/06/30
China,19+1+4,7Beijing,1Shanghai ; Korea,43 ; Germany,498,12,R=0.74,0.63
India,34;Brazil,23;Mexico,18;TX=29,FL=37,AZ=09,OK=18,AR=22,SC=40,CA= {looks good}
CZE,09,16,24,27 ; AZE,35;UKR,16;BGR,25;ISR,29;Turkey,07;Croatia,13
========================================
2020/07/01
China,3+2+3,3Beijing ; Korea,76 ; Germany,466,12,R=0.83,0.67
India,Brazil,MEX=25,
CZE,?;SLK,01;AZE,35;BGR,33;ISR,33;UKR,16;CRO,19
DAX=12367,DOW=25833,Euro=1.123,Gold=1780,Bitcoin=8161,Oil=41.4,VIX=31.4
cases per milion in June , 10 US-States with no SHO since May01 : 3300
cases per million in June , 11 US-States with SHO until at least May28 : 2100
(only States with population > 2.5M )
approval-rating : 40.5-56.4 (was 45-50 end-Mar)
Czech-cluster = mining , Austria-cluster = religion , Croatia,Slovenia,Serbia = "wave ?"
Moldova = post-peak
http://magictour.free.fr/eu--1.GIF=====================================
2020/07/02
China,3+0+2,1Beijing ; Korea,54 ; Germany,503,12,R=0.86,0.79
FL,43;CA,29;TX,46;WA,18 ;
==========================================
2020/07/03
China,5+1+4,2Beijing ; Korea, ; Germany,R=0.83,0.83
India,33 ; Brazil,37 ; Mexico,28 ; Texas,47
SVN,08
-------------------
USA :
http://magictour.free.fr/us-.GIF http://magictour.free.fr/uss0702c.GIFsometimes an increase followed ~10 days after reopening, OH,PA
but it's not conclusive, e.g. MO,... A wave in a neighbor-State seems to be
a bigger risk than reopening
I'm looking for a computer-readable-list, what State/County/City
had what measures at what time
Or better : charts of State/County cases where the dates of measures are marked with symbols
We should know by now what measures work and how well.
------------------------------------------
Germany,Czech,Austria : the wave coming from SE is strangely being ignored.
In the media, in the internet discussion. RKI gives a map here
https://www.rki.de/SharedDocs/Bilder/InfAZ/neuartiges_Coronavirus/Karte_Europa.jpg?__blob=poster&v=61most Balkan-countries and Russia,Ukraine are left out.
Their limit is 50 cases per 100000 population per week, but this ignores the
dynamic and the time-lag. Only HUN,GRC so far could stop the wave. Which now
starts in SVN
---
The same phenomenon was seen in USA where the 2nd wave started 2-5 weeks ago
but was ignored by neighbor-States. E.g. NY introduced travel restrictions
just some days ago
---------------------------------------
actual case-estimates :
https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en/worldStudy: Many in US distanced before states mandated it
# why then did all the earlier studies found a big impact of lockdown
in USA ? Did they ignore the pre-lockdown distancing ?
# how did these mobility charts look after re-opening ?
https://rt.live/us/NYhttps://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/national/united-states/Young Americans are spreading the virus fast
=================================================
2020/07/04
China,3+2+4,1Beijing ; Korea,63 ; Germany,422,7, R=0.85,0.86
Slovenia,53,13,40,07,07,85,46,39,71,90,57,25,95,81,130
Hungary,01 ; Greece,05 ; Switzerland,04 ; Austria,06
https://covidly.com/deaths in USA are still not going up, strange
===================================================
2020/07/05
China,8+1+7,6Beijing ; Korea,61 ; Germany,239,2,R=0.93,0.94
Ind,38 ; Bra,25 ; Mex,28 ; TX,45 ; FL,64 ; CA,26 ; AZ,29 ; SC,45
239 experts from 32 countries : COVID is airborne
deaths/cases are down a lot since Apr19 worlwide:
http://magictour.free.fr/wowo2.GIF===========================================================
2020/07/06
China,4+0+11,1Beijing ; Korea,48 ; Germany,219,4,R=0.96(4d),0.94(7d)
India,38 ; Brazil,18 ; AZE,35 ; Mex=19 ; TX=18 ; FL=53 ; CA,26 ; OH,17 ; US,18
Slovenia,#2,6,1,1,13,7,6,11,14,9,4,15,13,20
Steiermark,#4,1,3,1,9,0,11,8,7,0 ;
Austria,#63,40,113,78,103,114,123,74
Germany,#
301,214,350,318,555,258,348
247,192,378,345,580,770,601,
687,537,503,587,630,477,687,
256,262,498,466,503,446,422,
239,219,390,397,
Switz,#35,22,161,128,95,114,26,1,
Czech,#42,50,63,89,127,93,168,260,305,202,149,92,132,141,121,75,51
USA,CFR-charts :
http://magictour.free.fr/us0705.GIFUS-deaths are increasing in VA,SC,TN,AL,FL,AR,TX,AZ
CDC-mobility :
https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index.html#mobilityEurope :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0706.GIF======================================================
2020/07/07
China,8+2+15 ; Korea,44 ; USA, c21,18,15;d52,23,18 ; Germany,390,8, R=0.97,0.89
India,35 ; Brazil,13 ; Mexico,19 ; Croatia,19,29,33,29,18,22
===============================================
2020/07/08
China,7+0+6 ; Korea,63 ; Germany, 397,12, R=0.81,0.84,(from SRB=116 , out=4.2%)
India,32 ; Brazil,28 ; Mexico,24 ; TX,50 ; AZ,36 ; FL,36 ; CA,
=============================================
China,9+0+6 ; Korea,50 ; Germany, 442,12,R=0.70,0.83
TX,47,36 (daily increase of cases and deaths in 0/00) ; FL,48,12 ; CA,42,18 ;
AZ,33,19 ; SC,36,45 ; OH,22,07 ; PA,09,04 ; IL,04,05 ; NY,01,00 ; Mex,26,24
India,32 ; Pakistan,13 ; Brazil,27 ; Greece,05 ; Slovenia,13 ; Australia,15 ; Victoria,#67,124,164,118 , 156,288
India 2nd day at +3.2%, it used to be 3.6%-3.8% , so post-peak now ?
It peaked 3 weeks ago in Pakistan , in Bangladesh 1 week ago
Birx says U.S. underestimated community spread among young people
Fauci says , it's a false narrative to take comfort in a lower rate of death
France rules out another 'total lockdown' -
==========================================
2020/07/10
China,4+3+3 ; Korea,45 ; Germany,395,6,R=0.66,0.86
USA,19,07 ; India,34 ; Croatia,27 ; Slovenia,07 ; Czech,10 ; Slovakia,10 ; Australia,19
hmm, what's happening in Sweden ? Cases are down.
http://magictour.free.fr/eu-sw.GIFhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Sweden816,490,433,274,57
---------------------------------
uhh, unknown pneumonia in Kazakhstan, much worse than COVID, many cases
https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/kazakhstan-covid-19/836487-kazakhstan-coronavirus-covid-19-53-021-cases-264-deaths%C2%A0/page3#post876526Kazakhstan says : "fake news"
https://anti-corona.kz/kz#data--------------------------------------
=======================================
2020/07/11
China,2+0+4 ; Korea,35 ; Germany, 378,6, R=0.80,0.90
GRC,05 ; KAZ,31 ; SWE,09 ;
----------------------------------
Daily ICU admissions and in-hospital deaths in Paris negatively correlated to ambient
temperatures, with a time lag. 8 days for admissions and 15 days for deaths.
=====================================================
3030/07/12
China,7+0+5 ; Korea,44 ; Germany,248,3,R-0.93,0.93 ; SWE,02
-------below numbers are updated daily------------------
India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37,38,33
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60,41,31,24,58,27,35,28,19 ;
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22,18,17,15 ; deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7,7,7,4,3
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39,18,32,23 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61,39 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13,17,25,28
-------------------------
FL,60,17 ; TX,43,33 ; CA,26,14 ; AZ,26,33 ; SC,43,24 ; GA,29,10 ;
==========================================
2020/07/13
China,8+0+6 ; Korea,26 ; Germany,159,1,R=1.04.0.91 , US,19,04
FL,
http://magictour.free.fr/fl0712.GIFUS-COVID-death-predictions :
208255 by Nov01 ,
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america222100 by Nov01 ,
https://covid19-projections.com/68% in NY-Queens with antibodies ?
============================================
2020/07/14
China,3+0+5 ; Korea,33 ; Germany,412,4,R=1.00,0.83
USA,18,02 [weekend?] , India, Brazil,25,22,13,11
measures-rating :
https://github.com/amel-github/covid19-interventionmeasures====================================================
2020/07/15
China,6+0+3 ; Korea,33 ; Germany,351,3,R=1.06,0.91
FL,33,31 ; TX,41,27 ; CA,22,07 ; AZ,34,41 ; SC,38,24 ; GA,28,09 ; OH,17,02 ; Mex,23,24
===================================================
2020/07/16
China,1+0+2 [!] ; Korea,61 ; Germany,534,7,R=1.02,0.95 ; USA,19,06
0.1% of transmission occurs 7d, 1% 5d, 9% 3d prior to symptom onset...”
my COVID-charts update :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0716.GIF=======================================
2020/07/17
China,10+1+5,1Xinjiang ; Korea,60 ; Germany,583,4,R=1.10,1.07 ; USA,
==========================================
2020/07/18
China,22+1+14,16Xinjiang ; Korea,39 ; Germany,529,1,R=1.25,1.20 ; USA,22,7 see above(07/12)
Iran estimates it had 25M infections
==================================================
2020/07/19
China,16+1+42,13Xinjiang ; Korea,34 ; Germany,202,1,R=1.42,1.34 ;
HongKong +6.1% !
Fauci on TWiV, hundredth of millions doses in the first quarter of 2021
> worldwide evidence of low infection rates for smokers.
todays small (weekend) update :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0719.GIF---------------------------------
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/MT729367partial 221bp sequence from Mexico-Michoacan, Jan.02 (?!?) ; T15297C,T15300A (both new)
-------------------------------------------------
==========================================
2020/07/20
China,22+1+13,17Xinjiang ; Korea,16? (new format) ; Germany,249,2,R=1.25,1.22 ; USA,17,4
WHO-Chefforscherin: Impfstoff vermutlich Mitte 2021 massenhaft verfügbar
COVID-charts update :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0720.GIFwatching GRC,SLV,LUX,LTU,JAP,AUS,BHS,URU,CHN
===============================================
2020/07/21
China,11+0+6,7Xinjiang ; Korea,20 (71 new quarantines) ; Germany,522,4,R=1.15,1.13
FL,30,18 ; TX,23,16 ; CA,18,01
Oxford vaccine : 1M doses by Sept.
=============================================
2020/07/22
China,delay(rare)...14+0+22,9Xinjiang ; Korea,55 ; Germany,454,5,R-1.08,1.04 ,
India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37, 38,33,33,38,40,38,36
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60, 41,31,24,58,
27,35,28,19,24,11,36,32,33,26,31,27 ;
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22, 18,17,15,17,18,18,19,16 ;
USA-deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7, 7,7,4,3,8,8,8,9,7;
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39, 18,32,23,30,38,32,22,26,32 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61, 39,31,56,55,55,56,51 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13 ,
17,25,28, 21,18,26,22,28,34,30,
FL,26,26 ; TX,28,33 ; CA,24,08 ; AZ,24,48 ; SC,23,34 ; GA,23,25
cases per pop.:FL=52,LA=45,AZ=40,MS=38,AL=38,NV=37,SC=36,GA=34,TX=33,
TN=32,ID=31,AR=23,CA=23,
=========================================
COVID more severe in cold weather !?!
Florida update :
http://magictour.free.fr/fl0721.GIFecdc-update :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0722.GIFActual #Covid19 case count could be 6 to 24 times higher, per CDC study
23% in Delhi with antibodies
========================================
2020/07/23
China,22+3+31,18Xinjiang,1Liaoning ; Korea,60 ; Germany,569,6,R=0.89,1.01
FL=26,27 ; TX=29,47 ; CA=24,08 ; AZ=13,19 ; GA=22,25
only 36 flu-deaths in AUS, was 430 in 2019
==============================================
2020/07/24
China,41+1+43,13Xinjiang,2Liaoning ; Korea,59 ; Germany,815,10,0.93,1.05 ;
US=18,08 ; FL,27,32 ; TX=27,40 ; CA=32,15 ; AZ=16,30 ; GA=28,08
update : Jul24 :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0724.GIFit still looks as if a 2nd wave could start all over Europe
(except maybe Italy,UK,Sweden)
===============================================
2020/07/25
China,34+1+75,20Xinjiang,9Liaoning ; !
Korea,+49 ; Germany,781,7,R=1.08,1.16
"sehr beunruhigend, Familienfeiern,Urlaubsrueckkehrer",keine Grossquelle
FL,32,24 ;
Spain says they have a 2nd wave :
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_170_COVID-19.pdfBelgium's #Covid19 caseload increased by 89% within a week
Trump approval rating : 40.4-55.5
DAX=12842,DOW=26517,Euro=1.164,Bitcoin=8235,Gold=1901,oil=43.7
my COVID-charts Jul25 :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0725.GIF==========================================
2020/07/26
China,46+2+68,22Xinjiang,12Liaoning ; Korea,Germany,305,0,R=1.24,1.25
===============================================
2020/07/27
China,61+0+44,41Xinjiang,14Liaoning,2Jilin ;
Korea,15 ; Germany,340,0,R=1.22,1.15
India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37, 38,33,33,38,40,38,36
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60, 41,31,24,58,
27,35,28,19,24,11,36,32,33,26,31,27 ;
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22, 18,17,15,17,18,18,19,16 ;
USA-deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7, 7,7,4,3,8,8,8,9,7;
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39, 18,32,23,30,38,32,22,26,32 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61, 39,31,56,55,55,56,51 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13 ,
17,25,28, 21,18,26,22,28,34,30,
FL,23,13 ; TX,15,31 ; CA,19,09
===================================
2020/07/28
China,68+0+34,57Xinjiang,6Liaoning,1Beijing ,
Xinjiang:1,16,13,17,7,9,18,13,20,22,41,57, 89,96,112,
Korea,102 (!) ; Germany,633,4,R=1.28,1.10
Belgium introduces strict #Covid19 rules in bid to prevent new general lockdown -
Europe braces for second wave of #COVID19
my daily update :
http://magictour.free.fr/e-0728.GIFconcern about wave2 in Europe, but the charts don't look so bad.
Just a small increase after weeks of almost zero, it might be pushed back or
delayed as in Slovenia,Greece
=========================================
2020/07/29
China,101+0+27,89Xinjiang,8Liaoning,1Beijing ; Korea,62 ; Germany,684,6,R=1.25,1.12
FL,21,31 ; TX,22,29 ; CA,15,03 ; OH,15,11 ; US,13,08 ;
MEX,13,08 ; BRA,10,08 ; IND,33,20 ;
Half of Mumbai’s slum residents have had #coronavirus
=============================================
2020/07/30
China,102+1+21,96Xinjiang,5Liaoning,1Beijing ; Korea,63 ;Germany,delay,902,6,R=1.14,1.13
MEX,14,11 ; BRA,28,18 ; IND,33,23 ; US,14,08
7.1% of Britons have been previously infected
T-cell response to SARS-CoV-2 can be due to crossreactive ‘common cold’ coronavirus exposure.
big underreporting of deaths in Delhi {and probably whole India ?!}
===========================================
2020/07/31
China,127+1+11,112Xianjiang,11Liaoning ; Korea,51 ; Germany,delayed again,870,7,1.02,1.17
MEX,19,14 ; BRA,IND,34,23 ; USA,15,10
0724 : US=18,08 ; FL=27,32 ; TX=27,40 ; CA=32,15 ; AZ=16,30 ; GA=28,08
0731 : US=15,10 ; FL=22,40 ; TX=22,14 ; CA=19,23 ; AZ=15,50 ; GA=22,08
7days : US=16,08 ; FL=24,25 ; TX=19,35+ ; CA=20,19 ; AZ=16,25 ; GA=22,13