https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.24.20027375v1.full.pdfthey estimate 4000-50000 cases in Iran by Feb23 and a start 6 weeks ago , Jan08
they didn't even account for the high death rate and the 15 infected Turks on the repatr. flight
currently (Feb.26,05:50UTC) there are 95 official cases and 15 deaths ,
we saw unofficial reports of many more >50 deaths , @drjehanpur , @hectorolgy , @bnodesk , @lookner
cases in multiple countries about Iran-travelers
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