nCoV_info

========
2020/09/22
DEU,1821,10;ESP,31428,168; FRA,4209,?; BEL,2646,11;ITA,2937,32;GBR,4368,11;NLD,5948,8
ISR,4300,30;HUN,876,3;CZE,1190,19;AUT,632,1;ROM,808,23;UKR,2675,26;POL,748,5
Wien,205,1,4.16%, Aragon,pr=10.3; Madrid,11991*,24*
 past exposure to dengue may provide some immunity against COVID-19
=====================================================
2020/09/23,Wed
DEU,1769,13;ESP,10799,241;FRA,10008,78;BEL,1097,2;ITA,1391,14;GBR,4926,37;NLD,2245,10
ISR,2445,12; HUN,633,8;CZE,1566,9;AUT,662,4;ROM,1059,45;UKR,2884,59;POL,711,18
Wien,305,3,6.0,Aragon,pr=10.9,Madrid,3652,106
ehw38a.GIF, wo31c.GIF
in week 38, cases were increasing in 80 from 120 reporting Countries with >5M population  (it was 48 from 119 in week 37)
=============================================================
2020/09/24,Thu
DEU,2143,19;ESP,11289,778,130;FRA,13072,649,43;BEL,2931,7;ITA,1640,20;GBR,6178,37;NLD,4602,15
ISR,12306,42;HUN,951,8;CZE,3827,25;AUT,848,6;ROM,1767,47,UKR,3497,63;POL,974,28
Wien,pr=6.1;Aragon,pr=7.9;madrid,3730,147,4,32
According to a preprint, Tokyo reached 46% AB-Seroprevalence
to myself : I should update mobility charts
Austria : https://www.data.gv.at/covid-19/
https://osf.io/mpwjq/files/   https://osf.io/43ucn/download
Trump announced today he will overrule FDA in the vaccine if he disagrees with them
southern hemisphere skipped flu season in 2020
Euromomo week 38 : http://magictour.free.fr/eumo38.PNG
===================================================
2020/09/25,Fri
DEU,2153,15;ESP,10653,84;FRA,16096,613,53,BEL,1661,4;ITA,1786,23;GBR,6634,40;NLD,
ISR,7425,53;HUN,750,7;CZE,2910,12;AUT,686,6;ROM,1639,41;UKR,3372,52;POL,1136,25
Wien - delay;Aragon,8.33;Madrid,4350,64,2,29,
Cidrap :Falling COVID-19 viral loads may explain lower rates of ICU use, deaths
IHME predicts 378321 US-COVID-deaths by Jan01, they assume seasonality
in deaths from COVID
to myself : examine Belgium's lack of elderly infections in wave 2
create the out10.csv charts
mobility charts created (national only), mobility is generally high again,
no concern to travel in wave 2,
  no clear connection of waves and mobility pattern
Spanish government recommends locking down all of Madrid
=================================================
2020/09/26.Sat
DEU,2507,92,9;ESP,12272,840,114;FRA,15797,661,56(150);ITA,1912,20;
GBR,6873,34;BEL,1881,6;NLD,5321,32;POL,1587,23;CZE,1653,11;AUT,769,3;
ROM,1629,42;UKR,3565,70;HUN,927,9;ISR,3168,27
Wien,5.4;Aragon,861;Madrid,2941,183,10,23
===============================================
2020/09/27,Sun
DEU,1411,80,5;ESP,,;FRA,14412,475,39;ITA,1869,17;GBR,6041,35
BEL,2208,4;NLD,2713,38;POL,1584,32;CZE,3267,13;AUT,618,1;
ROM,1552,54;UKR,3833,6;HUN,950,12;ISR,11827,36;ARG,11249,335
Wien,Aragon,861;Madrid,4350,64,2,29
doctors threaten to go on strike in Spain, too much work
scientists go on strike in Belgium, politicians should not hide behind scientists
but give their own interviews (or such)
======================================
2020/09/28,Mon
DEU,1192,52,3;FRA,11123,229,27;ITA,1766,17;UK,5692,17;BEL,1827,5;NLD,2995,8
CZE,718,10;USA,37149,421
ISR,3926,25;ARG,8841,206
Vienna,11.3;Aragon,9.2;Madrid,2941,183,10,23
Vienna, weekly positive-rate from 6.02 down to 5.71  !
hospitalizations were increasing by 20%, though
with a total of 244 deaths so far in a city of 1.9M
Aragon's wave2 started early, they had a double-peak and it's also
declining now : 450 deaths in wave 2 so far. (930 in wave 1) pop.=1.3M
RKI-review of NPIs :https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Projekte_RKI/impact-control-measures-oecd.pdf?__blob=publicationFile
few elderly cases in wave 2 in Austria and Belgium : http://magictour.free.fr/aged1.GIF
====================================
2020/09/29,Tue
DEU,2089,41,11;SPA,31785,1297,179;FRA,4070,589,81;ITA,1494,16;UK,4044,13
ISR,2239,41;ARG,11807,364
Wien,6.6;Aragon,12.9;Madrid,13449,224,9,33(3d) {h-weekly:671,704,460,855}
DAX=12862,DOW=27564,Euro=1.167,bitcoin=9156,gold=1880,oil=42.85,VIX=31
============================================
2020/09/30,Wed
GER,1798,70,17; SPA,9906,900,203; FRA,8051,638,85; ITA,1647,24; UK,7143,71
ISR,3661,21 holiday; ARG,13477,406
Wien,4.5; Aragon,8.8; Madrid,18.3; Spain,10.9;Israel,15.0
=============================================
2020/10/01,Thu
GER,2503,89,12; SPA,11016,815,177; FRA,12845,617,63; ITA,1850,19; UK,7108,71
ISR,8568,41; ARG,14392,418
Wien,6.1; Aragon,8.8; Madrid,18.7;Spain,11.9;
Madrid quarantined (now as it goes down in Madrid : daily PR=
21.6,19.3,20.9,24.4,24.9,22.9,21.9, 22.2,21.7,23.2,20.9,21.9,19.5,18.3,18.7)
After months of debate, NL issues 'urgent advice' for masks in public spaces -
German chancellor : 19200 daily German cases by Xmas
=============================================
2020/10/02,Fri
GER,2673,121,8;SPA,9414,829,88,182; FRA,13970,603,63;ITA,2548,24;UK,6914,69
ISR,7996,53;ARG,14001,3351 ?!? (20288 total deaths)
Wien,Aragon,8.7; Madrid,18.0;Spain,09.3
R0 below 1 in France : https://covidtracker.fr/covidtracker-france/
Trump has COVID
DAX=12593,DOW=27373,Euro=1.1727,Gold=1906,oil=39.5,VIX=33.5
----------------------------------------------
recategorization of 3050 deaths from the Province of Buenos Aires
Argentina quarantine Mar20-Oct11
====================================================
2020/10/03,Sat
GER,2563,66,19;SPA,11325,762,59,113;FRA,12148,678,136,ITA,2499,23;UK,6968,66
ISR,7030,11;ARG,14687,311
Wien,9.6; Aragon,10.9,Madrid,18.4,Spain,9.5,DOW=27691
===========================================
2020/10/04,Sun,typically reduced weekend numbers
DEU,2279,78,2;SPA,FRA,16972,498,43;ITA,2843,27;UK,12871(sep24-Oct01),324,49
ISR,2577,25;ARG,11129,196
Wien,Aragon,10.9
==============================================
2020/10/05,Mon,typically reduced weekend numbers
GER,1382,42,5; FRA,12565,402,32; ITA,2668,18; UK,22961,422,33;
BEL,3389,7; NLD,AUT,716,4
ISR,1964,28; ARG,7868,223
Wien,10.6;Aragon,10.2 ; DAX=12739
Wien gives no weekly summary this time, is it because cases are going up again ?
6.02,5.71,5.92
NBC/WSJ poll finds Biden up 27 (!) among SENIORS.
bets are 61% for Biden :
https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/the-betting-markets-are-showing-a-big-biden-win-but-awaiting-an-update-20201005
==================================================
2020/10/06,Tue
GER,2639,30,12;SPA,23480,1080,139;FRA,12565,698,32;ITA,2257,16; UK,35554*,422,52
ISR,4564,59;ARG,7668,223
Wien,6.5;Aragon,12.5,Madrid,17.6,Spain,10.0
DOW=28135,Biden=67%(oddschecker.com)Trump recovered
UK-casecounts are messy currently. Better take hospitalizations.
They redouble in 14 days (as in France).
Currently 3000 people in hospital, max was 20000 in April (France,5000,30000)
Currently  3550 weekly admitted to hospital, max was  22000 in April  (France,4200,24000)
------
SARS2, survives on human skin for 9 hours
===================================================
2020/10/07,Wed
GER,2828,93,16; SPA,11078.883.141; FRA,10489,783,66; ITA,2677,28; UK,14538,496,76
ISR,4717,40; ARG,14740,359
Wien,6.9; Aragon,11.2;Madrid,18.9;Spain,10.6 (positive rates)
DOW=27798,Biden=67%
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/
Brussels closes all bars,cafes,restaurants
================================================
2020/10/08,Thu
GER,4058,121,16; SPA,10491,634,76; FRA,18746,765,80; ITA,3678,31; UK,14162,508,70
ISR,4455,27; ARG,16447,399;
Wien,7.4,Aragon,11.4,Madrid,21.3,Spain,10.8
DOW=28316,Biden=64.3
、野生动物病毒库、
======================================
2020/10/09,Fri
GER,4516,111,11;SPA,12423,988,126; FRA,18129,685,76;ITA,4458,22;UK,17540,609,77
ISR,3224,40; ARG,16447,399
Wien,9.8,Aragon,13.3,Madrid,14.9,Spain,9.4
DOW=28429,Biden=64.5
==========================================
2020/10/10,Sat
GER,4721,127,15;SPA,12788,913,261;FRA,20339,820,109; ITA,5372,28;UK,13864,87
ISR,2522,22; ARG,15099,515
Wien,8.5,Aragon,13.0;Madrid,15.8;Spain,9.8
DOW=28585,Biden=64.4
Van Kerkhove : mortality rate is down because of health systems,
"we are doing better" ... treating patients
{but hospitalisations are also down)
======================================\
2020/10/11,Sun
GER,3483,109,11;SPA;FRA,26896,665,101;ITA,5724,29;UK,15165,684,81
ISR,2017,55;ARG,12414,356;NLD,6499,23;BEL,5385,25;DNK,489
Wien,7.5--weekly:5.71,5.92,7.85;Aragon,14.3
heading towards 1 confirmed daily case ber 1000 population and
"herd immunity" with 10%-20% infected everywhere.
I would be surprised if NE-USA were spared
China,Korea - maybe. India,Brazil,Mexico may get another wave in Feb
Mortality and hospitalisations are low currently, they don't know why.
Will it rise again in late winter as we saw in March ?
Canada-study : masks reduce infections "up to" 30%
Low zinc levels at admission = poor outcomes
8 from 233 positives were  hospitalized =3.4%..,
43% of positives had symptoms after 30d, 24% after 90d
14% of very mild cases had symptoms after 30d
===========================================
2020/10/12,Mon
GER,2467,70,6;SPA,FRA,16101,482(t8231),46;ITA,5456,26;UK,12872,641(t3837),65
ISR,694,56;ARG,10324,135(t28298)287;DNK,927,2
Wien,10.8; Aragon,16.1; Argentina,72.5; Biden=67.6; Dow,28630
===================================================
2020/10/13,Tue
GER,4122,33,13;SPA,27856,1466,195;FRA,8505,962,141;ITA,4619,39;UK,13972,651,50
Israel,3538,41;Argentina,9524,318;
BEL,5327,16;NLD,6845,12;CZE,5001,69;HUN,1173,14;POL,4494,45;DNK,684,6
Biden=66.8,Dow=28835
Wien,2.8(whom did they test),Aragon,15.3,Spain,12.0,Madrid,18.6
------------------------------------
pop. in M : Vienna=1.9,CZE=10.7,HUN=9.7,ROM=19.2,ISR=8.7,UKR=4 3.7,SPA=46.8,BEL=11.6,
NLD=17.2,DEU=82.3,FRA=65.3,GBR=68.0,ITA=60.4,AUT=9 .0,
Vienna=1.9,Aragon=1.3,Madrid=6.5,Cataluna=7.5
ISR=8.6,ARG=45.3,POL=37.8,DNK,5.8
---------------------------------
estimated cost of COVID in US: $16T
=============================================
2020/10/14,Wed
GER,5132,102,43;SPA,7118,358,80;FRA,12993,1139,163;ITA,5898,41;UK,17232,655,143
ISR,2621,34;ARG,13305,386
BEL,3622,20;NLD,7378,35;CZE,6321,52;CHE,1445,7;DNK,489,3
Wien,7.3,Aragon,18.4,Spain,11.0,Madrid,18.4
Dow=28690,Biden=66.0,US-CDS=15.5
--------------------------
Spain deaths are plateauing at 120/day
with Madrid lockdown while Aragon gets its 3rd wave
after Catalunya stayed stable at moderate level for 11(!) weeks,
they got an 50% increase now last week
--------------------------
Latest positive rates in Europe:
UKR,17.2,POL,12.3,SPA,10.0,FRA,7.5,ITA,6.3,UK,5.9,RUS,2.8,GER,1.4
NL, bars restaurants closed no alcohol >20:00 , 3 private guests per day,
buses trains only if really necessary. Mask-rules (so far they had none).
-------------------------------
deaths in France are not increasing the last weeks ?! (but hospitalisations and
hospital deaths are increasing weekly: 190,356,351,384,503)
================================================
2020/10/15,Thu
GER,6638,128,33; SPA,11970,991,189; FRA,22591,1116,95,ITA,7332,43; UK,19724,680,137
ISR,1848,43,ARG,DNK,492,1; CZE,9543,66;NLD,7287,32;ROM,4016,66;BEL,8271,34
Wien,8.7,Aragon,13.2,Spain,11.8,Madrid,14.9
Dow=28240,Biden=65.5,US-CDS=16.1
Czech builds emergency field hospitals
===========================================
2020/10/16,Fri
GER,7334,136,24;SPA,13318,1052,140;FRA,30621,-,88;ITA,8803,83;UK,18978,792,138
ISR,1002,11;DNK,490,2;CZE,9720,58;NLD,7791,29;BEL,10448,49;ROM,4013,73
Dow=28494,Biden=65.1,gold=1913,US-CDS=16.0,USA national debt=$24T
Wien,4.9%,Aragon,17.1,Madrid,15.0,Spain,12.5
Argentina,pop=45.3M , @BNODesk , 2h ago (02:30 UTC)
cases=949063(+17096),hosp.=28987(+180),
ICU=4278(+38),deaths=25342(+421),pr=61.8%;
Belgium,pop=11.6M,10448,1949+172,327+14,49,pr=12.7
NLD,pop=19.2M,7997,1553+27,345+32,18
Health workers in France go on strike
===============================================
2020/10/17,Sat
GER,7830,111,33;SPA,15186,838,222;FRA,25086,1202,178;ITA,10009,55;UK,15635,844,136
ISR,2394,32 lockdown continued;ARG,16546,60.4%,368,68,381
CZE,11105,pr=29%,3120+200,551+8,1283+53
DNK,418,0;BEL,10448,49;NLD,7984,16;ROM,4026,75
Dow=28606,Biden=63.5,gold=1906,US-CDS=16.2
Wien,14.7,Aragon,20.1,Spa,11.7,Mad,14.7,Cat,15.6
the 2nd wave peaked in fall already in [DNK,MDA,EST,MNE ? , fill in]
Manaos,66% infected, 0.2% died
==================================================
2020/10/18,Sun
GER,5587,141,10;FRA,32427,964,89;ITA,10925,47;UK,16171,987,150
ISR,874,49;ARG,BEL,10192,32;NLD,8141,28;CZE,14152,80;
ROM,3952,63;CHE,POL,9622,84;
Wien,Aragon,17.0
Dow=28419,Biden=62.3,gold=1903,US-CDS=16.2

Sep23 , IHME deaths forecast for Jan01 :
USA=378321,CHN=6915,AUS=950,IDN=22346,AUT=4236,BEL=13488,CRO=2878,CZE=8080,
FRA=88528,GER=22664,ITA=67687,RUS=98182,SRB=771,SPA=65921,SWE=9813,UK=93429
BRA=170072,MEX=139894,ISR=7153,CAN=17511,NY=43857,IND=625165,

Sep23,covidtracker deaths forecast for Nov01 :
USA=222951,NY=33425,CAN=9777,AUT=883,BEL=10240,CRO=356,CZE=931,FRA=34991,
GER=9667,ITA=36812,SPA=37969,SWE=5957,UK=43826
AUS=981,BRA=159314,CHN=4790,IND=135730,IDN=14641,ISR=2095,MEX=88524,
RUS=24337,



---------------------
France currently has  31416 total deaths and 50 per day
it currently redoubles every 14 days
31416+75*14+150*14+300*10=37566  by Nov01
===> deaths by Nov01

the old ones that I remember :

fluwiki , until 2007 ?  http://magictour.free.fr/fw
curevents fluclinik , not TBM : https://thisbluemarble.com/
avianflutalk still exists :  https://www.avianflutalk.com/forums.html 
p4p until 2017 : https://web.archive.org/web/20170911192526/http://planforpandemic.com/
pfi until 2019 : https://web.archive.org/web/20190112101534/http://pfiforum.com/viewforum.php?f=1&sid=f37cf989aeb590eaff80c4d8c02bf39b
flutrackers.com  still exists
niman , (sequences) : https://recombinomics.co/
timebomb
city data

monotreme's blog : https://monotreme1000.wordpress.com/2021/03/

my forum panflustats until 2014 (suddenly disappeared without notice) :
https://web.archive.org/web/20140208150908/http://setbb.com//fluwiki2/index.php
https://web.archive.org/web/20131005124637/http://www.setbb.com/fluwiki2/viewforum.php?f=5&sid=26faaad4d8b2d7656d129a2b861e2336&mforum=fluwiki2

https://twitter.com/AliHMokdad/status/1301671920916525056

IHME on Sep04 predicts 410000 deaths for USA until Jan01

covid-projections gives 220300 until Nov01, 16000 per month (-->260000 until Jan01)

2020/06/29
China,12+4+6,7Beijing ; Korea,41 ; Germany,262,4,R=0.71,0.71
India,39 ; Brazil,30 ; Mexico,19 ; TX,37 ; AZ,55 ; FL,64 ; Pakistan,21 ; Russia,11
ALB,31;AZE,35;BGR,25;BUH,--;CRO,26;ROM,11;UKR,28; POL,06;ISR,27;GRC,05;SLN,07
MDA,19;ARM,31;MKD,30;HUN,01;CYP,--;TUR,07;SRB,18; K OS,38;CZE,#306 !! ;SLK,#14
Czech,#40,47,51,118,126,42,50,63,89,127,93,168,260,305
Slovakia,#1,3,3,4,0,9,0,14,11,0,0,0,18,23,13,14
picture : http://magictour.free.fr/cz-0628.GIF
no 2nd wave, they say. Miners tested.
post-peak in Florida ? http://magictour.free.fr/us-fl.GIF
=================================================
2020/06/30
China,19+1+4,7Beijing,1Shanghai ; Korea,43 ; Germany,498,12,R=0.74,0.63
India,34;Brazil,23;Mexico,18;TX=29,FL=37,AZ=09,OK=18,AR=22,SC=40,CA=   {looks good}
CZE,09,16,24,27 ; AZE,35;UKR,16;BGR,25;ISR,29;Turkey,07;Croatia,13
========================================
2020/07/01
China,3+2+3,3Beijing ; Korea,76 ; Germany,466,12,R=0.83,0.67
India,Brazil,MEX=25,
CZE,?;SLK,01;AZE,35;BGR,33;ISR,33;UKR,16;CRO,19
DAX=12367,DOW=25833,Euro=1.123,Gold=1780,Bitcoin=8161,Oil=41.4,VIX=31.4
cases per milion in June , 10 US-States with no SHO since May01 : 3300
cases per million in June , 11 US-States with SHO until at least May28 : 2100
(only States with population > 2.5M )
approval-rating : 40.5-56.4 (was 45-50 end-Mar)
Czech-cluster = mining , Austria-cluster = religion , Croatia,Slovenia,Serbia = "wave ?"
Moldova = post-peak  http://magictour.free.fr/eu--1.GIF
=====================================
2020/07/02
China,3+0+2,1Beijing ; Korea,54 ; Germany,503,12,R=0.86,0.79

FL,43;CA,29;TX,46;WA,18 ;
==========================================
2020/07/03
China,5+1+4,2Beijing ; Korea, ; Germany,R=0.83,0.83
India,33 ; Brazil,37 ; Mexico,28 ; Texas,47
SVN,08
-------------------
USA : http://magictour.free.fr/us-.GIF
http://magictour.free.fr/uss0702c.GIF
sometimes an increase followed ~10 days after reopening, OH,PA
but it's not conclusive, e.g. MO,... A wave in a neighbor-State seems to be
a bigger risk than reopening
I'm looking for a computer-readable-list, what State/County/City
had what measures at what time
Or better : charts of State/County cases where the dates of measures are marked with symbols
We should know by now what measures work and how well.
------------------------------------------
Germany,Czech,Austria : the wave coming from SE is strangely being ignored.
In the media, in the internet discussion. RKI gives a map here
https://www.rki.de/SharedDocs/Bilder/InfAZ/neuartiges_Coronavirus/Karte_Europa.jpg?__blob=poster&v=61
most Balkan-countries and Russia,Ukraine are left out.
Their limit is 50 cases per 100000 population per week, but this ignores the
dynamic and the time-lag. Only HUN,GRC so far could stop the wave. Which now
starts in SVN
---
The same phenomenon was seen in USA where the 2nd wave started 2-5 weeks ago
but was ignored by neighbor-States. E.g. NY introduced travel restrictions
just some days ago
---------------------------------------
actual case-estimates : https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en/world
Study: Many in US distanced before states mandated it
# why then did all the earlier studies found a big impact of lockdown
in USA ? Did they ignore the pre-lockdown distancing ?
# how did these mobility charts look after re-opening ?
https://rt.live/us/NY
https://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/national/united-states/
Young Americans are spreading the virus fast
=================================================
2020/07/04
China,3+2+4,1Beijing ; Korea,63 ; Germany,422,7, R=0.85,0.86
Slovenia,53,13,40,07,07,85,46,39,71,90,57,25,95,81,130
Hungary,01 ; Greece,05 ; Switzerland,04 ; Austria,06
https://covidly.com/
deaths in USA are still not going up, strange
===================================================
2020/07/05
China,8+1+7,6Beijing ; Korea,61 ; Germany,239,2,R=0.93,0.94
Ind,38 ; Bra,25 ; Mex,28 ; TX,45 ; FL,64 ; CA,26 ; AZ,29 ; SC,45
239 experts from 32 countries : COVID is airborne
deaths/cases are down a lot since Apr19 worlwide: http://magictour.free.fr/wowo2.GIF
===========================================================
2020/07/06
China,4+0+11,1Beijing ; Korea,48 ; Germany,219,4,R=0.96(4d),0.94(7d)
India,38 ; Brazil,18 ; AZE,35 ; Mex=19 ; TX=18 ; FL=53 ; CA,26 ; OH,17 ; US,18
Slovenia,#2,6,1,1,13,7,6,11,14,9,4,15,13,20
Steiermark,#4,1,3,1,9,0,11,8,7,0 ;
Austria,#63,40,113,78,103,114,123,74
Germany,#
301,214,350,318,555,258,348
247,192,378,345,580,770,601,
687,537,503,587,630,477,687,
256,262,498,466,503,446,422,
239,219,390,397,
Switz,#35,22,161,128,95,114,26,1,
Czech,#42,50,63,89,127,93,168,260,305,202,149,92,132,141,121,75,51
USA,CFR-charts : http://magictour.free.fr/us0705.GIF
US-deaths are increasing in VA,SC,TN,AL,FL,AR,TX,AZ
CDC-mobility : https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index.html#mobility
Europe : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0706.GIF
======================================================
2020/07/07
China,8+2+15 ; Korea,44 ; USA, c21,18,15;d52,23,18 ; Germany,390,8, R=0.97,0.89
India,35 ; Brazil,13 ; Mexico,19 ; Croatia,19,29,33,29,18,22

===============================================
2020/07/08
China,7+0+6 ; Korea,63 ; Germany, 397,12, R=0.81,0.84,(from SRB=116 , out=4.2%)
India,32 ; Brazil,28 ; Mexico,24 ; TX,50 ; AZ,36 ; FL,36 ; CA,
=============================================
China,9+0+6 ; Korea,50 ; Germany, 442,12,R=0.70,0.83
TX,47,36 (daily increase of cases and deaths in 0/00) ; FL,48,12 ; CA,42,18 ;
AZ,33,19 ; SC,36,45 ; OH,22,07 ; PA,09,04 ; IL,04,05 ; NY,01,00 ; Mex,26,24
India,32 ; Pakistan,13 ; Brazil,27 ; Greece,05 ; Slovenia,13 ; Australia,15 ; Victoria,#67,124,164,118  ,  156,288
India 2nd day at +3.2%, it used to be 3.6%-3.8% , so post-peak now ?
It peaked 3 weeks ago in Pakistan , in Bangladesh 1 week ago
Birx says U.S. underestimated community spread among young people
Fauci says , it's a false narrative to take comfort in a lower rate of death
France rules out another 'total lockdown' -
==========================================
2020/07/10
China,4+3+3 ; Korea,45 ; Germany,395,6,R=0.66,0.86
USA,19,07 ; India,34 ; Croatia,27 ; Slovenia,07 ; Czech,10 ; Slovakia,10 ; Australia,19
hmm, what's happening in Sweden ? Cases are down. http://magictour.free.fr/eu-sw.GIF
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Sweden
816,490,433,274,57

---------------------------------
uhh, unknown pneumonia in Kazakhstan, much worse than COVID, many cases
https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/kazakhstan-covid-19/836487-kazakhstan-coronavirus-covid-19-53-021-cases-264-deaths%C2%A0/page3#post876526
Kazakhstan says : "fake news"
https://anti-corona.kz/kz#data
--------------------------------------
=======================================
2020/07/11
China,2+0+4 ; Korea,35 ; Germany, 378,6, R=0.80,0.90
GRC,05 ; KAZ,31 ; SWE,09 ;
----------------------------------
Daily ICU admissions and in-hospital deaths in Paris negatively correlated to ambient
temperatures, with a time lag. 8 days for admissions and 15 days for deaths. 
=====================================================
3030/07/12
China,7+0+5 ; Korea,44 ; Germany,248,3,R-0.93,0.93 ; SWE,02
-------below numbers are updated daily------------------
India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37,38,33
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60,41,31,24,58,27,35,28,19 ; 
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22,18,17,15 ;  deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7,7,7,4,3
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39,18,32,23 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61,39 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13,17,25,28
-------------------------
FL,60,17 ; TX,43,33 ; CA,26,14 ; AZ,26,33 ; SC,43,24 ; GA,29,10 ;
==========================================
2020/07/13
China,8+0+6 ; Korea,26 ; Germany,159,1,R=1.04.0.91 , US,19,04
FL, http://magictour.free.fr/fl0712.GIF
US-COVID-death-predictions :
208255 by Nov01 , https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
222100 by Nov01 , https://covid19-projections.com/
68% in NY-Queens with antibodies ?
============================================
2020/07/14
China,3+0+5 ; Korea,33 ; Germany,412,4,R=1.00,0.83
USA,18,02 [weekend?] , India,  Brazil,25,22,13,11


measures-rating : https://github.com/amel-github/covid19-interventionmeasures
====================================================
2020/07/15
China,6+0+3 ; Korea,33 ; Germany,351,3,R=1.06,0.91
FL,33,31 ; TX,41,27 ; CA,22,07 ; AZ,34,41 ; SC,38,24 ; GA,28,09 ; OH,17,02 ; Mex,23,24
===================================================
2020/07/16
China,1+0+2 [!] ; Korea,61 ; Germany,534,7,R=1.02,0.95 ; USA,19,06
 0.1% of transmission occurs 7d, 1% 5d, 9% 3d prior to symptom onset...”
my COVID-charts update : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0716.GIF
=======================================
2020/07/17
China,10+1+5,1Xinjiang   ; Korea,60   ;  Germany,583,4,R=1.10,1.07  ; USA,
==========================================
2020/07/18
China,22+1+14,16Xinjiang ; Korea,39 ; Germany,529,1,R=1.25,1.20 ; USA,22,7 see above(07/12)
Iran estimates it had 25M infections
==================================================
2020/07/19
China,16+1+42,13Xinjiang ; Korea,34 ; Germany,202,1,R=1.42,1.34 ;
HongKong +6.1% !
Fauci on TWiV, hundredth of millions doses in the first quarter of 2021
 > worldwide evidence of low infection rates for smokers.
todays small (weekend) update : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0719.GIF
---------------------------------
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/MT729367
partial 221bp sequence from Mexico-Michoacan, Jan.02 (?!?) ; T15297C,T15300A (both new)
-------------------------------------------------
==========================================
2020/07/20
China,22+1+13,17Xinjiang ;  Korea,16? (new format) ; Germany,249,2,R=1.25,1.22 ; USA,17,4
WHO-Chefforscherin: Impfstoff vermutlich Mitte 2021 massenhaft verfügbar
COVID-charts update :http://magictour.free.fr/e-0720.GIF
watching GRC,SLV,LUX,LTU,JAP,AUS,BHS,URU,CHN
===============================================
2020/07/21
China,11+0+6,7Xinjiang ; Korea,20 (71 new quarantines) ; Germany,522,4,R=1.15,1.13
FL,30,18 ; TX,23,16 ; CA,18,01
Oxford vaccine : 1M doses by Sept.
=============================================
2020/07/22
China,delay(rare)...14+0+22,9Xinjiang  ;  Korea,55  ;  Germany,454,5,R-1.08,1.04 ,
India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37, 38,33,33,38,40,38,36
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60, 41,31,24,58,
  27,35,28,19,24,11,36,32,33,26,31,27 ;
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22, 18,17,15,17,18,18,19,16 ;
USA-deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7, 7,7,4,3,8,8,8,9,7;
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39, 18,32,23,30,38,32,22,26,32 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61, 39,31,56,55,55,56,51 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13 ,
    17,25,28, 21,18,26,22,28,34,30,
FL,26,26 ; TX,28,33 ; CA,24,08 ; AZ,24,48 ; SC,23,34 ; GA,23,25
cases per pop.:FL=52,LA=45,AZ=40,MS=38,AL=38,NV=37,SC=36,GA=34,TX=33,
TN=32,ID=31,AR=23,CA=23,
=========================================
COVID more severe in cold weather !?!
Florida update : http://magictour.free.fr/fl0721.GIF
ecdc-update : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0722.GIF
Actual #Covid19 case count could be 6 to 24 times higher, per CDC study
23% in Delhi with antibodies
========================================
2020/07/23
China,22+3+31,18Xinjiang,1Liaoning ; Korea,60 ; Germany,569,6,R=0.89,1.01
FL=26,27 ; TX=29,47 ; CA=24,08 ; AZ=13,19 ; GA=22,25
only 36 flu-deaths in AUS, was 430 in 2019
==============================================
2020/07/24

China,41+1+43,13Xinjiang,2Liaoning ; Korea,59 ; Germany,815,10,0.93,1.05 ;
US=18,08 ; FL,27,32 ; TX=27,40 ; CA=32,15 ; AZ=16,30 ; GA=28,08

update : Jul24 : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0724.GIF
it still looks as if a 2nd wave could start all over Europe
(except maybe Italy,UK,Sweden)
===============================================
2020/07/25
China,34+1+75,20Xinjiang,9Liaoning ;  !
Korea,+49 ; Germany,781,7,R=1.08,1.16
"sehr beunruhigend, Familienfeiern,Urlaubsrueckkehrer",keine Grossquelle
FL,32,24 ;
Spain says they have a 2nd wave :
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_170_COVID-19.pdf
Belgium's #Covid19 caseload increased by 89% within a week
Trump approval rating : 40.4-55.5
DAX=12842,DOW=26517,Euro=1.164,Bitcoin=8235,Gold=1901,oil=43.7
my COVID-charts Jul25 : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0725.GIF
==========================================
2020/07/26
China,46+2+68,22Xinjiang,12Liaoning ; Korea,Germany,305,0,R=1.24,1.25
===============================================
2020/07/27
China,61+0+44,41Xinjiang,14Liaoning,2Jilin ;
Korea,15 ; Germany,340,0,R=1.22,1.15

India,36,32,32,34,35,34,35,34,32,32,35,36,35,37, 38,33,33,38,40,38,36
GRC,#28,25,09,43,27,33,50,60, 41,31,24,58,
  27,35,28,19,24,11,36,32,33,26,31,27 ;
USA,15,16,18,21,19,22,20,19,18,19,19,20,22, 18,17,15,17,18,18,19,16 ;
USA-deaths:2,2,8,7,7,7,6,4,2,6,7,7, 7,7,4,3,8,8,8,9,7;
AUS,16,20,15,19,33,21,26,19,27,24,30,39, 18,32,23,30,38,32,22,26,32 ;
HK,08,13,11,18,32,28,20,27,35,32,12,42,35,37,61, 39,31,56,55,55,56,51 ;
JPN,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,10,10,10,17,20,18,17,16,13 ,
    17,25,28, 21,18,26,22,28,34,30,
FL,23,13 ; TX,15,31 ; CA,19,09
===================================
2020/07/28
China,68+0+34,57Xinjiang,6Liaoning,1Beijing ,
Xinjiang:1,16,13,17,7,9,18,13,20,22,41,57, 89,96,112,
Korea,102 (!)   ; Germany,633,4,R=1.28,1.10
Belgium introduces strict #Covid19 rules in bid to prevent new general lockdown -
Europe braces for second wave of #COVID19
my daily update : http://magictour.free.fr/e-0728.GIF
concern about wave2 in Europe, but the charts don't look so bad.
Just a small increase after weeks of almost zero, it might be pushed back or
delayed as in Slovenia,Greece
=========================================
2020/07/29
China,101+0+27,89Xinjiang,8Liaoning,1Beijing ; Korea,62 ; Germany,684,6,R=1.25,1.12
FL,21,31 ; TX,22,29 ; CA,15,03 ; OH,15,11 ; US,13,08 ;
MEX,13,08 ; BRA,10,08 ; IND,33,20 ;
Half of Mumbai’s slum residents have had #coronavirus

=============================================
2020/07/30
China,102+1+21,96Xinjiang,5Liaoning,1Beijing ; Korea,63 ;Germany,delay,902,6,R=1.14,1.13
MEX,14,11 ; BRA,28,18 ; IND,33,23 ; US,14,08
7.1% of Britons have been previously infected
 T-cell response to SARS-CoV-2 can be due to crossreactive ‘common cold’ coronavirus exposure.
big underreporting of deaths in Delhi {and probably whole India ?!}
===========================================
2020/07/31
China,127+1+11,112Xianjiang,11Liaoning ; Korea,51 ;  Germany,delayed again,870,7,1.02,1.17
MEX,19,14 ; BRA,IND,34,23 ; USA,15,10
0724 : US=18,08 ; FL=27,32 ; TX=27,40 ; CA=32,15 ; AZ=16,30 ; GA=28,08
0731 : US=15,10 ; FL=22,40 ; TX=22,14 ; CA=19,23 ; AZ=15,50 ; GA=22,08
7days : US=16,08 ; FL=24,25 ; TX=19,35+ ; CA=20,19 ; AZ=16,25 ; GA=22,13