Author Topic: updates  (Read 897 times)

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #15 on: March 19, 2020, 08:20:41 am »
2020/03/15
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://virusncov.com/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
https://www.cdc.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a30402000000&bid=0030
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
https://www.cdc.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a20501000000&bid=0015&list_no=366524&act=view
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto/archivioComunicatiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true

Italy,21157,1441,1518,-,1966
Iran,12729,611,-,-,4339
SouthKorea,8086,72,-,36,714
Spain,6391,196,272,-,517
France,4499,91,154,-,12
Germany,4181,8,-,2,46
UnitedStates,2808,57,-,4,9

South Korea , testing goes down now, positiverate stays low , 76 new cases
http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF
Hoboken, New Jersey has instituted a 10pm-5am city-wide curfew

Hubei-Wuha,24,17,6,6,5,4,3 Wuhan,317,259,211,162,50,34,20 China, 59 (goes up !)
China,128,100,55,55,48,41,28,59
going up for the first time since Feb03(?) , not much, not concerning yet
2 in gansu, 4 in Shanghai
------------------------------------
Japan confirms first case of person re-infected
half of Chinese men smoke but only 5% of females do, ==> possible reason for male surmortality
1 mutation per 15days
transmission in buses through air conditioning
In a dramatic escalation of #covid19 response, Austria has completely shut down.
@ASlavitt
Currently experts expect over 1 million deaths in the U.S. since the virus was not
contained & we cannot even test for
Dr. Fauci would prefer a 14-day national shutdown of some sort
Ohio health official estimates 100K people in Ohio (=1%) have it
@UWVirology,2360 people tested , 8% ; Italy ~25% , CZ=5%,PL=5%,UK=7%
-------------------------------------------
Italy positiverate , 14%,19%,21%,22%,30%,23% ; down today !
Lombardy , 24%,36%,37%,35%,42%,49% = up
Emilia Romagna , 25%,18%,22%,27%,30%,22%
Veneto , 16,4,18,9,27,4

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #16 on: March 19, 2020, 08:27:10 am »
2020/03/16
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto/archivioComunicatiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true

Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146


Code: [Select]
Italy,24747,1809,1672,-,2335   7.3%
Iran,13938,724,-,-,4339          5.2%
SouthKorea,8162,75,-,36,834   0.9%
Spain,6391,292,272,-,517        4.6%
France,5423,127,300,-,12        2.3%
Germany,4585,12,-,2,46           0.3%
UnitedStates,3626,63,60,4,9     1.7%

seems that Germany is somehow cheating. They report no serious cases, do no post-mortem tests
(they also report ARI not ILI) need some Pfluesterblaeser
https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/coronavirus-in-europa-letalitaet-in-deutschland-30-mal-niedriger-als-in-italien-wie-ist-das-moeglich/25626678.html
post-mortem deaths should be reported separately


Iran,958,1075,1289,1365,1209

Wuhan,489,391,439,400,376,341,317,259,211,162,50,3 4,20,21
Hubei-Wuhan,123,116,77,54,46,37,24,17,6,6,5,4,3,3
China,343,254,262,282,245,198,128,100,55,55,48,41, 28,59,57

South Korea , cases stay low, http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF
-----------------------------------
CDC recommends the cancellation or postponement of all events with 50 people
or more for the next 8 weeks
------------------------------------
strong measures in Italy,Spain,Belgium,Czech,Denmark,Norway,Austria
{but I haven't seen fever-clinics,isolation,masks,fever-screening,smartphone-tracing as in Asia}
-----------------------------
05:40-UTC,dax=8855,dow=21790,euro=1.11,gold=1529,oil=34. 7,VIX=52
07:30-UTC,dax=8638,dow=21055,euro=1.117,gold=1534,oil=32 .0
------------------------------
Iran , 958,1075,1289,1365,1209,1053 going down !
-------------------------------
12:47,dax=8307,sp500=2570.37

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #17 on: March 19, 2020, 08:31:07 am »
2020/03/17
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto/archivioComunicatiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true

Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
decline of new cases in Italy, but they reduced testing.
I'd say it's stable since 4 days ,147,462,140,186,206,221,299,228,247

-----------------------------------------
Italy,27980,2158,1851,-,2749
Iran,14991,853,-,-,4996
Spain,9940,342,432,-,530
SouthKorea,8236,75,-,36,1137
Germany,7272,14,-,2,60
France,6633,148,300,-,12
UnitedStates,4348,73,60,4,9

dax=8540,dow=20250
----------------------------
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---16-march-2020
WHO: But we have not seen an urgent enough escalation in testing, isolation and contact tracing
not enough to extinguish this pandemic
Test every suspected case.
If they test positive, isolate them and find out who they have been in close contact
with up to 2 days before they developed symptoms, and test those people too.
[NOTE: WHO recommends testing contacts of confirmed cases only if they show
symptoms of COVID-19]
-----------------------------
Hubei-Wuhan=2,Wuhan=2,China=66 , this seems to be slowly increasing
in China-Hubei now --> introductions from outside ?
---------------------------------
Korea updated http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF
yesterdays testing reduction was not continued. Casecounts are stable at low level.
Maybe you have to maintain that level at 1 test per 3000 people per day in an "Island"
like Spouth Korea to ensure that new clusters are found
---------------
06:35,dow=20960 , 0800,dax=9154,sp5=2512.15

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #18 on: March 19, 2020, 08:35:56 am »
2020/03/18
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto/archivioComunicatiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true

Italy,31506,2503,2060,-,2941
Iran,16169,988,-,-,5389
Spain,11826,533,563,-,1028
SouthKorea,8413,84,-,-,1540
Germany,9360,26,-,2,67
France,7730,175,300,-,12
UnitedStates,6329,107,60,4,9
chart : https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ETWb0AkX0AI0-Xh?format=jpg&name=medium

Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
disappointing, still increasing
TOTALE ,{147},462,140,186,206,221,299,228,247,329 daily positive rate
Lombardia,239,358,370,345,420,491,430,544 daily positive rate
-------------------
The "blood type A" thing. It's a preprint.
----------------------
milder mutated strain ZJ01 in Shenjiang ?
----------------------------
South Korea updated : http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF
slightly increasing, but at low level
---------------------------------------
China:13+21=34 (down from 66),Wuhan=1,Hubei=1, in hospital:7336(Hubei),medical observation:3866(Hubei)
--------------------------------------
Chinese measures : https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00741-x
----------------------------------------
https://forum.dantelabs.com/
https://ncov2019.live/
09:11-UTC,dax=8588,sp5=2403.37,euro=109.8,gold=1494,oil= 28.2
09:43,dax=8477,

free book about coronaviruses, from 2015 , 280pages .pdf
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2F978-1-4939-2438-7.pdf
-------------------------------------------
https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/Coronavirus-Update-Die-Podcast-Folgen-als-Skript,podcastcoronavirus102.html

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #19 on: March 19, 2020, 08:39:50 am »
2020/03/19
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto/archivioComunicatiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true

Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
disappointing, still increasing
TOTALE ,{147},462,140,186,206,221,299,228,247,329 daily positive rate
Lombardia,239,358,370,345,420,491,430,544 daily positive rate

Italy,35713,2978,2257,-,4025
Iran,17361,1135,-,-,5710
Spain,14769,638,774,-,1081
Germany,12327,28,-,2,105
France,9134,264,921,-,12
UnitedStates,9021,139,60,4,9
SouthKorea,8565,91,-,-,1947

up in South Korea ! http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF

0 new suspects in Hubei, 0 in Wuhan , 57 in China
China,343,254,262,282,245,198,128,100,55,55,48,41, 28,59,57,66,34,57

04:50-UTC,DAX=8082, again 4.6% down , China A50 = 11610
05:35-UTC,DAX=8140
08:22-UTC,DAX=8578,dow=19922,sp5=2410,euro=108.6,gold=14 82,oil=26.6

@trvrb [telefone-tracking,testing,only recovered people work
Together, I believe these (and other case-based) strategies can bring down the epidemic.
This is the Apollo program of our times. Let's get to it. 19/19
-----------------------------------------------
Phone tracking and similar measures are the reason that Singapore has dealt with covid so successfully.
-------------------------------------------
They found that those with blood type A were more vulnerable to infection and tended
to develop more severe symptoms while those with blood type O had a “significantly lower
risk” of getting the disease.
----------------------------------------

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #20 on: March 20, 2020, 03:40:38 am »
2020/03/20
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.covid.is/data

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true

Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146

twiv592 : http://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-592/

Italy,41035,3405,2498,-,4440
Iran,18407,1284,-,-,5979
Spain,18077,833,939,-,1107
Germany,15320,44,-,2,115
UnitedStates,14145,207,60,4,9
France,10995,372 ,921,-,12
SouthKorea,8652,94,-,-,2233

https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---18-march-2020
WHO,Tedros,Mar18
But there is hope.
Physical distancing measures – like cancelling sporting events, concerts and other large gatherings
countries must isolate, test, treat and trace.
WHO continues to recommend that isolating, testing and treating every suspected case,
and tracing every contact, must be the backbone of the response in every country
But we know that some countries are experiencing intense epidemics with
extensive community transmission.
We understand the effort required to suppress transmission in these situations. But it can be done.
[do it as in South Korea]
WHO continues to recommend that, wherever possible, confirmed mild cases should be
isolated in health facilities
if that’s not possible, countries can use community facilities to isolate and care for mild
cases and refer them for specialized care quickly if needed.
---------------------------------------------
# don't be misled by Tedros' naive,unscientific appearance. They have a team of qualified
# epidemiologists behind him (which I'm starting to doubt for some country's
# governments, where the decisions are political not scientific
# and WHO was right in trusting the Chinese numbers from the beginning, when most
# others doubted the Chinese success well into late Feb.
----------------------------------------------------
Check @LeiferMd 's charts
-------------------------------------
http://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-592/
-----------------------------------------

South Korea's positiverate is down again, no "2nd wave"
http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF

China,39+31=70 , Hubei and Wuhan stays at 0
14 in Guangdong,8 in Shanghai,6 in Beijing
just some few new imported cases , presumably
I don't see a "2nd wave" yet , such headlines are misleading
China,343,254,262,282,245,198,128,100,55,55,48,41, 28,59,57,66,34,57,70

04:40-UTC,dow=19954

covid-19 reports , Imperial College :
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/
now 28 NZ cases, all linked to overseas travel.

current testing volume by Country :
https://twitter.com/UNMC_DrKhan/status/1240849527407546369/photo/1
-----------------------------------------------------
07:06-UTC,dax=8923 (!),dow=20284, euro=1.075 , gold=1498, oil=29.6
“radical increase in the identification and isolation of currently undocumented infections”
UK jumping from 5k tests at day to 250k
-------------------------------------------------------
Iceland, Mar14-Mar18
deCODE-tests,956,1416,855,460,903
deCODE-positive,9,10,4,3,7
NUHI-tests,323,119,291,545,420
NUHI-positive,24,11,8,46,66
deCODE : 0.7% positive , NUHI : 9.1% positive
~1% of the population infected in Europe-Italy and USA ,
and _not_ the 0.02% estimated by experts here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/expert-opinions/march-19-expert-prediction-survey/
or what am I missing ?
------------------------------------------------------------
@AlexanderKekule
Eine bundesweite #Ausgangssperre wäre epidemiologisch unbegründet, wirtschaftlich
desaströs und eine soziale Katastrophe. Es gibt weniger einschneidende, aber genauso
wirksame Mittel.
#waere es nicht nett, den Italienern diese auch mitzuteilen ?
----------------------------------------------------------
https://twitter.com/eggersnsf/status/1240909928631537664/photo/1
https://nextstrain.org/

Code: [Select]
cntry,cases,new-,dead,new,dr---,seri,recov
China,80967,0039,3248,003,4.01%,2314,70420
Italy,47021,5986,4032,627,8.57%,2655,5129
Spain,20410,2333,1041,208,5.10%,1141,1588
Iran-,19644,1237,1433,149,7.29%,----,5979
Germa,16666,1346,0044,000,0.29%,0002,0115
USA--,17635,3483,0220,012,1.25%,0064,0026
Franc,10995,0000,0372,000,3.38%,0921,0012
SKore,08652,0087,0094,003,1.09%,----,2233
TOTAL,251072,4227,10499,329,4.18%,7437,86549
Mar20,11:35-UTC

https://covid19map.tech/
https://www.gov.uk/government/groups/scientific-advisory-group-for-emergencies-sage-coronavirus-covid-19-response
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/20/understanding-what-works-how-some-countries-are-beating-back-the-coronavirus/
: GERMANY REPORTED 4K NEW CASES OF VIRUS IN THE PAST 24HRS
Hong Kong has 48 more confirmed

Italy 5986 new cases, cases are up, but the positive-rate is down.
They increased testing from ~17000 to ~24000
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
« Last Edit: March 21, 2020, 03:32:30 am by tony »

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #21 on: March 21, 2020, 03:38:17 am »
2020/03/21
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.covid.is/data
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true


March 20, 2020 - CTS communication: “No reason to change anti-hypertensive therapy in Covid-19 times

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---20-march-2020

ahh, Tedros. He no longer talks about containment strategies. Given up ?

> solidarity is the key to defeating COVID-19
some days ago it was test,test,test

> greatest concern ... countries with weaker health systems, or with vulnerable populations.
some days ago it was Iran, Italy

> we have the power to change the way this goes.
but how ? The former WHO recommendations don't seem to work. Or are
they being implemented incorrectly ?

> lack of HCW-protective equipment is an area of key concern for us
back from stopping it to mitigating its effects

> try not to read or watch too much news if it makes you anxious.
> Get your information from reliable sources once or twice a day.
that's like ignoring the thread, giving up. Some days ago speed was everything

let's get rid of Tedros, temporarily replace him with Aylward for this wave.
Quickly. Before it's too late.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

South Korea , up again , zigzag , but this time in Daegu and Gyeongbuk, the old hotspots
http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF

Hubei stays at 0 , China 41+36=77
China,343,254,262,282,245,198,128,100,55,55,48,41, 28,59,57,66,34,57,70,77

STAT:At-home tests for coronavirus are here. ~$170 , 30000 tests available on Mar23

Code: [Select]
cntry,cases,new-,dead,new-,de-ra,seri,recov
---------------------------------------------
China,80967,0039,3248,003,4.01%,2314,70420
Italy,47021,5986,4032,627,8.57%,2655,5129
Spain,21571,3494,1093,260,5.07%,1141,1588
Iran-,19644,1237,1433,149,7.29%,----,6745
Germa,19848,4528,0060,016,0.30%,0002,0115
USA--,19671,5519,0252,044,1.28%,0064,0026
Franc,12612,1617,0450,078,3.57%,1297,1587
SKore,08652,0087,0094,003,1.09%,----,2233
TOTAL,277500,30655,11485,1315,4.14%,8002,89711
2020/03/21/03:40-UTC

dow=19036
https://pages.semanticscholar.org/coronavirus-research
[sometimes I'm posting here what I just come across while reading twitter or such]

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #22 on: March 23, 2020, 03:45:05 am »
2020/03/22
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.covid.is/data
-----------------------------------------------------------
South Korea down a bit , stable at low level
-----------------------------------------------------------
China , 46+45=91 , Hubei stays at 0 ,
5013 still in hospital in Hubei , 1771 under medical observation
------------------------------------------------------------

Code: [Select]
China,81054,0046,3261,6,4.02%,1963,72440
Italy,53578,0000,4825,0,9.01%,2857,6072
USA--,26267,0238,0317,9,1.21%,0064,0029
Spain,25496,0000,1381,0,5.42%,1141,2125
Germa,22255,0000,0084,0,0.38%,----,0239
Iran-,20610,0000,1556,0,7.55%,----,7635
Franc,14459,0000,0562,0,3.89%,1297,1587
TOTAL,309682,0546,13156,0015,4.25%,8095,95129
2020/03/22/03:00-UTC

---------------------------------------------
The Italian Prime Minister is giving a snap 11.30pm press conference,
announcing EVERYTHING in the country - including factories - will shut down.
Only things to stay open will be supermarkets, pharmacies and banks.
All other workplaces closed. Also all parks.
-------------------------------------------------
### note, this is in all of Italy. South-Italy has not more COVID than other European countries
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
Italy had increased testing again, so it's not really going up. In Lombardy it seems to be going
down in the last days.
number of daily tests in Lombardy : 2534,3261,4930,9556
It is continuously and exponentially going up in South Italy
despite the lockdown since Mar09
What Italy is still doing differently than China,South Korea is the lack of
isolation facilities, fever-screening, masks in public.
--------------------------------
2nd wave in Asia ?
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2020/03/hong-kong-taiwan-singapore-covid-19.html

Code: [Select]
Japan    ,19,35,29,59,45,33,27,46,67,56,35,79,13,18,45,39,37,09,51,--
Hong Kong,00,04,00,03,02,05,01,05,06,05,06,04,07,09,10,25,16,48,17,44
Singapore,02,02,05,13,08,12,10,06,12,09,13,12,14,17,23,47,32,40,47,--
Taiwan   ,00,02,01,00,00,00,00,02,01,01,01,03,06,08,10,23,08,27,18,16

128 countries chart : http://magictour.free.fr/jodi0322.GIF
---------------------------------
Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
« Last Edit: March 27, 2020, 05:05:06 am by tony »

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #23 on: March 23, 2020, 03:50:28 am »
2020/03/23
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.covid.is/data

China,39+47=86 , Hubei,0 , SouthKorea,64

03:15,dow=18280

reviews : https://twitter.com/SinaiImmunol/status/1241526700741144576
06:00-UTC, dax=8390,dow=18280
07:00-UTC, dax=8526,dow=18529,euro=1.075,
bitcoin=5521,gold=1487,oil=26.14
07:04,dax=8565,VIX=76,Moderna=28(18),Innovio=7.6(3 ),Novavax=10.2(4)


Code: [Select]
China,81054,0000,3261,0000,4.02%,1963,72440
Italy,59138,0000,5476,0000,9.26%,3009,7024
USA--,35397,0044,0461,0001,1.30%,0454,0035
Spain,28768,0000,1772,0000,6.16%,1141,2575
Germa,24873,0021,0094,0000,0.38%,----,0266
Iran-,21638,0000,1685,0000,7.79%,----,7913
Franc,16018,0000,0674,0000,4.21%,----,1746,1587
TOTAL,343543,297,14750,19,4.29%,9424,97630
2020/03/23/07:15-UTC

TOTAL,251072,10499,4.18%,7437,86549
TOTAL,277500,11485,4.14%,8002,89711
TOTAL,309682,13156,4.25%,8095,95129
TOTAL,343543,14750,4.29%,9424,97630
TOTAL,383690,16566,4.32%,10579,100653
[TOTAL,415457,18640,4.49%,11088,105221]
Iran(84M) is stable with 1000 cases and 140 deaths per day since 8 days now
not going up , better than expected
otoh we have Italy(63M) with 800 deaths per day, still increasing

Italy,63927,4789,6077,601,9.51%,3204,7432
still going up, don't be misled by the fewer cases, they reduced testing

Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146

half a million sign petition calling for WHO head’s resignation
« Last Edit: March 27, 2020, 05:05:11 am by tony »

tony

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Re: updates
« Reply #24 on: March 24, 2020, 04:45:39 am »
2020/03/24
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province-20200321.csv
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province-20200321.csv

https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-regioni/dpc-covid19-ita-regioni.csv
https://www.covid.is/data

China, 78+35=113 , 1 new case in Wuhan , South Korea , 76 stays low

Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146


Code: [Select]
Milano   MI,3156694,  8,  0,  7, 14,  1, 16, 12, 35, 52, 52, 70, 94, 45,100, 86,333,221,161,244,199,233,343,318,634,526,868,424,230,
Bergamo  BG,1098740, 18,  2, 52, 31,  7, 99, 34,129, 51,114, 86,138,236,248,227,343,321,232,496,552,344,233,312,340,509,715,347,255,
Brescia  BS,1256025,  0,  2,  8,  3,  1, 35, 11, 26, 41, 28, 27,231, 88,238, 51,561,247,186,338,351,445,382,484,463,401,380,289,588,


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Provinces_of_Italy
http://magictour.free.fr/itap0323.GIF

> in the first fortnight of March, the number of deaths is four times higher than the
> same period of last year”.

half a million sign petition calling for WHO head’s resignation

---------------------------------------------------
WHO-Tedros yesterday again :
To win, we need to attack the virus with aggressive and targeted tactics –
testing every suspected case, isolating and caring for every confirmed case,
and tracing and quarantining every close contact.
We recognize that some countries are struggling with the capacity to carry
out these offensive measures.
## capacity=money ? too expensive to hire and pay all the tracking teams as in China
## I wonder, which country in Europe or which State in USA or province in Canada goes
## for that WHO-strategy
-----------------------------------------
06:43-UTC-dax=9096
07:13-UTC,dax=9177(-33%),dow=19389,gold=1590,euro=1.082,oil=28.3,
VIX=62,MIB=15560 (-39%),ChinaA50 = 12200 (-17% )

Code: [Select]
China,81171,0078,3277,0007,4.04%,1573,73159
Italy,63927,0000,6077,0000,9.51%,3204,7432
USA--,46158,0836,0583,0001,1.26%,0454,0035
Spain,35136,0000,2311,0000,6.58%,2355,3355
Germa,29282,0000,0119,0000,0.41%,----,0453
Iran-,23049,0000,1812,0000,7.86%,----,8376
Franc,19856,0000,0860,0000,4.33%,1746,1587
TOTAL,383690,3583,16566,0058,4.32%,10579,100653

16:40,dax=9530,dow=20340

Italy update : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
« Last Edit: March 27, 2020, 05:05:19 am by tony »

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Re: updates
« Reply #25 on: March 26, 2020, 03:04:44 am »
2020/03/25
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://datastudio.google.com/reporting/91350339-2c97-49b5-92b8-965996530f00/page/RdlHB

https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-regioni/dpc-covid19-ita-regioni.csv
https://www.covid.is/data

2020/03/24/19:30-UTC,dax=9622,dow=20356

Code: [Select]
China,81171,78,3277,7,4.04% ,1573,73159
Italy,69176,5249,6820,0743,9.86%,3396,8326
USA--,51816,6494,0657,0075,1.27%,0454,0035
Spain,39676,4540,2800,0489,7.06%,2636,3794
Germa,32625,3343,0155,0036,0.48%,----,3133
Iran-,24811,1762,1934,0122,7.79%,----,8913
Franc,22302,2446,1100,0240,4.93%,1746,1587
TOTAL,415457,31198,18640,1959,4.49%,11088,105221

China,47+33,
SouthKorea,100
Singapore,2,2,2,5,13,8,12,10,6,12,09,13,12,14,17,2 3,47,32,40,47,23,54,49,73
HongKong,5,1,5,9,2,6,4,7,9,10,25,16,48,17,44,39,20 ,24
???,4,2,5,6,6,15,8,23,7,15,12,8,
Taiwan,1,1,1,3,6,8,10,23,8,27,18,16,26,21
Japan,25,18,8,14,18,19,35,31,54,44,33,28,59,53,56, 34,60,30,15,44,39,29
Japan,official,55,41,64,34,15,44,41,36,57,47,32,42 ,65,114
Vietnam,3,6,4,4,5,10,9,6,3,19,10
Thailand,3,6,11,5,7,32,33,30,35,60,50,89,188,122,1 06
Indonesia,0,2,0,2,13,12,7,0,35,27,21,17,38,55,81,6 1,81,64,65,107
Philippines,1,1,0,0,2,0,1,4,14,9,16,3,12,47,29,2,4 5,15,15,13,77,73,82,90
Australia,8,3,10,7,12,20,15,29,42,50,50,78,77,113, 142,167,196,281,364,430,285,
New Zealand,0,1,2,0,1,0,1,2,0,4,8,8,11,13,14,36,53,50, 78
Denmark,55,172,252,160,128,lockdown,32,39,57,92,91 ,108,112,83,94,70,135,144
-------------------------
0702-UTC,dax=9814,dow=20940,euro=1.082,gold=1617,oil=30 .5
08:00,dax=10014

deathrates : https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/deathscases/msg181/#msg181

list of 73 government responses
https://www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/research/research-projects/oxford-covid-19-government-response-tracker
-------------------------------------------
NOVEL CORONAVIRUS UNLIKELY TO DISAPPEAR IN SUMMER, EU AGENCY FOR DISEASE CONTROL SAYS

Italy update (URL see above) , 16th day after lockdown
almost the same number of cases as yesterday,
but with _lots_ (28%) of more testing ! So the deathrate is down a lot. N and S
,{147},
462,140,186,206,221,299,228,
247,329,249,308,248,248,220,
280,244,189 daily positive rate
« Last Edit: March 27, 2020, 05:05:30 am by tony »

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Re: updates
« Reply #26 on: March 26, 2020, 03:09:21 am »
2020/03/26
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true {currently defect, the last full table I got on Mar22}

Code: [Select]
China,81285,0114,3287,0010,4.04%,1235,74051
Italy,74386,0000,7503,0000,A.09%,3489,9362
USA--,68351,0004,1037,0000,1.52%,0664,0046
Spain,49515,0000,3647,0000,7.37%,3166,5367
Germa,37323,0000,0206,0000,0.55%,----,3133
Iran-,27017,0000,0277,0000,7.69%,----,9625
Franc,25233,0000,1331,0000,5.27%,1746,1587
TOTAL,475350,297,21433,18,4.51%,11717,110508
2020/03/26/06:00-UTC

China,69+58 , South Korea,104 , Japan sum-Mar25=1307

---------------------------------
WHO's 6 key actions :
First, expand, train and deploy your health care and public health workforce;
Second, implement a system to find every suspected case at community level;
Third, ramp up the production, capacity and availability of testing;
Fourth, identify, adapt and equip facilities you will use to treat and isolate patients;
Fifth, develop a clear plan and process to quarantine contacts;
And sixth, refocus the whole of government on suppressing and controlling COVID-19.
--------------
More than 150 countries and territories still have fewer than 100 cases.
By taking the same aggressive actions now, these countries have the chance
to prevent community transmission and avoid some of the more severe social
and economic costs seen in other countries.
### seems to imply that for the other countries it's already too late now
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---25-march-2020

soo exited about the COVID-19 Solidarity Response Fund. which raised $95M
compare that to Trump's $1900B ... 0.005%
----------------------------------------------------
08:03-UTC,dax=9607,dow=20827,oil=29.2
--------------------------------------------------

18:20,dax=9907
« Last Edit: April 02, 2020, 02:43:17 am by tony »

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Re: updates
« Reply #27 on: April 03, 2020, 10:01:35 pm »
copies of these posts  readable also by non-members are here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ncov-discussion/updates/msg169/#msg169

2020/03/27
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9Dbgc/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true  {currently defect, the last full table I got on Mar22}
https://corona.rki.de


China,55+49,53+29,45+28,31+17,48+44,36+26+130,35+2 0+55,31+12+60
SouthKorea,91,146,105,78,125,101,89,86
Denmark,55,172,252,160,128,lockdown,32,39,57,92,91 ,
108,112,83,94,70,135,144,162,176,167,198,191,284,2 51,283
Czech,CZ,0,0,3,0,2,0,3,11,7,6,6,25,31,22,25,48,109 ,lockdown
85,67,110,205,124,158,114,128,185,291,259,373,262, 160,184,307,281,269
Netherlands,155,176,278,292,346,409,534,637,573,54 5,811,852,
1019,1172,1159,1104,884,845,1019,1083,1030
Austria : 430,680,925,684,838,1050,596,541,841,597,508,485
Japan,55,41,64,34,15,44,41,36,57,47,32,42 ,65,98,96,112,194,173, 87,225,206,233
Singapore,2,2,2,5,13,8,12,10,6,12,9,13,12,14,17,23 ,47,32,40,
47,23,54,49,73,52,49,70,42,35,47,74,49
Taiwan,1,1,1,3,6,8,10,23,8,27,18,16,26,20,20,17,15 ,16,15,8,16,7,10
HongKong,5,1,5,9,2,6,4,7,9,10,25,16,48,18,43,40,29 ,24,43,65,64,59,41,32,51,37
Australia,0,8,3,10,7,12,20,15,29,42,50,50,78,77, 113,142,167,196,
281,364,430,285,379,369,460,345,265,311,303,272
New Zealand,1,2,0,4,8,8,11,13,14,36,53,50,78,85,83,63, 75,58,61,89,71
USA,2410,3948,5417,6271,8631,10410,9939,12226,1705 0,
19046,20093,19960,20718,25396,26732,28812
---------------------------------------------------------
dow=22033 , 07:11-UTC,dax=9868
------------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/28
China,53+29 ; SouthKorea,146 , 71 in Daegu , HongKong,65 ; Taiwan,15 ;
Singapore,683 ; Japan,1401
-------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/29
China,45+28 ; SouthKorea,105 (23 in Daegu) ; HongKong,64
dow=21450

Italy, cases down 5974-->5217 , but they reduced testing from 35000 --> 24000 ,
so the positive-rate is up
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146

is it in some provinces of Italy already going down ?
http://magictour.free.fr/ip-03293.GIF
PU,MC,AV,PT,RE,MO
============================================
2020/03/30
China,31+17 ; South Korea,78 ; 胡雪梅 , shanghai law school filed a request to
release Wuhan data
Iceland , ~0.6% of the population infected (down from 1%)

cases go down in several European countries !
Italy is real this time, testing was almost the same as yesterday
Italy cases : 5217-->4050 , tests : 24504-->23329
=================================================
2020/03/31
China,48+44 , SouthKorea,125

it's magically going down yesterday almost everywhere !
See the updated list 38 lines above
dax=9879,dow=22220 , 07:16,dax=9842
Korea update : http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF

Italy 29609(23329yesterday) tests, 4053(4050) positive ,
pos.rate=29.2%(31.5) Lomb., 14.9%(23.2) North , 9.3%(8.5)South

=============================================
2020/04/01
China,Hubei delayed (bad sign) ; 36+26(+130 asympt.) ; South Korea,101
Denmark,Czech,Japan,UK,Sweden,France!,Spain up again , see 48 lines above
remains Italy,Germany with positive signals
dax=9730,dow=21532
Germany +% for 50,100,150,200 most prevalent COVID-districts (out of 412) : 7.9,8.7,9.0,9.3
Netherlands looks good ! https://en.wikipedia.org/api/rest_v1/page/graph/png/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_the_Netherlands/0/a8fa6db8562fad58b1c090725c02ee8ac4365c4d.png
China is now also reporting asymptomatic positives

Italy : 34455(29609) tests , 4782(4053) positive ,
positive-rates , Italy=13.8%(13.6) , Lombardy=22.9%(29.2) , N-Italy=15.1%(14.9) , S-Italy=8.9%(9.3)
dow=21036,dax=9434
======================================
2020/04/02
France, daily deaths from all causes by department : https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
China,delayed 35+20+55 ; SouthKorea,89 ;
dow=21048, dax=9535
Italy by province updated : http://magictour.free.fr/IP-04013.BMP
Italy regions : http://magictour.free.fr/i-0402.GIF
=============================================
2020/04/03
Tedros, are the measures good, are we stopping it, how expensive, which Countries do best ?
he doesn't address the important questions
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---1-april-2020
China,31+12+60 ; SouthKorea,86 ; Japan,233 ; Germany,6174

http://data.nextstrain.org/ncov.json
dax=9509,dow=21130,euro-1.083,oil=28.7
what's happening in Austria ? 10 times as many tested yesterday, but fewer positives
2.April , Austria does representative Corona-Tests
https://npgeo-corona-npgeo-de.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0/data

Italy 38617 tests, 4585 positive
« Last Edit: April 04, 2020, 10:06:01 am by tony »

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Re: updates
« Reply #28 on: April 09, 2020, 01:23:00 am »
2020/04/04
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&dataa=2020/12/31&datada=2017/01/01
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-province.csv
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Archiv.html
https://corona.rki.de
https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv

China,19+11+64 ; SouthKorea, 96 ; Germany, 6082

China,55+49,53+29,45+28,31+17,48+44,36+26+130,35+2 0+55,31+12+60,
19+11+64,30+11+47,39+10+78,30+11+47,62+12+137,-
SouthKorea,91,146,105,78,125,101,89,86,96,81,47,47 ,53
Denmark,55,172,252,160,128,lockdown,32,39,57,92,91 ,
108,112,83,94,70,135,144,162,176,167,198,191, 284,251,252,414,322,293,314,-
Czech,CZ,0,0,3,0,2,0,3,11,7,6,6,25,31,22,25,48,109 ,lockdown
85,67,110,205,124,158,114,128,185,291,259,373,262, 160,184,307,281,269,332,282,115,235,-
Netherlands,155,176,278,292,346,409,534,637,573,54 5,811,852,
1019,1172,1159,1104,884,845,1019,1083,1026,904,122 4,952,-
Austria : 430,680,925,684,838,1050,596,541,841,597,508,485,4 16,282,242,299,-
Japan,55,41,64,34,15,44,41,36,57,47,32,42 ,65,98,96,112,194,173, 87,225,208,233,303,219,515,252,-,-
Singapore,2,2,2,5,13,8,12,10,6,12,9,13,12,14,17,23 ,47,32,40,
47,23,54,49,73,52,49,70,42,35,47,74,49,65,75,120,6 6,106
Taiwan,1,1,1,3,6,8,10,23,8,27,18,16,26,20,20,17,15 ,16,15,8,16,7,10,9,7,8,-
HongKong,5,1,5,9,2,6,4,7,9,10,25,16,48,18,43,40,29 ,24,43,65,64,59,41,32,51,37,44,17,28,24,-
Australia,0,8,3,10,7,12,20,15,29,42,50,50,78,77, 113,142,167,196,
281,364,430,285,379,369,460,345,265,311,303,272,22 2,194,141,107,-
New Zealand,1,2,0,4,8,8,11,13,14,36,53,50,78,85,83,63, 75,58,61,89,71,82,89,67,-
USA,2410,3948,5417,6271,8631,10410,9939,12226,1705 0,
19046,20093,19118,20463,25396,26732,28182,32182,34 068,25717,-,-

Washington Post estimates Wuhan's COVID deaths at 40000
dow=20942
Italy 37375 tests , 4805 positive , 10% up Lombardia,Piemonte,Lazio
============================================
2020/04/04
China,30+11+47 ; SouthKorea,81 ; Germany,5936 (but ~20% of regions missing)
dow-future=20945,
gold meadal for Australia silver for Austria bronze for Netherlands this week
week 14: https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/week14/msg203/#msg203
from the countries with more than 10000 case these had no redoubling this week:
China,SouthKorea,Italy,Austria,Switzerland,Iran,Ne therlands,Germany,Spain,Belgium,Portugal

Italy,34237 tests,4316 positive = stable , Lombardia down, South up
positive-rates , 5 countries with available data : http://magictour.free.fr/pr-0405.GIF
============================================
2020/04/06
Chna,39+10+78 ; SouthKorea,47 ; Germany,1429 (I get 3677, weekend-underreporting)
Singapore : 4Apr- Massive increase today, 120 cases. Half of which have no links to
previous cases. Nation wide circuit breaker 'lockdown' begins Tuesday for a month to battle
--------------------------------
dax=9968,dow=21905(top was 29500,-26%),China A50=12862(top was 14630, -12%)
euro=1.082,oil=32.9,gold=1630,
@a_husby Apr 4 , 27 of 1,000 blood donors in Greater Copenhagen had SARS-CoV-2 antibodies.
-------------------------------
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...773v1.full.pdf
> ...unsupported claims of the growth rate of COVID-19 might be lower in tropical countries.
Reduction of lymphocyte at early stage elevates severity and death risk of COVID-19 patients:
----------------------------------
Italy 30271 tests , 3599 positive , last 7 days :
Italy-rate=136,138,117,118,128,126,118,90
Lombardia-rate=292,229,188,215,234,164,215,182
North-rate=149,151,142,131,141,135,149,95
South-rate=93,89,60,78,77,86,52,66

-----------------------------------
cases are down in other European countries as well , pandemic canceled ;-)
dax=10103,dow=22238
==========================================
2020/04/07
dow=22580
China,32+12+30 ; SouthKorea,47 ; Singapore,66 ; Japan,515 ! ; Germany,3834

Italy-info : https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
Italy, epi-curve: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/en/coronavirus/bollettino/Infografica_6aprile%20ENG.pdf
by regions: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/bollettino/Bolletino-sorveglianza-integrata-COVID-19_2-aprile-2020_appendix.pdf

08:02 MET,DST, dax=10242,dow=22690
dax=10474, dow=23530

COVID-cases by day and country , computer-readable : http://magictour.free.fr/ecdc0407.txt
Italy 33713 tests with 3039 positives , very good

==================================================
2020/04/08
China, 62+12+137 ; SouthKorea,53 ; Japan,252 ; USA,29362
dow=22443 , dax=10236

the counts by day and country are now provided in full lists
my latest : http://magictour.free.fr/ecdc0407.txt
in original format : https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
ECDC-data website : https://data.europa.eu/euodp/en/data/dataset/covid-19-coronavirus-data
(when is it being updated ?)

this ECDC-list replaces most of my links and lists above. I'm planning to do the country-charts
in one big picture file so you can easily see where it goes up and where down
I'll keep the Italian and German tables by onset-date
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
----------------------------------------
Japan : emergency, Abe-speech , $900B support , no curfews, no laws, no penalties,
just asking the population to comply
they had got it low so far, I wonder why they couldn't continue that way
----------------------------------------
LDL-cholesterol is able to inactivate virus.
infection fatality rate in the 10 Lombardy towns = 0.67% with working HC
recovered from Covid-19 found nearly a third had surprisingly low levels of antibodies.
Singapore loses control of coronavirus outbreak, announces month-long lockdown
doesn't look so bad to me : ,42,35,47,74,49,65,75,120,66,106
----------------------------------------
ECDC : - no indication at EU/EEA level that the peak of the epidemic has been reached
#come on, it has been reached in the major early affected countries.
Eastern Europe got it late, is some weeks behind, but it did peak in non-East-Europe
---------------------------------------
Italy : 51680 tests (big increase) with 3836 positive (no surprise that positives go up
when testing is up so much) , the positive rates are down everywhere
world-charts are updated http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
@pavel23 Wir sind wohl über den Corona-Berg, was die deutschen Intensivstationen betrifft.
dax=10414
Italy epi-curve hits zero in ~1 week
------------------------------------------------------
200 deaths per day in NYC , 8 times more than usual
-------edit---------these are only deaths at home, excluding hospitals
# we saw this in Bergamo and Brescia but I had thought, NY were earlier in the wave
and now it stopped ?! This effect would give ~500K deaths for USA per week ...
2192 deaths at home mar20-apr06, 5 times more than 2019
« Last Edit: April 13, 2020, 02:49:09 am by tony »

gsgs

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Re: updates
« Reply #29 on: April 09, 2020, 01:24:47 am »
2020/04/09
ECDC: https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE: https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati


 > period of untracked global transmission between late
 > January to mid-February.”
 > 7 lineages in New York

China,63+17+56 ;  SouthKorea,39   Japan,+351(=4257)    Singapore,+142(=1623) ; Germany+4974
dow=23188
23 daily Italy epi-curves since Mar20 as .bmp available

update : Italy-provinces : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0408.GIF
MI=Milano,BG=Bergamo,BS=Brescia,PV=Pavia,TO=Torino,GE=Genova,VE=Venezia,RM=Roma
NA=Napoli,FI=Firenze,AN=Ancona

11:40-UTC  word-charts updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF

Italy : 46244 tested, 4204 positive ,
positiverate=9.0% (up from 7.4) , Lombardia=14.7(13.2),North=10.1(9.0),South=5.3(3.5)

=============================================
2020/04/10:
China,42+3+47 , SouthKorea,27;  Japan,410 ; Singapore,287 ; Ireland , Germany

http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF

strangely almost all of the European Countries with many cases
had a slight increase again in the last days
USA,ESP,ITA,DEU,FRA,BEL,CHE,NLD,CAN,PRT,AUT,ISR,SWE,IRL,NOR,CZ-
not DNK,SRB,FIN
after the previous decline
so, is it some weather effect ? weekend-effect ? worldwide testing availability effect ?
downtrend in CHN,KOR,AUT,AUS,NOR,NZ,LUX,LVA,TWN,CHE,ITA
----------------------------------
Germany , predicted epi-curve : http://magictour.free.fr/rkiepi4.GIF

Italt 53495 tests, 3951 positive , as good as the day before yesterday, yesterday was worse
increased testing since Wednesday
================================================
2020/04/11

China,46+8+34,99+49+12,
South Korea,30,32,
Japan,212,233,303,219,515,252,351,410,680,183(=5530,b6184) ;
Singapore,75,65,120,66,106,262,287,198,191(=2299) 
Ireland,370,345,465,500,1515,839(=8928)
Germany,6082,5936,3677,3834,4003,4974,5323,4133,5122(=117658,b122780)
------------------------------------------
WHO-Tedros,Apr10, build a supply-chain (together with UN and world-food-programme)
to cover 30% of world's needs in the acute phase, $280M
------------------------------------------------
report-date - symptom-onset : http://magictour.free.fr/epis1.GIF
---------------------------------------------
I'm almost 1 day behind now with the numbers from ECDC, which come at noon-UTC
-----------------------------------------------
3fold increase of deaths from all causes already in the last available 7 days in 2
French departments, 2.21fold in the 14 (out of 100) hardest hit departments.
1.25 fold (+25%) in entire France
https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
http://magictour.free.fr/f-0410b.GIF
------------------------------------------------------------
Italy : 56609 tests , 4666 positive , 13% increase against yesterday :-(
=================================================
2020/04/12
China,99+49+12 , South Korea , Japan , Singapore , Ireland
updated my 116 world-COVID-charts : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
in Europe  ITA,GBR,NLD,IRL go up again    UK(GBR) did extra-tests on keyworkers on Apr11
Italy , 46720 tests with 4092 positives , positive-rate slightly up to 8.7%, N=10.6%,S=3.5%

==============================================
2020/04/13
China, 108+6+61 (local:7 Heilongjiang,3 Guangdong) , 244 are still in hospital in Hubei
  and 1815 are still under medical observation in Hubei
[I'm giving wiki's daily promille-changes below now]
---edit-well, I'm not happy with that, it depends on the total-no matter how far back
Japan,75,160,69,90,100,140,120,120,93,
changed at wiki to , 100,120,120,120,69,90,120,120,120,120,75,54,60,60
Singapore,49,62,67,100,50,77,96,180,100,91,100,150,110,140
Denmark,82,69,69,80,63,42,32,29,29,23,30,25
Italy-pr,90,74,90,73,82,87,85,110,61,62,53
still going up : TUR,RUS,IND,IRE,(UK?,US?),   NL,BEL , CHL,JPN

Italy, 36717 tests, 3153 positive , pr=8.5,N=9.7,S=4.6 , Lombardy=23.9 !
===============================================
2020/04/14
China,89+3+54 (3 Guangdong) , Korea,27 , Japan,7370(+622,+9.3%) , Singapore,+15%
Tedros :  10 times deadlier than the 2009 flu pandemic.
early case-finding, testing, isolating caring for every case and tracing every contact is essential
 the way down is much slower than the way up.
[# not in all countries , Austria,Australia,New Zealand,Norway,Luxemburg,China,SouthKorea,...]
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
RKI,Germany gives daily R0-estimates since Apr07 :
1.3,1.2,1.1,1.1,1.3,1.1,1.2
dow=23599
article about HongKong,Singapore strategies : https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/04/suppress-and-lift-hong-kong-and-singapore-say-they-have-coronavirus-strategy-works
chart : http://magictour.free.fr/hk-sgp.GIF
Germany Landkreise : http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0413.GIF
Italy - the pdf which I use was not updated today ... it came later
============================================
2020/01/15
China,46 (8 Heilongjiang,2 Guangdong)+11+57 , Korea,27 ; Japan slows down ; Singapore still up
Czech totally down in the last 5 days (masks ?)
Germany unclear, cases are much lower than last week,
but RKI gives R0=1.2. Easter-underreporting ?
USA +4.4% going down, UK +5.9%, still bad
261 new sequences at genbank on Apr13, 52 on Apr14 , 928 in total, 719 from USA,41 from Europe
plus 102 from Germany downloadable from Charite, not at genbank
dow=23724
08:00-UTC-dax=10520,dow=23700,euro=1.093,gold=1707,oil=28.6,VIX=34
Novavax=16,Moderna=31,Inovio=7
-------------------------------
Italy Apr14 is now available. only 26779 tests, still 2972 positive.
The positive rate increases to 11.0% , 12.7% in the North, 6.0% in the South
-------------------------------
ECDC has a big increase today in France,Peru,SRB,MDA,ARM ; decline in Belgium
US-deaths estimate =69000 : https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
-------------------------
Italy, 43715 tests, 2667 positive ; good
positive-rate = 6.1% (11.0% the day before , so maybe they tested different groups now)
===================================
2020/04/16
China,46+3+64 (12 local,5 Guangdong, 4 Heilongjiang,3 Beijing), 1032 asympt. in total currently

44% of infections during the presymptomatic phase
Redfield : we're nearing the peak right now
dow=23374
----------------------------------------
daily podcasts in German
Kekule#25 , WHO shows no leadership
Kekule#24 , doubts there will be vaccine in 18 months
Kekule#20 , praises Austria
https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/podcast/kekule-corona/index.html
Drosten#31 , reinfection unlikely
Drosten#30 , data-app
https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/Coronavirus-Update-Die-Podcast-Folgen-als-Skript,podcastcoronavirus102.html
scripts --> all into one file, translate
08:45, dax=10427,dow=23650

Germany : R0=0.9 , first time that they give it as <1 .
They also have new estimated curves by system-onset
in the German version only, see the chart on page 6 : https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/2020-04-15-de.pdf?__blob=publicationFile
116 worldcharts in 1 picturefile updated : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
France stabilised, probably a data-error yesterday.
It goes down slowly in the major European Countries since weeks. USA,UK are 1-2 weeks behind.
It went down faster in Austria,Czech,Denmark,Australia,NZ,Lux

positive-rates : http://magictour.free.fr/PR-0416.GIF
In Austria it took 5 weeks
Italy, 60999 tests, 3687 positive , unusually much testing
positive-rate: 6.2%,N:7.2%,S:3.0%

euromomo week 15 : http://magictour.free.fr/euromo15.GIF

=============================================
2020/04/17
China,26+3+66~1038  ,local: 5GD,3+2HL,2SD,1LI,0+1IM
world-update : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
1044 sequences at genbank, all full new ones from USA
~3% of Santa Clara County , CA , infected
Italy : 65705 tests (a lot) , 3493 positive  , the positive rate is being updated daily above now
90,74,90,73,82,87,85,110,61,62,53
France, INSEE daily deaths updated  https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
~40% excess deaths on Apr06,after 50% on Mar31 for whole France
« Last Edit: May 17, 2020, 08:10:04 pm by gsgs »